01 Jan 2005: Current model rankings (NCAA Div IA & IAA)

Rankings determined from model fit at the current week in the season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  1   9 17.5  7.5 Southern California      121 35   0 11.9  4.4 California Poly         
  2  1   7 18.1  5.9 Louisville               122 32   0 12.7  3.8 Indiana                 
  3  4   7 16.4  7.1 Oklahoma                 123 13   0 10.8  5.2 Florida Atlantic        
  4  2   7 15.2  7.7 Auburn                   124 32   0 12.9  3.6 Rutgers                 
  5  2   7 17.4  6.1 Utah                     125 13   0 11.2  4.9 Cornell                 
  6  2   7 15.1  7.5 Miami - Florida          126 53   0 11.1  4.9 North Dakota State      
  7  4   7 15.0  7.5 Virginia Tech            127 32   0 11.3  4.8 Mississippi State       
  8  3   7 16.4  6.4 Texas                    128 17   0 12.0  4.2 Stephen F. Austin       
  9  3   7 16.3  6.4 California               129 42   0 12.3  3.9 Kentucky                
 10  5   6 15.2  6.9 Georgia                  130 54   0 12.6  3.7 Drake                   
 11  7   6 15.1  6.7 Louisiana State          131 16   0 12.5  3.7 Rhode Island            
 12  9   5 14.1  7.4 Florida State            132 33   0 12.3  3.9 Illinois                
 13  5   5 17.0  5.1 Boise State              133 25   0 11.9  4.1 Eastern Kentucky        
 14  5   5 15.0  6.6 Harvard                  134 34   0 11.6  4.3 Robert Morris           
 15  5   5 16.6  5.4 Texas Tech               135 12   0 11.5  4.4 Richmond                
 16  6   5 14.8  6.7 Iowa                     136 32   0 12.7  3.4 Temple                  
 17  7   5 15.2  6.2 Purdue                   137 21   0 13.0  3.2 Akron                   
 18  6   5 16.8  5.0 Bowling Green            138 34   0 12.4  3.6 South Carolina State    
 19 15   5 15.2  6.0 Florida                  139 20   0 11.3  4.5 Columbia                
 20  9   5 15.0  6.1 Virginia                 140 33   0 12.4  3.6 Northwestern State      
 21 20   5 15.7  5.6 Michigan                 141 18   0 12.0  3.9 South Florida           
 22 10   5 14.0  6.9 Ohio State               142 69   0 12.6  3.4 Coastal Carolina        
 23 11   5 16.5  4.9 Georgia Southern         143 12   0 12.5  3.4 Tulane                  
 24  7   5 15.8  5.4 Fresno State             144 42   0 12.1  3.7 Sacred Heart            
 25 10   5 14.9  6.0 Tennessee                145 28   0 11.8  3.8 Central Connecticut     
 26 12   4 13.8  6.7 Georgia Tech             146 13   0  9.9  5.2 Dartmouth               
 27 13   4 14.6  5.9 Southern Illinois        147 41   0 11.1  4.3 Washington              
 28  7   4 15.3  5.4 Arizona State            148 12   0 11.3  4.1 Albany                  
 29 19   4 15.0  5.6 Oregon State             149 12   0 12.3  3.3 Stony Brook             
 30 16   4 15.5  5.1 Arkansas                 150 12   0 11.0  4.2 Ohio                    
 31  8   4 13.7  6.3 Pennsylvania             151 11   0 12.6  3.0 Tulsa                   
 32 34   4 14.0  6.1 Clemson                  152 31   0 12.0  3.4 Nevada - Las Vegas      
 33 27   4 14.4  5.8 North Carolina State     153 39   0 11.8  3.6 Southern                
 34  8   4 14.5  5.6 Villanova                154 38   0 12.6  3.0 California - Davis      
 35 16   4 13.5  6.3 Alabama                  155 15   0 12.2  3.3 New Mexico State        
 36 19   4 15.0  5.1 Minnesota                156 63   0 11.2  4.0 Arkansas - Pine Bluff   
 37 11   3 14.7  5.3 Oklahoma State           157 11  -1 11.0  4.1 Youngstown State        
 38  9   3 14.4  5.5 Texas A&M                158 11   0 12.3  3.0 Holy Cross              
 39 16   3 14.5  5.4 West Virginia            159 27  -1 10.8  4.2 Wagner                  
 40 19   3 14.2  5.6 Delaware                 160 17  -1 11.4  3.7 Nicholls State          
 41 15   3 13.4  6.1 Wisconsin                161 20  -1 11.7  3.4 North Texas             
 42 14   3 13.5  6.0 Boston College           162 16  -1 11.9  3.3 Houston                 
 43 15   3 13.7  5.8 Furman                   163 10  -1 12.2  3.0 Montana State           
 44  9   3 13.6  5.8 James Madison            164 10  -1 12.0  3.1 Middle Tennessee State  
 45 11   3 14.7  4.9 New Hampshire            165 20  -1 11.8  3.2 Baylor                  
 46 17   3 13.8  5.5 Kansas                   166 10  -1 12.0  3.1 Rice                    
 47  9   3 13.2  5.9 Lehigh                   167 31  -1 10.4  4.3 Murray State            
 48 53   3 12.7  6.3 Maryland                 168 27  -1 11.5  3.4 Southern Utah           
 49 18   3 14.4  5.1 California - Los Angeles 169 54  -1 10.5  4.0 Alabama A&M             
 50 16   3 14.6  4.9 Montana                  170 10  -1 11.7  3.0 Southwest Missouri State
 51 15   3 14.2  5.2 Northern Iowa            171 10  -1 10.6  3.7 Louisiana - Lafayette   
 52 32   3 13.7  5.5 Notre Dame               172 22  -1  9.9  4.2 The Citadel             
 53  9   3 13.8  5.4 Connecticut              173 26  -1 10.7  3.6 Utah State              
 54 10   3 13.5  5.6 Pittsburgh               174 10  -1  9.9  4.2 Western Carolina        
 55  9   3 13.9  5.2 Lafayette                175 18  -1 11.3  3.1 Texas State - San Marcos
 56 20   3 13.8  5.2 Colorado                 176 10  -1 11.7  2.7 Florida International   
 57 34   3 13.0  5.8 South Carolina           177 31  -2 11.4  2.9 Gardner - Webb          
 58  9   2 14.9  4.4 Hofstra                  178 17  -1 12.1  2.4 Nevada - Reno           
 59  9   2 15.1  4.3 William & Mary           179 10  -2 11.9  2.6 Illinois State          
 60 23   2 12.4  6.2 New Mexico               180 28  -2 11.3  2.9 Grambling               
 61  9   2 14.7  4.5 Northern Illinois        181 17  -2 10.4  3.7 Towson                  
 62 37   2 14.1  4.9 Washington State         182 10  -2 10.2  3.7 Georgetown              
 63 15   2 14.2  4.8 Northeastern             183 39  -2 10.5  3.5 Alcorn State            
 64 16   2 14.9  4.3 North Carolina           184 13  -2 11.4  2.7 Central Michigan        
 65 10   2 13.3  5.4 Massachusetts            185 10  -2 11.3  2.8 Northern Arizona        
 66 10   2 13.9  5.0 Bucknell                 186 10  -2 10.7  3.2 Northeast Louisiana     
 67 29   2 14.9  4.3 Kansas State             187 43  -2  9.8  3.9 Howard                  
 68 10   2 13.5  5.2 Navy                     188 31  -2 10.8  3.1 Tennessee Tech          
 69 20   2 12.7  5.8 Stanford                 189 10  -2 12.0  2.2 McNeese State           
 70 16   2 14.5  4.4 Michigan State           190 20  -2 11.4  2.6 Ball State              
 71 10   2 13.5  5.1 Miami - Ohio             191 22  -2 11.9  2.2 Western Michigan        
 72 30   2 13.9  4.8 Oregon                   192 10  -2 11.9  2.2 Idaho State             
 73 25   2 11.7  6.4 Penn State               193 26  -2 13.3  1.0 Morgan State            
 74 18   2 12.9  5.5 Missouri                 194 31  -2 10.7  3.0 Liberty                 
 75 13   2 14.0  4.6 Maine                    195 50  -2 11.7  2.1 Southeast Louisiana     
 76 35   2 13.3  5.1 Nebraska                 196  9  -2 11.2  2.6 Army                    
 77 33   2 13.3  5.0 Wake Forest              197 13  -2 10.5  3.0 Southern Methodist      
 78 16   2 14.1  4.4 Texas - El Paso          198 15  -2 11.6  2.1 Samford                 
 79 12   2 12.3  5.7 Iowa State               199 14  -2 10.7  2.8 Central Florida         
 80 13   2 13.2  5.0 Colgate                  200 13  -2  9.7  3.5 Northern Colorado       
 81 13   2 13.4  4.9 Wyoming                  201 26  -2 10.7  2.8 Eastern Illinois        
 82 10   2 14.9  3.7 Memphis                  202 20  -2 10.8  2.7 Tennessee State         
 83 10   2 13.6  4.7 Cincinnati               203  9  -2 12.2  1.6 San Jose State          
 84 15   2 12.6  5.3 Western Kentucky         204  9  -2 11.6  2.1 Western Illinois        
 85 30   1 14.3  4.0 Eastern Washington       205 39  -2 10.3  3.0 Jackson State           
 86 32   2 13.4  4.7 Colorado State           206  9  -2 12.1  1.7 Eastern Michigan        
 87 39   1 14.6  3.8 Hampton                  207 28  -2  9.0  4.0 Morehead State          
 88 39   1 13.0  4.9 Mississippi              208 17  -2 10.9  2.5 Southeast Missouri State
 89 18   1 14.1  4.1 Air Force                209  9  -2 10.7  2.7 Arkansas State          
 90 16   1 13.4  4.5 Fordham                  210 33  -3  9.6  3.5 South Dakota State      
 91 11   1 12.5  5.2 Princeton                211  9  -3 11.2  2.2 East Carolina           
 92 18   1 13.0  4.8 Brigham Young            212 12  -3 10.8  2.3 Idaho                   
 93 12   1 13.9  4.1 Toledo                   213  9  -3  9.9  3.0 Buffalo                 
 94 12   1 11.8  5.6 Troy State               214  9  -3 10.1  2.8 Weber State             
 95 12   1 12.7  5.0 Yale                     215  8  -3 11.0  2.1 Florida A&M             
 96 11   1 12.8  4.9 Brown                    216 14  -3  9.3  3.3 Elon                    
 97 26   1 14.5  3.6 San Diego                217  8  -3 11.1  1.8 Indiana State           
 98 14   1 12.7  4.9 Marshall                 218 11  -3  9.6  2.9 Marist                  
 99 28   1 12.9  4.7 Portland State           219 20  -3  9.5  3.0 Delaware State          
100 18   1 12.2  5.2 Southern Mississippi     220 14  -3  9.2  3.1 North Carolina A&T      
101 26   1 12.9  4.6 Northwestern             221  7  -4  8.9  3.0 Virginia Military       
102 43   1 13.7  4.0 Jacksonville State       222 16  -4 10.0  2.1 Saint Francis - Pennsylv
103 42   1 12.3  5.0 Dayton                   223 11  -4 12.0  0.4 La Salle                
104 50   1 13.7  3.9 Alabama State            224  6  -4  8.6  2.8 Saint Peter's           
105 27   1 13.5  4.0 Syracuse                 225 34  -4  9.4  2.2 Mississippi Valley State
106 14   1 14.9  2.8 Hawaii                   226  5  -4  9.8  1.8 Sacramento State        
107 23   0 12.4  4.5 Vanderbilt               227 11  -5 10.2  1.4 Valparaiso              
108 12   0 13.2  4.0 Kent State               228  5  -5  9.5  1.7 Iona                    
109 23   0 12.0  4.8 San Diego State          229  5  -5 11.9 -0.3 Tennessee - Chattanooga 
110 39   0 11.8  4.9 Monmouth                 230 38  -5  8.8  2.0 Charleston Southern     
111 19   0 13.1  3.9 Alabama - Birmingham     231  4  -6  8.6  1.8 Davidson                
112 34   0 13.6  3.5 Sam Houston State        232  4  -6  8.2  1.8 Butler                  
113 20   0 12.6  4.2 Wofford                  233 16  -6  9.8  0.2 Prairie View            
114 24   0 13.9  3.1 Texas Christian          234  3  -7  8.2  1.2 Tennessee - Martin      
115 17   0 13.1  3.6 Duquesne                 235  3  -7  9.1  0.2 Norfolk State           
116 14   0 12.6  4.0 Louisiana Tech           236  3  -7  8.7  0.5 Jacksonville            
117 41   0 12.1  4.4 Duke                     237  2  -7  6.9  1.8 Austin Peay             
118 38   0 11.0  5.1 Arizona                  238  2  -8  8.6  0.4 Savannah State          
119 42   0 12.6  4.0 Bethune - Cookman        239  2  -7  6.4  2.2 Texas Southern          
120 19   0 13.6  3.2 Appalachian State       

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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