17 Jan 2006: Current model rankings (NCAA Div IA & IAA)

Rankings determined from model fit at the current week in the season.

rnk  u spd  off  def                          rnk  u spd  off  def
  1  5   9 17.7  7.1 Texas                    121 36   0 12.1  4.9 Duke                    
  2 19   8 18.0  6.7 Southern California      122 38   0 12.9  4.2 East Carolina           
  3  6   7 14.9  8.1 Louisiana State          123 23   0 12.4  4.5 Villanova               
  4 15   7 15.3  7.8 Ohio State               124 66   0 12.8  4.2 Texas - El Paso         
  5  7   6 14.9  7.7 Virginia Tech            125 35   0 13.9  3.3 Central Florida         
  6 11   6 14.8  7.1 Oklahoma                 126 14   0 11.3  5.3 Montana                 
  7  8   6 15.8  6.4 Florida                  127 33   0 12.7  4.1 Portland State          
  8 20   6 15.5  6.5 Georgia                  128 52   0 10.7  5.6 Youngstown State        
  9 19   5 14.8  6.9 Penn State               129 45   0 13.5  3.5 Eastern Washington      
 10 49   5 17.4  5.0 Louisville               130 49   0 12.2  4.3 Nicholls State          
 11 19   5 13.3  7.9 Alabama                  131 50   0 13.5  3.3 Western Michigan        
 12 13   5 14.9  6.7 Wisconsin                132 67   0 12.2  4.2 South Carolina State    
 13  8   5 14.3  7.1 Boston College           133 19   0 11.1  5.0 Middle Tennessee State  
 14 49   5 15.5  6.2 West Virginia            134 44   0 12.4  4.1 Northeastern            
 15 16   5 13.3  7.7 North Carolina State     135 34   0 11.9  4.4 Tulane                  
 16 26   5 15.9  5.7 Notre Dame               136 15   0 10.8  5.2 California - Davis      
 17 15   5 15.6  5.9 Utah                     137 18   0 12.2  4.2 Rhode Island            
 18 24   5 15.7  5.8 Texas Tech               138 43   0 12.0  4.2 Nevada - Las Vegas      
 19 35   5 16.9  5.0 Arizona State            139 37   0 12.6  3.8 Louisiana - Lafayette   
 20 10   5 14.2  6.9 Auburn                   140 33   0 11.9  4.2 Montana State           
 21 41   5 15.0  6.2 Iowa                     141 30   0 10.5  5.1 Troy State              
 22 11   5 15.3  6.0 Texas Christian          142 49   0 11.2  4.6 Northwestern State      
 23 17   5 14.7  6.4 California               143 41   0 12.5  3.6 Rice                    
 24 18   5 15.2  6.0 Virginia                 144 25   0 12.3  3.7 Western Kentucky        
 25 11   4 15.3  5.9 Florida State            145 47   0 13.3  2.9 San Diego               
 26 11   4 14.0  6.7 Clemson                  146 31   0 10.6  4.9 Hampton                 
 27 19   4 14.9  6.0 Nebraska                 147 33   0 12.0  3.9 Eastern Michigan        
 28 16   4 15.0  5.8 Michigan                 148 28   0 12.8  3.3 Florida International   
 29 61   4 16.9  4.4 California - Los Angeles 149 21   0 11.9  3.9 Arkansas State          
 30 15   4 14.8  5.9 Oregon                   150 30   0 12.3  3.6 San Jose State          
 31 30   4 14.6  5.9 Purdue                   151 25   0  9.8  5.5 Dartmouth               
 32 12   4 15.9  4.9 Texas A&M                152 91   0 10.9  4.6 Duquesne                
 33 12   4 13.2  6.8 Tennessee                153 40   0 11.1  4.5 Ohio                    
 34 12   4 15.8  4.9 Missouri                 154 31   0 12.5  3.4 Ball State              
 35 31   4 14.9  5.4 Michigan State           155 31   0 11.4  4.2 Utah State              
 36 40   3 16.0  4.6 Minnesota                156 64   0 12.0  3.7 South Dakota State      
 37 23   3 14.2  5.9 James Madison            157 55   0 11.2  4.2 Eastern Kentucky        
 38 11   3 14.6  5.6 Arkansas                 158 50   0 10.3  4.9 Western Carolina        
 39 38   3 14.1  5.9 Pittsburgh               159 32   0 11.2  4.1 Wofford                 
 40 12   3 14.3  5.7 Iowa State               160 49  -1 11.7  3.7 Coastal Carolina        
 41 35   3 15.1  5.0 Boise State              161 25  -1 12.3  3.2 Towson                  
 42 98   3 12.8  6.7 Miami - Florida          162 26  -1 10.4  4.7 Columbia                
 43 22   3 13.1  6.4 Kansas                   163 29  -1 11.9  3.5 Northeast Louisiana     
 44 21   3 13.7  6.0 Maryland                 164 79  -1 10.1  4.7 Dayton                  
 45 **   3 13.0  6.4 Colorado                 165 27  -1 11.1  4.0 Bucknell                
 46 32   3 14.6  5.2 Toledo                   166 42  -1 11.5  3.6 Central Connecticut     
 47 30   3 14.1  5.5 Hofstra                  167 28  -1 12.0  3.1 Idaho                   
 48 19   3 15.4  4.5 New Hampshire            168 36  -1 10.6  4.2 North Texas             
 49 40   3 14.1  5.3 Harvard                  169 14  -1 12.4  2.8 Stephen F. Austin       
 50 22   3 14.8  4.8 Vanderbilt               170 42  -1 11.0  3.8 New Mexico State        
 51 13   3 13.9  5.5 Tulsa                    171 34  -1  8.9  5.5 Albany                  
 52 20   3 15.0  4.6 Navy                     172 35  -1 10.5  4.2 Kent State              
 53 20   2 12.3  6.6 Massachusetts            173 84  -1 11.5  3.4 Grambling               
 54 32   3 13.1  6.0 Arizona                  174 15  -1 10.4  4.2 Jacksonville State      
 55 34   3 14.4  5.0 Fresno State             175 34  -1 10.3  4.3 The Citadel             
 56 14   3 13.3  5.8 Stanford                 176 69  -1 11.6  3.2 Southeast Louisiana     
 57 26   2 14.8  4.7 Washington State         177 24  -1 11.6  3.3 Sam Houston State       
 58 23   2 13.7  5.5 South Carolina           178 14  -1  9.9  4.5 Eastern Illinois        
 59 43   2 14.1  5.1 Miami - Ohio             179 14  -1 12.0  3.0 Southwest Missouri State
 60 44   2 12.5  6.3 Princeton                180 33  -1 10.1  4.4 Florida Atlantic        
 61 14   2 13.0  5.9 Connecticut              181 34  -1 10.2  4.3 Temple                  
 62 33   2 14.8  4.5 Northwestern             182 60  -1 11.7  3.1 Alabama State           
 63 14   2 14.7  4.6 Brigham Young            183 32  -1 11.8  3.0 McNeese State           
 64 31   2 13.7  5.2 Southern Mississippi     184 34  -1  9.9  4.5 Monmouth                
 65 44   2 14.4  4.7 Rutgers                  185 23  -1 12.1  2.7 Idaho State             
 66 45   2 14.6  4.5 Brown                    186 44  -1 10.2  4.1 Fordham                 
 67 46   2 13.3  5.4 San Diego State          187 36  -1 12.1  2.7 Western Illinois        
 68 12   2 14.5  4.6 Air Force                188 38  -1 11.6  3.0 Bethune - Cookman       
 69 93   2 12.2  6.2 Georgia Tech             189 17  -2 10.9  3.4 Weber State             
 70 48   2 13.4  5.3 North Carolina           190 14  -2 10.5  3.6 Northern Colorado       
 71 53   2 14.0  4.9 Oregon State             191 49  -2  9.9  4.1 Delaware State          
 72 25   2 13.9  4.9 Wake Forest              192 64  -2 11.1  3.1 Marist                  
 73 45   2 14.1  4.7 Kansas State             193 39  -2 10.6  3.4 Stony Brook             
 74 13   2 13.5  5.2 Northern Illinois        194 51  -2 11.5  2.6 Drake                   
 75 48   2 12.3  6.1 Washington               195 14  -2 10.7  3.3 Northern Arizona        
 76 48   2 13.2  5.4 Cornell                  196 25  -2 11.7  2.5 Tennessee - Chattanooga 
 77 30   2 12.5  5.9 Baylor                   197 19  -2  8.5  4.9 Georgetown              
 78 48   2 14.0  4.7 Bowling Green            198 72  -2  9.5  4.1 Alabama A&M             
 79 20   2 13.6  5.0 New Mexico               199 24  -2  8.9  4.5 Buffalo                 
 80 16   2 13.6  5.0 Wyoming                  200 17  -2 10.4  3.3 Virginia Military       
 81 40   2 11.5  6.5 South Florida            201 24  -2 10.7  3.0 Sacred Heart            
 82 15   2 13.8  4.7 Colorado State           202 42  -2 10.9  2.8 Robert Morris           
 83 28   1 13.4  4.9 Indiana                  203 22  -3 10.1  3.3 Florida A&M             
 84 18   1 15.2  3.6 Nevada - Reno            204 32  -3 10.2  3.2 Wagner                  
 85 35   1 12.7  5.4 Delaware                 205 78  -3 10.8  2.7 Southern                
 86 38   1 12.6  5.4 Pennsylvania             206 25  -3 12.1  1.8 Gardner - Webb          
 87 13   1 13.5  4.8 Louisiana Tech           207 22  -2  8.5  4.5 Elon                    
 88 39   1 11.9  5.9 Richmond                 208 24  -3  9.8  3.5 Sacramento State        
 89 13   1 13.7  4.5 Memphis                  209 13  -3 10.4  2.7 Charleston Southern     
 90 47   1 14.4  3.9 Georgia Southern         210 36  -3  9.5  3.4 North Carolina A&T      
 91 50   1 13.5  4.6 Lehigh                   211 32  -3 11.0  2.2 Southeast Missouri State
 92 50   1 13.8  4.4 Illinois State           212 20  -3  8.5  4.1 Howard                  
 93 44   1 14.4  3.9 Hawaii                   213 43  -3  9.5  3.2 Morehead State          
 94 14   1 12.7  5.2 Oklahoma State           214 41  -3 11.1  1.9 Norfolk State           
 95 43   1 12.0  5.6 Yale                     215 12  -3 10.8  2.1 Samford                 
 96 13   1 13.4  4.5 Alabama - Birmingham     216 38  -3  9.3  3.3 Arkansas - Pine Bluff   
 97 19   1 11.8  5.7 Mississippi              217 74  -3 10.4  2.4 Tennessee - Martin      
 98 26   1 13.1  4.7 Kentucky                 218 15  -3 10.5  2.3 Indiana State           
 99 42   1 12.3  5.2 Lafayette                219 22  -4 10.9  2.0 Saint Francis - Pennsylv
100 16   1 13.7  4.2 William & Mary           220 49  -4 10.5  2.2 Mississippi Valley State
101 16   1 12.9  4.7 Houston                  221 17  -4  9.1  3.2 Southern Utah           
102 23   1 12.6  4.9 Appalachian State        222 44  -4  9.5  2.8 Alcorn State            
103 20   1 13.2  4.4 Akron                    223 11  -4 10.5  2.0 Tennessee Tech          
104 43   1 12.5  4.9 Colgate                  224 11  -4 11.0  1.4 Morgan State            
105 14   1 11.4  5.8 Syracuse                 225 39  -4  8.2  3.5 Davidson                
106 35   1 12.5  4.9 Army                     226 10  -4  9.7  2.2 Murray State            
107 14   1 11.3  5.8 Mississippi State        227 23  -5 10.6  1.3 La Salle                
108 56   1 12.4  5.0 Illinois                 228  9  -4  7.6  3.8 Tennessee State         
109 14   1 12.6  4.8 Central Michigan         229 42  -5  9.9  1.8 Jacksonville            
110 32   1 14.0  3.7 Furman                   230 29  -5  8.7  2.6 Iona                    
111 14   1 12.9  4.5 Northern Iowa            231 36  -5  8.3  3.0 Liberty                 
112 62   0 12.4  4.9 Cincinnati               232 22  -5  9.2  2.1 Jackson State           
113 45   0 12.8  4.5 Texas State - San Marcos 233 35  -5  8.0  2.8 Prairie View            
114 21   0 12.3  4.8 California Poly          234 22  -5  8.9  2.1 Texas Southern          
115 54   0 12.7  4.5 Maine                    235 16  -5  9.1  1.9 Saint Peter's           
116 46   0 11.0  5.7 North Dakota State       236  6  -6  9.2  1.4 Savannah State          
117 45   0 12.1  4.9 Marshall                 237  8  -7  8.5  1.4 Valparaiso              
118 39   0 13.6  3.7 Holy Cross               238  5  -8  7.2  1.3 Butler                  
119 35   0 12.2  4.7 Southern Methodist       239  5  -9  7.0  0.6 Austin Peay             
120 31   0 12.3  4.7 Southern Illinois       

KEY:
  rnk - rank based on how may games the given team would win if it
        played all other teams.

    u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
        approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places).

  spd - average margin of victory divided by 5 if the given team
        played all other teams.

  off - model offensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards of offense per down in a model simulation.

  def - model defensive power, which roughly corresponds to average
        yards per down that the defense moves the offense back
        in a model simulation.

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