ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
11 Louisville over 123 Texas Christian 49.0 to 21.0
105 Alabama State over 226 Mississippi Valley State 45.5 to 17.5
132 Coastal Carolina over 235 Jacksonville 45.5 to 10.5
104 Duquesne over 213 Morehead State 31.5 to 7.0
19 Georgia Southern over 198 Florida International 56.0 to 17.5
95 Hampton over 217 North Carolina A&T 42.0 to 10.5
108 Monmouth over 222 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 35.0 to 3.5
78 Montana over 214 Sacramento State 45.5 to 14.0
186 Murray State over 233 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 10.5
39 New Hampshire over 175 Towson 42.0 to 7.0
1 Oklahoma over 76 Nebraska 49.0 to 10.5
22 Oklahoma State over 151 Baylor 49.0 to 17.5
16 Boise State over 212 San Jose State 63.0 to 21.0
187 Grambling over 239 Savannah State 52.5 to 21.0
140 Southern over 237 Texas Southern 42.0 to 3.5
2 Southern California over 135 Arizona 49.0 to 3.5
23 Southern Illinois over 216 Indiana State 56.0 to 7.0
4 California over 168 Washington 52.5 to 7.0
77 Western Kentucky over 188 Western Illinois 42.0 to 17.5
58 Miami - Ohio over 199 Western Michigan 42.0 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
20 Arizona State over 54 Washington State 35.0 to 21.0
27 Arkansas over 93 Mississippi 42.0 to 24.5
122 Bethune - Cookman over 183 Howard 28.0 to 14.0
9 Bowling Green over 86 Marshall 38.5 to 17.5
82 Brown over 167 Dartmouth 24.5 to 10.5
31 Clemson over 110 Duke 31.5 to 17.5
88 Jacksonville State over 209 Eastern Illinois 42.0 to 21.0
51 Fresno State over 143 Hawaii 42.0 to 17.5
5 Texas over 65 Kansas 35.0 to 17.5
118 Kent State over 173 Eastern Michigan 42.0 to 28.0
68 Lafayette over 148 Holy Cross 35.0 to 17.5
84 Troy State over 191 Louisiana - Lafayette 31.5 to 10.5
12 Michigan over 70 Northwestern 35.0 to 17.5
74 Northern Iowa over 163 Illinois State 38.5 to 17.5
94 San Diego over 161 Wagner 35.0 to 17.5
114 South Carolina State over 206 Morgan State 49.0 to 28.0
103 South Florida over 207 East Carolina 42.0 to 17.5
164 Stony Brook over 229 Iona 42.0 to 21.0
75 Texas - El Paso over 158 Rice 38.5 to 17.5
113 Portland State over 208 Weber State 35.0 to 17.5
3 Utah over 97 Wyoming 49.0 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
63 Northern Illinois over 106 Toledo 42.0 to 28.0
8 Florida State over 41 North Carolina State 24.5 to 17.5
80 Memphis over 107 Southern Mississippi 35.0 to 28.0
91 Air Force over 129 San Diego State 35.0 to 21.0
102 Alabama - Birmingham over 139 Houston 35.0 to 24.5
176 Central Michigan over 220 Buffalo 31.5 to 21.0
202 Gardner - Webb over 230 Charleston Southern 28.0 to 21.0
196 Georgetown over 232 Davidson 31.5 to 21.0
142 Eastern Kentucky over 197 Tennessee State 35.0 to 21.0
28 Florida over 42 South Carolina 28.0 to 21.0
119 Florida Atlantic over 162 New Mexico State 31.5 to 17.5
43 Georgia Tech over 66 Connecticut 24.5 to 17.5
49 Hofstra over 85 Northeastern 38.5 to 28.0
38 Lehigh over 87 Fordham 31.5 to 17.5
15 Louisiana State over 35 Alabama 24.5 to 14.0
18 Wisconsin over 61 Michigan State 28.0 to 17.5
89 Eastern Washington over 152 Montana State 35.0 to 24.5
221 Delaware State over 238 Norfolk State 35.0 to 21.0
157 North Texas over 189 Idaho 35.0 to 21.0
37 Notre Dame over 67 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 17.5
204 Jackson State over 231 Prairie View 31.5 to 24.5
17 Purdue over 36 Ohio State 28.0 to 17.5
83 Maine over 137 Rhode Island 31.5 to 21.0
55 Delaware over 131 Richmond 31.5 to 17.5
134 Nevada - Reno over 210 Southern Methodist 31.5 to 21.0
181 Southern Utah over 215 South Dakota State 28.0 to 17.5
154 Stephen F. Austin over 200 McNeese State 38.5 to 24.5
72 Syracuse over 153 Temple 38.5 to 24.5
195 Liberty over 225 Tennessee - Chattanooga 38.5 to 31.5
125 Nicholls State over 192 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 24.5
130 Tulane over 166 Army 35.0 to 24.5
29 West Virginia over 46 Boston College 24.5 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
182 Alabama A&M over 180 Alcorn State 21.0 to 17.5
155 Albany over 146 Central Connecticut 24.5 to 21.0
6 Auburn over 7 Georgia 21.0 to 17.5
126 California - Davis over 144 North Dakota State 28.0 to 21.0
160 California Poly over 172 Northern Colorado 24.5 to 17.5
111 Colorado State over 117 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 28.0
141 Columbia over 147 Cornell 14.0 to 10.5
178 The Citadel over 219 Elon 24.5 to 17.5
52 James Madison over 59 William & Mary 28.0 to 24.5
112 Vanderbilt over 145 Kentucky 24.5 to 21.0
138 Louisiana Tech over 156 Tulsa 35.0 to 28.0
170 Middle Tennessee State over 174 Northeast Louisiana 28.0 to 24.5
47 Oregon over 45 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 28.0
21 Pennsylvania over 24 Harvard 24.5 to 17.5
26 Texas A&M over 25 Texas Tech 38.5 to 35.0
14 Virginia over 13 Miami - Florida 21.0 to 17.5
62 Wake Forest over 73 North Carolina 31.5 to 28.0
121 Appalachian State over 171 Western Carolina 28.0 to 21.0
50 Furman over 101 Wofford 24.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
177 Utah State over 190 Arkansas State 28.0 to 28.0
203 Ball State over 194 Central Florida 28.0 to 24.5
69 Brigham Young over 57 New Mexico 21.0 to 17.5
71 Colgate over 90 Bucknell 21.0 to 21.0
40 Kansas State over 56 Colorado 28.0 to 24.5
185 Northern Arizona over 205 Idaho State 35.0 to 31.5
98 Penn State over 120 Indiana 17.5 to 17.5
30 Iowa over 44 Minnesota 24.5 to 24.5
115 Sam Houston State over 133 Northwestern State 31.5 to 31.5
159 Ohio over 150 Akron 28.0 to 24.5
127 Robert Morris over 149 Sacred Heart 24.5 to 24.5
201 Southeast Missouri State over 184 Tennessee Tech 28.0 to 24.5
136 Youngstown State over 165 Southwest Missouri State 21.0 to 21.0
53 Stanford over 48 Oregon State 21.0 to 21.0
96 Yale over 81 Princeton 24.5 to 24.5
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