ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
7 Miami - Florida over 135 Houston 45.5 to 10.5
20 Auburn over 188 The Citadel 45.5 to 3.5
67 Dayton over 234 Austin Peay 49.0 to 3.5
130 Bethune - Cookman over 237 Norfolk State 59.5 to 14.0
16 Boise State over 144 Brigham Young 49.0 to 17.5
85 Connecticut over 224 Army 49.0 to 14.0
82 Southern Illinois over 233 Delaware State 52.5 to 7.0
4 Purdue over 110 Illinois 45.5 to 14.0
10 Louisiana State over 141 Mississippi State 42.0 to 3.5
13 Minnesota over 117 Northwestern 49.0 to 17.5
62 Hampton over 204 Morgan State 56.0 to 28.0
91 Oregon over 195 Idaho 35.0 to 10.5
102 Robert Morris over 214 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 38.5 to 14.0
169 Southern over 236 South Dakota State 45.5 to 7.0
17 Tennessee over 157 Louisiana Tech 49.0 to 14.0
39 Georgia Southern over 232 Tennessee - Chattanooga 66.5 to 21.0
3 Texas over 104 Rice 45.5 to 3.5
142 Nicholls State over 238 Texas Southern 49.0 to 10.5
5 Virginia over 107 Syracuse 45.5 to 7.0
94 William & Mary over 210 Virginia Military 38.5 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
26 Washington State over 126 Arizona 28.0 to 7.0
138 California - Davis over 212 Sacramento State 38.5 to 17.5
81 Colgate over 174 Georgetown 31.5 to 10.5
50 Yale over 187 Cornell 38.5 to 14.0
29 Maryland over 120 Duke 31.5 to 14.0
71 Cincinnati over 189 East Carolina 38.5 to 21.0
11 Florida over 99 Kentucky 42.0 to 17.5
87 Florida Atlantic over 143 Illinois State 31.5 to 17.5
12 Florida State over 89 Clemson 35.0 to 10.5
182 Howard over 231 Savannah State 35.0 to 7.0
202 Indiana State over 229 Tennessee - Martin 31.5 to 14.0
192 Jackson State over 223 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 17.5
23 Michigan over 78 Iowa 31.5 to 14.0
101 Montana over 181 Northern Colorado 38.5 to 17.5
41 Navy over 132 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 10.5
55 New Mexico over 172 New Mexico State 35.0 to 10.5
134 Northern Arizona over 203 Weber State 31.5 to 14.0
46 Notre Dame over 136 Washington 38.5 to 17.5
123 Tennessee State over 207 Florida A&M 35.0 to 17.5
139 Ohio over 219 Buffalo 38.5 to 14.0
8 Pennsylvania over 80 Villanova 38.5 to 7.0
32 South Carolina over 105 Troy State 24.5 to 7.0
1 Southern California over 69 Stanford 42.0 to 7.0
73 Stephen F. Austin over 183 Southern Utah 38.5 to 14.0
21 Utah over 76 Air Force 31.5 to 14.0
228 Valparaiso over 239 Jacksonville 31.5 to 10.5
6 Virginia Tech over 24 North Carolina State 35.0 to 21.0
152 Youngstown State over 211 Liberty 35.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
149 Kent State over 197 Akron 35.0 to 24.5
22 Bowling Green over 86 Northern Illinois 42.0 to 31.5
108 Alabama State over 166 Alcorn State 35.0 to 24.5
27 Arizona State over 44 Oregon State 31.5 to 21.0
147 Western Michigan over 205 Ball State 31.5 to 21.0
171 North Texas over 220 Baylor 31.5 to 21.0
88 Colorado State over 154 Montana State 24.5 to 10.5
199 Drake over 216 Morehead State 28.0 to 17.5
98 Jacksonville State over 163 Eastern Kentucky 35.0 to 24.5
37 Western Kentucky over 137 Florida International 28.0 to 10.5
59 Fordham over 84 Duquesne 24.5 to 17.5
106 Monmouth over 155 Stony Brook 24.5 to 10.5
180 Tennessee Tech over 218 Murray State 28.0 to 21.0
133 Nevada - Las Vegas over 186 Utah State 28.0 to 14.0
150 Sacred Heart over 198 Albany 24.5 to 14.0
57 San Diego State over 93 Nevada - Reno 28.0 to 17.5
175 San Jose State over 215 Southern Methodist 28.0 to 17.5
95 Texas Christian over 146 South Florida 35.0 to 21.0
60 Southern Mississippi over 151 Tulane 31.5 to 17.5
43 Wisconsin over 64 Penn State 21.0 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
58 Memphis over 96 Alabama - Birmingham 31.5 to 24.5
31 Harvard over 65 Brown 21.0 to 17.5
103 Dartmouth over 100 New Hampshire 21.0 to 21.0
226 Davidson over 227 Butler 24.5 to 21.0
200 Eastern Michigan over 201 Eastern Illinois 35.0 to 31.5
158 Eastern Washington over 161 Idaho State 42.0 to 38.5
74 Rhode Island over 116 Hofstra 31.5 to 28.0
165 Alabama A&M over 190 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 21.0 to 17.5
38 Louisville over 68 North Carolina 38.5 to 35.0
193 North Carolina A&T over 191 Elon 21.0 to 17.5
113 Richmond over 111 Lafayette 21.0 to 17.5
79 Princeton over 131 San Diego 35.0 to 28.0
196 Samford over 209 Southeast Missouri State 31.5 to 28.0
112 Temple over 164 Toledo 38.5 to 31.5
176 Tulsa over 170 Southwest Missouri State 21.0 to 21.0
40 Wake Forest over 47 Boston College 24.5 to 21.0
36 West Virginia over 66 James Madison 24.5 to 14.0
50-60% chance of victory:
225 La Salle over 230 Saint Peter's 28.0 to 28.0
19 Arkansas over 14 Alabama 31.5 to 28.0
140 Bucknell over 118 Columbia 17.5 to 17.5
156 Wagner over 177 Central Connecticut 21.0 to 17.5
167 Western Carolina over 178 Gardner - Webb 24.5 to 24.5
109 Michigan State over 119 Indiana 28.0 to 28.0
33 Texas Tech over 51 Kansas 35.0 to 35.0
122 Middle Tennessee State over 145 Louisiana - Lafayette 21.0 to 21.0
222 Marist over 213 Iona 24.5 to 24.5
72 Massachusetts over 61 Delaware 21.0 to 21.0
185 Arkansas State over 208 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 35.0
128 Northwestern State over 115 Appalachian State 24.5 to 24.5
35 Furman over 53 Pittsburgh 17.5 to 17.5
168 Portland State over 160 McNeese State 24.5 to 24.5
162 Sam Houston State over 179 Southeast Louisiana 38.5 to 38.5
45 Northeastern over 75 Towson 21.0 to 17.5
97 Wyoming over 83 Mississippi 21.0 to 21.0
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net