ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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80-90% chance of victory:
19 Bowling Green over 80 Memphis 45.5 to 31.5
10 Georgia over 52 Wisconsin 28.0 to 10.5
6 Utah over 45 Pittsburgh 42.0 to 24.5
70-80% chance of victory:
105 Southern Mississippi over 149 North Texas 28.0 to 17.5
36 Georgia Tech over 81 Syracuse 24.5 to 17.5
40 California - Los Angeles over 90 Wyoming 35.0 to 24.5
96 Alabama - Birmingham over 122 Hawaii 38.5 to 31.5
4 California over 20 Texas Tech 35.0 to 24.5
3 Louisville over 14 Boise State 45.5 to 35.0
13 Florida State over 38 West Virginia 24.5 to 17.5
8 Texas over 23 Michigan 28.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
84 Marshall over 106 Cincinnati 28.0 to 24.5
15 Virginia over 25 Fresno State 28.0 to 24.5
60 Toledo over 76 Connecticut 31.5 to 28.0
24 Oklahoma State over 29 Ohio State 24.5 to 24.5
57 Colorado over 82 Texas - El Paso 28.0 to 24.5
54 New Mexico over 71 Navy 17.5 to 17.5
63 Northern Illinois over 94 Troy State 24.5 to 21.0
18 Purdue over 28 Arizona State 31.5 to 24.5
9 Miami - Florida over 17 Florida 28.0 to 21.0
11 Louisiana State over 16 Iowa 21.0 to 17.5
22 Texas A&M over 39 Tennessee 31.5 to 24.5
1 Oklahoma over 2 Southern California 24.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
41 Montana over 46 James Madison 28.0 to 24.5
73 Miami - Ohio over 78 Iowa State 21.0 to 21.0
35 Oregon State over 44 Notre Dame 24.5 to 24.5
51 Boston College over 55 North Carolina 24.5 to 24.5
34 Alabama over 37 Minnesota 24.5 to 24.5
5 Auburn over 7 Virginia Tech 21.0 to 17.5
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