ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 1 Oklahoma over 46 Colorado 38.5 to 14.0 3 California over 108 Southern Mississippi 42.0 to 10.5 4 Louisville over 120 Tulane 56.0 to 21.0 80-90% chance of victory: 96 Alabama State over 158 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 35.0 to 21.0 2 Southern California over 42 California - Los Angeles 38.5 to 21.0 5 Auburn over 34 Tennessee 31.5 to 14.0 79 Navy over 180 Army 38.5 to 17.5 70-80% chance of victory: 72 Eastern Washington over 107 Sam Houston State 42.0 to 31.5 58 Michigan State over 135 Hawaii 42.0 to 31.5 49 Pittsburgh over 126 South Florida 31.5 to 21.0 60-70% chance of victory: 129 Florida Atlantic over 172 Florida International 28.0 to 21.0 38 Furman over 52 James Madison 24.5 to 17.5 7 Miami - Florida over 9 Virginia Tech 24.5 to 17.5 26 New Hampshire over 47 Montana 35.0 to 31.5 50-60% chance of victory: 67 Toledo over 66 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 31.5 53 William & Mary over 41 Delaware 28.0 to 28.0
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