prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
78% 62 Southern 20 39.4, 143 Alabama State 9 28.2
77% 18 Delaware 24 27.7, 40 Wofford 9 17.5
76% 35 Colgate 36 30.0, 102 Florida Atlantic 24 19.7
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
0 0.00 0 0.00 3 1.30 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 3 3 2.3 1.30
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
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