ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 80-90% chance of victory: 14 Miami - Ohio over 90 Louisville 42.0 to 24.5 13 Boise State over 70 Texas Christian 35.0 to 17.5 34 Bowling Green over 107 Northwestern 35.0 to 21.0 3 Kansas State over 29 Ohio State 31.5 to 10.5 70-80% chance of victory: 28 North Carolina State over 85 Kansas 42.0 to 28.0 78 Hawaii over 135 Houston 45.5 to 35.0 22 Virginia over 44 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 21.0 27 Nebraska over 60 Michigan State 28.0 to 17.5 5 Texas over 15 Washington State 35.0 to 24.5 17 Auburn over 43 Wisconsin 24.5 to 17.5 25 Minnesota over 59 Oregon 38.5 to 28.0 11 Maryland over 32 West Virginia 28.0 to 21.0 2 Southern California over 7 Michigan 38.5 to 28.0 68 Georgia Tech over 123 Tulsa 28.0 to 17.5 1 Oklahoma over 4 Louisiana State 28.0 to 17.5 60-70% chance of victory: 71 Memphis State over 86 North Texas 24.5 to 21.0 21 Delaware over 36 Colgate 28.0 to 21.0 69 California - Los Angeles over 109 Fresno State 24.5 to 17.5 38 Texas Tech over 66 Navy 42.0 to 35.0 24 Arkansas over 39 Missouri 35.0 to 28.0 35 Utah over 55 Southern Mississippi 21.0 to 17.5 10 Florida over 19 Iowa 24.5 to 21.0 9 Georgia over 26 Purdue 24.5 to 17.5 6 Florida State over 8 Miami - Florida 21.0 to 21.0 16 Tennessee over 31 Clemson 24.5 to 21.0 20 Mississippi over 30 Oklahoma State 31.5 to 28.0 50-60% chance of victory: 46 Oregon State over 49 New Mexico 28.0 to 24.5 18 California over 23 Virginia Tech 31.5 to 28.0 45 Boston College over 53 Colorado State 28.0 to 28.0
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