ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
1 Oklahoma over 150 Baylor 59.5 to 10.5
20 Boise State over 127 Louisiana Tech 52.5 to 21.0
3 California over 63 Stanford 38.5 to 10.5
139 Coastal Carolina over 230 Charleston Southern 38.5 to 7.0
88 Connecticut over 201 Buffalo 42.0 to 14.0
29 Pennsylvania over 151 Cornell 31.5 to 7.0
73 Memphis over 217 East Carolina 52.5 to 24.5
38 Fresno State over 171 Nevada - Reno 45.5 to 17.5
49 Furman over 228 Tennessee - Chattanooga 59.5 to 14.0
9 Louisville over 132 Houston 45.5 to 17.5
82 Jacksonville State over 193 Southeast Missouri State 45.5 to 21.0
11 Louisiana State over 106 Mississippi 38.5 to 10.5
85 Marshall over 205 Western Michigan 42.0 to 17.5
25 Purdue over 118 Indiana 38.5 to 14.0
84 Hampton over 237 Savannah State 63.0 to 17.5
75 Texas - El Paso over 200 Southern Methodist 42.0 to 14.0
66 James Madison over 196 Towson 35.0 to 10.5
5 Utah over 92 Brigham Young 45.5 to 17.5
107 Wofford over 226 Virginia Military 38.5 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
170 Alabama A&M over 231 Prairie View 42.0 to 17.5
103 Alabama - Birmingham over 195 Army 35.0 to 21.0
77 Northern Illinois over 210 Eastern Michigan 52.5 to 28.0
60 Western Kentucky over 179 Florida International 38.5 to 17.5
17 Harvard over 86 Yale 35.0 to 17.5
168 Howard over 223 Delaware State 28.0 to 10.5
10 Miami - Florida over 76 Wake Forest 38.5 to 14.0
21 Arkansas over 123 Mississippi State 38.5 to 17.5
81 Montana over 152 Montana State 38.5 to 24.5
130 Bethune - Cookman over 215 Florida A&M 31.5 to 14.0
128 South Carolina State over 219 North Carolina A&T 31.5 to 10.5
71 Northeastern over 125 Rhode Island 38.5 to 21.0
72 Northern Iowa over 175 Northern Arizona 35.0 to 17.5
80 Princeton over 160 Dartmouth 28.0 to 7.0
31 Boston College over 142 Temple 35.0 to 14.0
191 Morgan State over 238 Texas Southern 38.5 to 17.5
89 Troy State over 164 Middle Tennessee State 31.5 to 10.5
28 Tennessee over 112 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 14.0
61 Washington State over 161 Washington 38.5 to 14.0
54 William & Mary over 129 Richmond 35.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
14 Virginia Tech over 37 Maryland 24.5 to 14.0
53 Miami - Ohio over 124 Akron 35.0 to 24.5
4 Auburn over 32 Alabama 24.5 to 14.0
98 Brown over 135 Columbia 24.5 to 14.0
83 Cincinnati over 111 South Florida 31.5 to 21.0
7 Florida State over 18 Florida 28.0 to 21.0
172 Hawaii over 207 Idaho 38.5 to 31.5
19 Iowa over 44 Wisconsin 24.5 to 14.0
47 Kansas State over 96 Iowa State 31.5 to 17.5
147 Nicholls State over 214 McNeese State 38.5 to 28.0
56 New Mexico over 91 Wyoming 24.5 to 17.5
90 Northwestern over 126 Illinois 31.5 to 17.5
140 California Poly over 216 Sacramento State 31.5 to 17.5
192 Samford over 213 Eastern Illinois 35.0 to 28.0
145 Sam Houston State over 177 Texas State - San Marcos 38.5 to 28.0
121 San Diego State over 149 Nevada - Las Vegas 31.5 to 21.0
138 Eastern Kentucky over 194 Tennessee Tech 28.0 to 21.0
162 Tulsa over 206 San Jose State 42.0 to 31.5
60-70% chance of victory:
157 North Texas over 187 Arkansas State 31.5 to 28.0
190 Central Michigan over 199 Ball State 28.0 to 24.5
42 Clemson over 51 South Carolina 24.5 to 17.5
34 Villanova over 57 Delaware 24.5 to 21.0
65 North Carolina over 110 Duke 31.5 to 24.5
67 Bucknell over 113 Duquesne 31.5 to 24.5
87 Fordham over 97 Colgate 24.5 to 21.0
180 Gardner - Webb over 182 Southeast Louisiana 28.0 to 24.5
197 Liberty over 212 Elon 24.5 to 17.5
33 New Hampshire over 69 Maine 35.0 to 28.0
59 Missouri over 58 Kansas 24.5 to 21.0
94 Navy over 109 Rutgers 24.5 to 17.5
188 Northern Colorado over 204 South Dakota State 24.5 to 17.5
12 Michigan over 35 Ohio State 24.5 to 21.0
48 Oregon State over 50 Oregon 28.0 to 24.5
41 Michigan State over 79 Penn State 24.5 to 21.0
116 Portland State over 137 California - Davis 31.5 to 24.5
181 Southern Utah over 189 Idaho State 28.0 to 24.5
115 Stephen F. Austin over 114 Northwestern State 28.0 to 24.5
105 Southern Mississippi over 131 Texas Christian 35.0 to 31.5
134 New Mexico State over 176 Utah State 28.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
74 Colorado State over 104 Air Force 31.5 to 28.0
158 Holy Cross over 174 Georgetown 24.5 to 24.5
16 Virginia over 30 Georgia Tech 21.0 to 17.5
184 Alcorn State over 203 Jackson State 24.5 to 24.5
39 Lehigh over 62 Lafayette 24.5 to 24.5
68 Massachusetts over 55 Hofstra 28.0 to 28.0
183 Northeast Louisiana over 173 Louisiana - Lafayette 24.5 to 24.5
167 Murray State over 186 Tennessee State 21.0 to 21.0
185 The Citadel over 166 Western Carolina 17.5 to 17.5
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