ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
58 McNeese State over 223 Southwest Texas State 56.0 to 21.0
93 Alabama - Birmingham over 220 Army 42.0 to 10.5
172 Alcorn State over 238 Southeast Louisiana 56.0 to 17.5
16 Auburn over 210 Northeast Louisiana 52.5 to 3.5
13 Pennsylvania over 152 Brown 38.5 to 10.5
104 Grambling over 218 Texas Southern 42.0 to 17.5
17 Iowa over 148 Illinois 42.0 to 10.5
3 Kansas State over 205 Baylor 66.5 to 3.5
6 Louisiana State over 121 Louisiana Tech 45.5 to 10.5
19 Maryland over 133 North Carolina 42.0 to 14.0
67 Memphis State over 191 East Carolina 38.5 to 14.0
18 Minnesota over 178 Indiana 52.5 to 17.5
98 Nicholls State over 226 Sam Houston State 56.0 to 21.0
35 Oregon State over 165 Arizona 38.5 to 10.5
90 San Diego over 236 Butler 56.0 to 7.0
132 Morgan State over 239 Savannah State 52.5 to 7.0
65 Southern Mississippi over 208 Louisiana - Lafayette 38.5 to 3.5
34 Tennessee over 160 Duke 38.5 to 14.0
95 Toledo over 213 Buffalo 38.5 to 7.0
28 West Virginia over 183 Central Florida 42.0 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
12 Boise State over 126 Brigham Young 38.5 to 17.5
123 Appalachian State over 190 Tennessee - Chattanooga 28.0 to 10.5
150 California Poly over 203 Southern Utah 31.5 to 17.5
84 Monmouth over 204 Central Connecticut 28.0 to 7.0
186 Virginia Military over 228 Coastal Carolina 35.0 to 17.5
63 Dayton over 195 Drake 42.0 to 21.0
114 Georgia Southern over 217 East Tennessee State 31.5 to 14.0
75 Fordham over 141 Georgetown 38.5 to 24.5
81 Hampton over 155 Florida A&M 31.5 to 14.0
33 Harvard over 149 Dartmouth 42.0 to 17.5
74 Western Illinois over 185 Illinois State 35.0 to 21.0
189 Jackson State over 225 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 31.5 to 10.5
173 Iona over 233 La Salle 42.0 to 17.5
180 New Mexico State over 222 Arkansas State 35.0 to 17.5
200 Howard over 235 Norfolk State 31.5 to 14.0
50 Northern Illinois over 138 Ball State 35.0 to 14.0
88 Northern Iowa over 161 Youngstown State 31.5 to 14.0
5 Florida State over 61 Notre Dame 31.5 to 10.5
1 Oklahoma over 14 Oklahoma State 38.5 to 21.0
232 Mississippi Valley State over 240 Prairie View 35.0 to 14.0
24 Purdue over 116 Northwestern 35.0 to 14.0
26 Villanova over 145 Richmond 35.0 to 14.0
87 Hawaii over 197 San Jose State 45.5 to 28.0
151 South Carolina State over 202 Delaware State 31.5 to 17.5
107 Fresno State over 221 Southern Methodist 35.0 to 10.5
196 Southeast Missouri State over 237 Tennessee - Martin 38.5 to 14.0
78 Albany over 168 Wagner 28.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
164 Florida International over 201 Jacksonville 28.0 to 14.0
99 North Texas over 127 Troy State 21.0 to 10.5
122 Bucknell over 170 Holy Cross 31.5 to 17.5
182 Central Michigan over 206 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 21.0
49 Yale over 143 Columbia 38.5 to 24.5
89 Connecticut over 115 Western Michigan 31.5 to 24.5
27 Delaware over 66 Maine 24.5 to 14.0
154 Florida Atlantic over 188 Gardner - Webb 28.0 to 17.5
101 James Madison over 153 Rhode Island 31.5 to 17.5
25 Colgate over 85 Lafayette 31.5 to 21.0
70 Lehigh over 120 Towson 28.0 to 17.5
44 Marshall over 86 Akron 42.0 to 35.0
7 Michigan over 36 Michigan State 28.0 to 21.0
29 Mississippi over 54 South Carolina 28.0 to 17.5
113 Montana State over 175 Sacramento State 28.0 to 14.0
100 Navy over 162 Tulane 35.0 to 21.0
59 New Mexico over 109 Nevada - Las Vegas 28.0 to 14.0
23 Ohio State over 64 Penn State 17.5 to 10.5
124 Princeton over 187 Cornell 28.0 to 14.0
140 Nevada - Reno over 193 Rice 28.0 to 21.0
139 Sacred Heart over 171 Stony Brook 35.0 to 24.5
4 Southern California over 11 Washington State 38.5 to 28.0
163 Southwest Missouri State over 194 Indiana State 21.0 to 10.5
51 California - Los Angeles over 136 Stanford 28.0 to 14.0
167 Tennessee State over 207 Eastern Illinois 31.5 to 17.5
8 Texas over 20 Nebraska 31.5 to 21.0
158 Tulsa over 214 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 21.0
52 Texas Tech over 77 Colorado 49.0 to 42.0
2 Miami - Florida over 15 Virginia Tech 31.5 to 24.5
40 Colorado State over 105 Wyoming 31.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
83 South Florida over 96 Cincinnati 28.0 to 21.0
102 Bethune - Cookman over 110 North Carolina A&T 24.5 to 17.5
47 Boston College over 39 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 24.5
166 Idaho State over 169 Portland State 31.5 to 28.0
31 Arkansas over 68 Kentucky 24.5 to 21.0
41 Massachusetts over 46 Northeastern 24.5 to 21.0
159 Eastern Kentucky over 198 Murray State 28.0 to 21.0
32 North Carolina State over 30 Virginia 28.0 to 28.0
212 California - Davis over 227 Saint Mary's 28.0 to 21.0
176 Samford over 199 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 31.5
71 Wofford over 130 The Citadel 24.5 to 17.5
146 Utah State over 144 Middle Tennessee State 31.5 to 31.5
209 Western Carolina over 211 Elon 24.5 to 21.0
118 William & Mary over 137 Hofstra 31.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
69 Air Force over 55 Utah 28.0 to 28.0
48 Arizona State over 38 California 28.0 to 28.0
231 Liberty over 234 Charleston Southern 28.0 to 28.0
91 Duquesne over 108 Morehead State 24.5 to 24.5
79 Montana over 97 Northern Arizona 28.0 to 28.0
103 Texas A&M over 92 Kansas 35.0 to 35.0
53 Wake Forest over 42 Clemson 24.5 to 24.5
82 Washington over 62 Oregon 31.5 to 28.0
80 Western Kentucky over 72 Southern Illinois 28.0 to 28.0
9 Georgia over 10 Florida 17.5 to 17.5
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