prob rnk winning_team actual pred rnk losing_team actual pred
91% 13 Miami - Ohio 49 55.9, 203 Indiana State 0 6.8
82% 2 Southern California 24 42.0, 24 Virginia Tech 13 23.8
results by prob (number of games, actual/expected):
50%-59% 60%-69% 70%-79% 80%-89% 90%-99% 100%
0 0.00 0 0.00 0 0.00 1 1.22 1 1.09 0 0.00
total results (num_games,num_right,expected,num_right/expected): 2 2 1.7 1.16
actual/expected = 1 -- model right on
actual/expected > 1 -- model probabilities too low (more wins than expected)
actual/expected < 1 -- model probabilities too high (less wins than expected)
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