ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
22 Arizona State over 139 Arizona 38.5 to 10.5
21 Boise State over 188 Nevada - Reno 59.5 to 24.5
36 North Carolina State over 211 East Carolina 49.0 to 10.5
28 Fresno State over 198 San Jose State 52.5 to 21.0
2 Southern California over 42 Notre Dame 38.5 to 14.0
31 Tennessee over 145 Kentucky 38.5 to 14.0
80-90% chance of victory:
11 Bowling Green over 84 Toledo 42.0 to 28.0
6 Texas over 25 Texas A&M 35.0 to 17.5
32 Boston College over 104 Syracuse 31.5 to 14.0
9 Georgia over 43 Georgia Tech 28.0 to 10.5
10 Louisville over 77 Cincinnati 42.0 to 21.0
16 Southern Illinois over 90 Eastern Washington 42.0 to 21.0
76 Texas - El Paso over 168 Tulsa 38.5 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
108 Kent State over 189 Central Florida 31.5 to 21.0
80 Connecticut over 123 Rutgers 31.5 to 21.0
179 Florida International over 212 Florida A&M 38.5 to 28.0
48 Furman over 81 Jacksonville State 35.0 to 24.5
20 Georgia Southern over 37 New Hampshire 42.0 to 35.0
89 Northwestern over 150 Hawaii 35.0 to 28.0
60 Maryland over 88 Wake Forest 24.5 to 17.5
94 Mississippi over 118 Mississippi State 28.0 to 17.5
75 Montana over 111 Northwestern State 38.5 to 24.5
146 Southern over 196 Grambling 35.0 to 24.5
54 Western Kentucky over 136 Sam Houston State 31.5 to 21.0
106 Texas Christian over 120 Tulane 38.5 to 31.5
8 Virginia Tech over 14 Virginia 28.0 to 17.5
53 William & Mary over 86 Hampton 38.5 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
35 West Virginia over 63 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 24.5
19 Louisiana State over 27 Arkansas 28.0 to 24.5
45 Delaware over 47 Lafayette 28.0 to 21.0
72 Iowa State over 78 Missouri 21.0 to 17.5
46 Lehigh over 69 James Madison 24.5 to 17.5
85 Memphis over 127 South Florida 38.5 to 31.5
23 Texas Tech over 26 Oklahoma State 38.5 to 35.0
50-60% chance of victory:
50 Colorado over 74 Nebraska 24.5 to 24.5
155 Rice over 142 Louisiana Tech 31.5 to 28.0
97 Alabama - Birmingham over 113 Southern Mississippi 24.5 to 21.0
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