ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
101 Tennessee State over 232 Tennessee - Martin 49.0 to 7.0
135 Alabama State over 235 Texas Southern 49.0 to 7.0
39 Louisville over 213 Army 45.5 to 7.0
29 Bowling Green over 197 Southeast Missouri State 52.5 to 7.0
6 California over 191 New Mexico State 66.5 to 7.0
15 Florida over 187 Eastern Michigan 56.0 to 10.5
8 Louisiana State over 207 Arkansas State 59.5 to 3.5
23 Maryland over 144 Temple 42.0 to 10.5
37 McNeese State over 229 Southeast Louisiana 66.5 to 14.0
35 Memphis State over 219 Tennessee - Chattanooga 52.5 to 3.5
95 Michigan State over 210 Central Michigan 42.0 to 10.5
10 Minnesota over 147 Illinois State 56.0 to 14.0
70 Monmouth over 223 La Salle 45.5 to 3.5
2 Oklahoma over 154 Houston 56.0 to 7.0
30 Oklahoma State over 157 Tulsa 42.0 to 10.5
5 Purdue over 140 Ball State 45.5 to 3.5
99 Southern over 234 Mississippi Valley State 56.0 to 3.5
3 Southern California over 71 Colorado State 38.5 to 10.5
69 Texas Christian over 200 Southern Methodist 42.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
45 West Virginia over 175 Central Florida 38.5 to 17.5
150 Coastal Carolina over 222 Davidson 38.5 to 17.5
51 Connecticut over 128 Duke 35.0 to 17.5
87 Dayton over 189 Morehead State 28.0 to 7.0
49 Delaware over 118 Towson 28.0 to 10.5
68 Wake Forest over 192 East Carolina 49.0 to 24.5
122 Hampton over 205 Howard 31.5 to 10.5
89 San Diego over 203 Holy Cross 42.0 to 21.0
7 Kansas State over 58 Fresno State 35.0 to 10.5
145 Kent State over 215 Liberty 42.0 to 21.0
56 Maine over 168 Northern Colorado 38.5 to 10.5
25 Auburn over 141 Mississippi State 28.0 to 7.0
12 Nebraska over 72 Southern Mississippi 28.0 to 7.0
4 Michigan over 96 Notre Dame 42.0 to 10.5
26 Ohio State over 104 Marshall 31.5 to 10.5
47 Pittsburgh over 131 Ohio 35.0 to 17.5
78 Rhode Island over 163 Central Connecticut 35.0 to 17.5
67 Furman over 164 Samford 31.5 to 17.5
92 South Florida over 196 Tennessee Tech 38.5 to 14.0
162 Southwest Missouri State over 220 Sam Houston State 38.5 to 17.5
227 Austin Peay over 239 Valparaiso 31.5 to 14.0
21 Virginia over 94 North Carolina 45.5 to 24.5
20 Virginia Tech over 107 Western Michigan 35.0 to 7.0
70-80% chance of victory:
120 Air Force over 160 Eastern Washington 35.0 to 21.0
34 Alabama over 53 Mississippi 28.0 to 21.0
98 Fordham over 179 Albany 35.0 to 21.0
36 Utah over 112 Arizona 24.5 to 10.5
1 Texas over 17 Arkansas 38.5 to 24.5
119 Bethune - Cookman over 182 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 31.5 to 21.0
11 Boise State over 27 Oregon State 38.5 to 28.0
143 Syracuse over 209 Buffalo 31.5 to 21.0
38 Miami - Ohio over 102 Cincinnati 31.5 to 21.0
33 Clemson over 66 Georgia Tech 24.5 to 14.0
193 Eastern Illinois over 221 Indiana State 21.0 to 7.0
73 Lafayette over 153 Georgetown 31.5 to 21.0
24 Iowa over 77 Iowa State 24.5 to 7.0
85 Kansas over 117 Toledo 31.5 to 21.0
129 Louisiana Tech over 174 Louisiana - Lafayette 28.0 to 17.5
28 Massachusetts over 43 Colgate 24.5 to 14.0
32 Northeastern over 82 Navy 28.0 to 21.0
172 Nevada - Reno over 198 Sacramento State 31.5 to 21.0
80 Florida Atlantic over 158 North Texas 28.0 to 17.5
19 Washington State over 48 Colorado 31.5 to 21.0
64 Oregon over 126 Indiana 35.0 to 17.5
65 Duquesne over 137 Robert Morris 28.0 to 14.0
44 Wofford over 108 South Carolina State 28.0 to 17.5
83 Stanford over 111 Brigham Young 24.5 to 17.5
93 Stephen F. Austin over 139 Northern Arizona 28.0 to 17.5
54 Wyoming over 125 Texas A&M 38.5 to 28.0
176 Tulane over 201 Florida A&M 31.5 to 21.0
106 Nicholls State over 161 Western Carolina 28.0 to 21.0
61 Wisconsin over 113 Nevada - Las Vegas 28.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
136 Akron over 149 Middle Tennessee State 42.0 to 35.0
151 Grambling over 181 Alabama A&M 24.5 to 24.5
130 Alcorn State over 134 North Carolina A&T 24.5 to 17.5
138 Eastern Kentucky over 180 Appalachian State 28.0 to 24.5
31 Penn State over 63 Boston College 21.0 to 17.5
152 Idaho State over 156 California Poly 31.5 to 28.0
76 Illinois over 81 California - Los Angeles 28.0 to 21.0
171 Northwestern State over 199 Jackson State 21.0 to 17.5
46 Lehigh over 52 Villanova 21.0 to 14.0
183 Wagner over 217 Marist 24.5 to 17.5
42 Montana over 50 Hofstra 24.5 to 21.0
166 Morgan State over 190 Gardner - Webb 38.5 to 28.0
75 New Mexico over 74 Texas Tech 35.0 to 31.5
233 Norfolk State over 237 Savannah State 28.0 to 21.0
57 Northern Illinois over 62 Southern Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
60 New Hampshire over 90 Rutgers 31.5 to 28.0
202 Sacred Heart over 225 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 24.5 to 17.5
14 Georgia over 40 South Carolina 24.5 to 17.5
184 Weber State over 214 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 24.5
55 Missouri over 91 Troy State 21.0 to 21.0
169 Utah State over 188 Idaho 31.5 to 24.5
165 Youngstown State over 170 Florida International 21.0 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
13 Miami - Florida over 9 Florida State 21.0 to 21.0
84 Arizona State over 97 Northwestern 28.0 to 28.0
186 Richmond over 206 Virginia Military 21.0 to 17.5
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