ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
19 Arkansas over 177 Mississippi State 52.5 to 17.5
30 Oklahoma State over 201 Baylor 45.5 to 10.5
7 Georgia over 83 Kentucky 38.5 to 14.0
129 Hampton over 239 Savannah State 52.5 to 3.5
89 Hawaii over 217 Army 45.5 to 14.0
28 Colgate over 191 Holy Cross 45.5 to 17.5
22 Purdue over 187 Indiana 42.0 to 10.5
2 Kansas State over 47 Missouri 42.0 to 14.0
11 Miami - Florida over 128 Rutgers 45.5 to 14.0
158 Morgan State over 237 Norfolk State 56.0 to 17.5
13 Miami - Ohio over 183 Ohio 49.0 to 14.0
15 Pennsylvania over 195 Cornell 49.0 to 3.5
141 Weber State over 234 Saint Mary's 38.5 to 7.0
3 Southern California over 70 California - Los Angeles 42.0 to 10.5
16 Tennessee over 118 Vanderbilt 42.0 to 14.0
90 Furman over 221 Tennessee - Chattanooga 38.5 to 10.5
1 Oklahoma over 41 Texas Tech 52.5 to 24.5
80-90% chance of victory:
64 Marshall over 181 Central Florida 38.5 to 21.0
10 Boise State over 98 Fresno State 38.5 to 21.0
130 Alabama A&M over 212 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 28.0 to 7.0
35 Bowling Green over 173 Ball State 42.0 to 21.0
36 Utah over 146 Brigham Young 35.0 to 17.5
144 Eastern Kentucky over 216 Tennessee Tech 42.0 to 21.0
96 Kansas over 159 Iowa State 35.0 to 21.0
162 Kent State over 207 Buffalo 35.0 to 17.5
139 Hofstra over 222 Liberty 35.0 to 17.5
50 Massachusetts over 135 Rhode Island 38.5 to 21.0
93 Navy over 182 Central Michigan 35.0 to 17.5
27 Maine over 127 New Hampshire 38.5 to 21.0
75 Northern Illinois over 192 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 14.0
179 Rice over 224 Texas - El Paso 45.5 to 28.0
20 California over 121 Stanford 38.5 to 17.5
49 Pittsburgh over 138 Temple 35.0 to 21.0
136 Troy State over 214 Northeast Louisiana 31.5 to 10.5
142 Tulane over 199 East Carolina 38.5 to 24.5
17 Virginia Tech over 59 Boston College 35.0 to 21.0
9 Washington State over 95 Washington 38.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
168 Middle Tennessee State over 211 Arkansas State 35.0 to 28.0
21 Auburn over 44 Alabama 21.0 to 14.0
223 Coastal Carolina over 238 Charleston Southern 31.5 to 17.5
109 Florida Atlantic over 180 Florida International 28.0 to 17.5
151 Idaho State over 198 Southern Utah 38.5 to 28.0
34 Northeastern over 108 James Madison 28.0 to 17.5
37 Lehigh over 69 Lafayette 31.5 to 21.0
92 Louisville over 149 Houston 35.0 to 24.5
54 Memphis State over 105 Cincinnati 35.0 to 21.0
8 Michigan over 23 Ohio State 24.5 to 17.5
4 Louisiana State over 26 Mississippi 28.0 to 21.0
38 Montana over 102 Montana State 24.5 to 14.0
62 McNeese State over 117 Nicholls State 31.5 to 24.5
125 Tulsa over 190 San Jose State 35.0 to 24.5
84 South Florida over 116 Alabama - Birmingham 28.0 to 17.5
148 Alabama State over 210 Texas Southern 38.5 to 24.5
72 Toledo over 111 Western Michigan 38.5 to 28.0
45 Fordham over 99 Towson 24.5 to 17.5
39 Virginia over 78 Georgia Tech 28.0 to 17.5
100 Bethune - Cookman over 155 Florida A&M 24.5 to 17.5
81 North Carolina A&T over 133 South Carolina State 24.5 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
134 Bucknell over 150 Georgetown 24.5 to 21.0
170 Northern Colorado over 206 California - Davis 24.5 to 21.0
97 Princeton over 132 Dartmouth 24.5 to 21.0
176 Samford over 200 Eastern Illinois 31.5 to 28.0
175 Tennessee State over 203 Murray State 28.0 to 24.5
53 Colorado State over 104 Nevada - Las Vegas 24.5 to 17.5
124 North Carolina over 143 Duke 35.0 to 28.0
14 Maryland over 25 North Carolina State 31.5 to 28.0
115 Northwestern State over 107 Stephen F. Austin 24.5 to 21.0
32 Oregon State over 56 Oregon 28.0 to 24.5
119 William & Mary over 174 Richmond 28.0 to 21.0
58 Air Force over 112 San Diego State 24.5 to 17.5
123 Jacksonville State over 178 Southeast Missouri State 28.0 to 21.0
33 West Virginia over 55 Syracuse 28.0 to 24.5
157 Gardner - Webb over 186 Western Carolina 24.5 to 21.0
18 Iowa over 42 Wisconsin 24.5 to 21.0
61 New Mexico over 120 Wyoming 31.5 to 24.5
68 Yale over 71 Harvard 35.0 to 31.5
50-60% chance of victory:
43 Texas Christian over 66 Southern Mississippi 17.5 to 17.5
122 Columbia over 106 Brown 24.5 to 21.0
209 Delaware State over 202 Howard 24.5 to 21.0
172 East Tennessee State over 160 The Citadel 21.0 to 21.0
167 Idaho over 156 Utah State 24.5 to 24.5
113 Northwestern over 137 Illinois 21.0 to 21.0
193 Jackson State over 184 Alcorn State 24.5 to 21.0
63 Penn State over 82 Michigan State 24.5 to 24.5
60 South Carolina over 51 Clemson 21.0 to 21.0
219 Southwest Texas State over 213 Sam Houston State 31.5 to 31.5
40 Villanova over 31 Delaware 28.0 to 24.5
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net