Division IA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 2 7.55 13.0-0.0 5.4-7.6 IA Big_12 Texas 2 1 7.15 12.0-1.0 4.9-8.1 IA PAC_10 Southern California 3 1 5.98 11.0-1.0 5.0-7.0 IA Big_Ten Penn State 4 3 5.55 10.0-2.0 4.5-7.5 IA Big_Ten Ohio State 5 4 5.44 11.0-2.0 5.6-7.4 IA ACC Virginia Tech 6 4 5.42 11.0-1.0 5.6-6.4 IA Big_East West Virginia 7 3 5.38 11.0-2.0 5.6-7.4 IA SEC Louisiana State 8 3 5.02 11.0-1.0 6.0-6.0 IA MWC Texas Christian 9 5 4.87 10.0-2.0 5.1-6.9 IA PAC_10 Oregon 10 4 4.74 10.0-2.0 5.3-6.7 IA PAC_10 California - Los Angeles 11 5 4.49 9.0-3.0 4.5-7.5 IA Indep Notre Dame 12 6 4.43 10.0-3.0 5.6-7.4 IA SEC Georgia 13 4 4.38 10.0-2.0 5.6-6.4 IA SEC Alabama 14 3 4.33 10.0-3.0 5.7-7.3 IA Big_Ten Wisconsin 15 4 4.10 9.0-3.0 4.9-7.1 IA SEC Florida 16 7 3.86 9.0-3.0 5.1-6.9 IA ACC Boston College 17 4 3.74 9.0-3.0 5.3-6.7 IA ACC Miami - Florida 18 3 3.21 9.0-3.0 5.8-6.2 IA SEC Auburn 19 7 3.04 8.0-4.0 5.0-7.0 IA Big_12 Oklahoma 20 5 2.93 9.0-3.0 6.1-5.9 IA Big_East Louisville 21 10 2.86 8.0-4.0 5.1-6.9 IA Big_12 Nebraska 22 7 2.83 8.0-4.0 5.2-6.8 IA ACC Clemson 23 6 2.78 9.0-3.0 6.2-5.8 IA Big_12 Texas Tech 24 6 2.72 8.0-5.0 5.3-7.7 IA ACC Florida State 25 5 2.55 7.0-5.0 4.4-7.6 IA Big_Ten Northwestern 26 5 2.54 7.0-5.0 4.5-7.5 IA ACC Georgia Tech 27 5 2.46 7.0-5.0 4.5-7.5 IA Big_Ten Michigan 28 5 2.38 7.0-5.0 4.6-7.4 IA Big_Ten Minnesota 29 5 1.87 7.0-5.0 5.1-6.9 IA SEC South Carolina 30 5 1.87 7.0-5.0 5.1-6.9 IA Big_Ten Iowa 31 6 1.83 8.0-4.0 6.2-5.8 IA PAC_10 California 32 7 1.78 7.0-5.0 5.2-6.8 IA PAC_10 Arizona State 33 7 1.62 7.0-6.0 5.4-7.6 IA Big_12 Colorado 34 9 1.56 7.0-5.0 5.4-6.6 IA Big_12 Iowa State 35 9 1.46 7.0-5.0 5.5-6.5 IA ACC Virginia 36 7 1.37 7.0-5.0 5.6-6.4 IA Big_12 Kansas 37 9 1.35 7.0-5.0 5.7-6.3 IA ACC North Carolina State 38 7 1.34 5.0-6.0 3.7-7.3 IA ACC North Carolina 39 7 1.31 9.0-4.0 7.7-5.3 IA CUSA Tulsa 40 8 1.21 9.0-4.0 7.8-5.2 IA WAC Boise State 41 15 1.17 7.0-5.0 5.8-6.2 IA Big_12 Missouri 42 9 1.14 9.0-3.0 7.9-4.1 IA WAC Nevada - Reno 43 13 0.79 5.0-6.0 4.2-6.8 IA PAC_10 Stanford 44 11 0.79 7.0-5.0 6.2-5.8 IA Big_East Rutgers 45 14 0.77 6.0-6.0 5.2-6.8 IA Big_East South Florida 46 11 0.70 5.0-6.0 4.3-6.7 IA ACC Maryland 47 22 0.62 8.0-4.0 7.4-4.6 IA Indep Navy 48 17 0.58 9.0-3.0 8.4-3.6 IA MAC Toledo 49 14 0.53 5.0-6.0 4.5-6.5 IA Big_Ten Purdue 50 16 0.50 5.0-6.0 4.5-6.5 IA SEC Tennessee 51 21 0.50 7.0-5.0 6.5-5.5 IA MWC Utah 52 14 0.49 5.0-6.0 4.5-6.5 IA Big_12 Baylor 53 16 0.44 5.0-6.0 4.6-6.4 IA PAC_10 Oregon State 54 15 0.44 6.0-6.0 5.6-6.4 IA MWC Brigham Young 55 16 0.41 5.0-6.0 4.6-6.4 IA Big_12 Texas A&M 56 16 0.38 5.0-6.0 4.6-6.4 IA Big_Ten Michigan State 57 14 0.31 6.0-6.0 5.7-6.3 IA MWC Colorado State 58 13 0.28 6.0-5.0 5.7-5.3 IA MWC New Mexico 59 13 0.21 5.0-6.0 4.8-6.2 IA SEC Vanderbilt 60 13 0.20 7.0-4.0 6.8-4.2 IA WAC Louisiana Tech 61 18 0.17 8.0-5.0 7.8-5.2 IA WAC Fresno State 62 22 0.09 8.0-5.0 7.9-5.1 IA CUSA Central Florida 63 10 -0.05 5.0-6.0 5.0-6.0 IA Big_12 Kansas State 64 14 -0.28 8.0-4.0 8.3-3.7 IA CUSA Texas - El Paso 65 12 -0.35 7.0-5.0 7.4-4.6 IA CUSA Southern Mississippi 66 12 -0.45 7.0-5.0 7.5-4.5 IA CUSA Memphis 67 10 -0.46 7.0-4.0 7.5-3.5 IA MAC Western Michigan 68 10 -0.50 7.0-4.0 7.5-3.5 IA MAC Miami - Ohio 69 11 -0.51 5.0-6.0 5.5-5.5 IA Big_East Pittsburgh 70 12 -0.56 4.0-7.0 4.6-6.4 IA ACC Wake Forest 71 12 -0.63 4.0-7.0 4.6-6.4 IA Big_Ten Indiana 72 12 -0.71 7.0-5.0 7.7-4.3 IA MAC Northern Illinois 73 12 -0.72 4.0-7.0 4.7-6.3 IA SEC Arkansas 74 12 -0.73 6.0-5.0 6.7-4.3 IA MAC Central Michigan 75 14 -0.83 4.0-7.0 4.8-6.2 IA Big_12 Oklahoma State 76 12 -0.89 5.0-6.0 5.9-5.1 IA Big_East Connecticut 77 10 -0.90 5.0-7.0 5.9-6.1 IA MWC San Diego State 78 15 -0.95 4.0-7.0 5.0-6.0 IA Big_East Cincinnati 79 13 -1.06 4.0-7.0 5.1-5.9 IA PAC_10 Washington State 80 11 -1.31 6.0-5.0 7.3-3.7 IA MAC Bowling Green 81 17 -1.32 7.0-6.0 8.3-4.7 IA MAC Akron 82 15 -1.41 4.0-7.0 5.4-5.6 IA MWC Wyoming 83 15 -1.46 3.0-8.0 4.5-6.5 IA PAC_10 Arizona 84 16 -1.48 5.0-6.0 6.5-4.5 IA CUSA East Carolina 85 15 -1.51 4.0-7.0 5.5-5.5 IA MWC Air Force 86 15 -1.52 6.0-6.0 7.5-4.5 IA CUSA Houston 87 15 -1.58 5.0-6.0 6.6-4.4 IA CUSA Southern Methodist 88 18 -1.71 3.0-8.0 4.7-6.3 IA SEC Kentucky 89 17 -1.71 4.0-7.0 5.7-5.3 IA MAC Ball State 90 19 -1.72 5.0-7.0 6.7-5.3 IA WAC Hawaii 91 23 -1.77 4.0-7.0 5.8-5.2 IA Indep Army 92 20 -2.08 6.0-5.0 8.1-2.9 IA Sun_Belt Louisiana - Lafayette 93 20 -2.13 3.0-8.0 5.1-5.9 IA SEC Mississippi 94 16 -2.17 3.0-8.0 5.2-5.8 IA SEC Mississippi State 95 15 -2.25 4.0-7.0 6.2-4.8 IA MAC Ohio 96 15 -2.25 2.0-9.0 4.2-6.8 IA Big_Ten Illinois 97 15 -2.26 5.0-6.0 7.3-3.7 IA CUSA Alabama - Birmingham 98 17 -2.39 2.0-9.0 4.4-6.6 IA PAC_10 Washington 99 13 -2.59 5.0-6.0 7.6-3.4 IA Sun_Belt Northeast Louisiana 100 24 -2.66 6.0-6.0 8.7-3.3 IA Sun_Belt Arkansas State 101 13 -2.77 4.0-7.0 6.8-4.2 IA CUSA Marshall 102 13 -2.96 5.0-6.0 8.0-3.0 IA Sun_Belt Florida International 103 11 -3.00 4.0-7.0 7.0-4.0 IA MAC Eastern Michigan 104 13 -3.36 4.0-7.0 7.4-3.6 IA Sun_Belt Middle Tennessee State 105 12 -3.48 3.0-8.0 6.5-4.5 IA WAC Utah State 106 10 -3.60 1.0-*** 4.6-6.4 IA Big_East Syracuse 107 10 -3.82 3.0-8.0 6.8-4.2 IA WAC San Jose State 108 10 -3.83 1.0-*** 4.8-6.2 IA ACC Duke 109 10 -3.84 2.0-9.0 5.8-5.2 IA MWC Nevada - Las Vegas 110 10 -3.84 4.0-7.0 7.8-3.2 IA Sun_Belt Troy State 111 9 -4.40 0.0-*** 4.4-6.6 IA Indep Temple 112 9 -4.47 2.0-9.0 6.5-4.5 IA WAC Idaho 113 11 -4.82 2.0-9.0 6.8-4.2 IA Sun_Belt Florida Atlantic 114 8 -4.98 2.0-9.0 7.0-4.0 IA CUSA Tulane 115 8 -5.14 1.0-*** 6.1-4.9 IA CUSA Rice 116 7 -5.42 2.0-9.0 7.4-3.6 IA Sun_Belt North Texas 117 7 -5.78 1.0-*** 6.8-4.2 IA MAC Buffalo 118 7 -6.06 1.0-*** 7.1-3.9 IA MAC Kent State 119 5 -6.90 0.0-*** 6.9-5.1 IA WAC New Mexico State
Division IAA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 8 2.28 9.0-1.0 6.7-3.3 IAA Ivy Brown 2 8 1.89 11.0-2.0 9.1-3.9 IAA Atl_10 New Hampshire 3 12 1.47 12.0-3.0 10.5-4.5 IAA Southern Appalachian State 4 13 1.14 9.0-4.0 7.9-5.1 IAA Atl_10 Richmond 5 20 0.74 7.0-3.0 6.3-3.7 IAA Ivy Harvard 6 19 0.72 7.0-3.0 6.3-3.7 IAA Ivy Princeton 7 16 0.43 7.0-4.0 6.6-4.4 IAA Atl_10 Massachusetts 8 17 0.27 7.0-1.0 6.7-1.3 IAA Pioneer San Diego 9 23 0.22 11.0-3.0 10.8-3.2 IAA Southern Furman 10 23 0.22 11.0-1.0 10.8-1.2 IAA MEAC Hampton 11 20 0.22 8.0-3.0 7.8-3.2 IAA Patriot Lehigh 12 23 0.21 10.0-1.0 9.8-1.2 IAA SWAC Grambling 13 21 0.03 8.0-4.0 8.0-4.0 IAA Patriot Colgate 14 19 0.01 7.0-4.0 7.0-4.0 IAA Atl_10 Hofstra 15 26 -0.02 10.0-4.0 10.0-4.0 IAA Gateway Northern Iowa 16 17 -0.34 9.0-3.0 9.3-2.7 IAA Southland Texas State - San Marcos 17 21 -0.35 8.0-4.0 8.3-3.7 IAA Patriot Lafayette 18 20 -0.40 6.0-4.0 6.4-3.6 IAA Ivy Cornell 19 14 -0.47 6.0-4.0 6.5-3.5 IAA Atl_10 James Madison 20 15 -0.51 8.0-2.0 8.5-1.5 IAA Big_South Coastal Carolina 21 12 -0.52 7.0-1.0 7.5-0.5 IAA Pioneer Dayton 22 13 -0.62 7.0-3.0 7.6-2.4 IAA Gateway Youngstown State 23 22 -0.94 8.0-2.0 8.9-1.1 IAA MEAC South Carolina State 24 22 -1.07 5.0-5.0 6.1-3.9 IAA Atl_10 Delaware 25 20 -1.22 9.0-3.0 10.2-1.8 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Illinois 26 21 -1.34 9.0-4.0 10.3-2.7 IAA Great_West California Poly 27 21 -1.41 7.0-3.0 8.4-1.6 IAA MAAC Duquesne 28 22 -1.44 8.0-4.0 9.4-2.6 IAA Gateway Southern Illinois 29 23 -1.47 6.0-5.0 7.5-3.5 IAA Patriot Holy Cross 30 25 -1.53 5.0-5.0 6.5-3.5 IAA Ivy Pennsylvania 31 19 -1.53 4.0-6.0 5.5-4.5 IAA Atl_10 Maine 32 18 -1.62 7.0-4.0 8.6-2.4 IAA Big_Sky Montana State 33 25 -1.64 8.0-4.0 9.6-2.4 IAA Southern Georgia Southern 34 22 -1.65 7.0-4.0 8.7-2.3 IAA Gateway Illinois State 35 18 -1.65 7.0-4.0 8.7-2.3 IAA Big_Sky Montana 36 25 -1.70 5.0-5.0 6.7-3.3 IAA Atl_10 Towson 37 21 -1.73 5.0-4.0 6.7-2.3 IAA Southland Nicholls State 38 24 -1.74 6.0-3.0 7.7-1.3 IAA Pioneer Morehead State 39 23 -1.74 5.0-4.0 6.7-2.3 IAA Southland McNeese State 40 22 -2.04 6.0-4.0 8.0-2.0 IAA Great_West North Dakota State 41 26 -2.04 4.0-4.0 6.0-2.0 IAA Southern Western Carolina 42 21 -2.11 7.0-4.0 9.1-1.9 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Kentucky 43 26 -2.14 6.0-4.0 8.1-1.9 IAA MEAC Delaware State 44 21 -2.14 5.0-5.0 7.1-2.9 IAA Gateway Western Kentucky 45 22 -2.15 6.0-5.0 8.2-2.8 IAA Big_Sky Portland State 46 26 -2.25 7.0-4.0 9.2-1.8 IAA MAAC Marist 47 26 -2.26 7.0-4.0 9.3-1.7 IAA NE Central Connecticut 48 34 -2.27 8.0-3.0 10.3-0.7 IAA SWAC Alabama A&M 49 24 -2.28 4.0-6.0 6.3-3.7 IAA Ivy Yale 50 22 -2.34 6.0-5.0 8.3-2.7 IAA Great_West California - Davis 51 19 -2.36 5.0-6.0 7.4-3.6 IAA Atl_10 William & Mary 52 18 -2.43 5.0-3.0 7.4-0.6 IAA Big_South Charleston Southern 53 23 -2.49 5.0-5.0 7.5-2.5 IAA Southern Wofford 54 21 -2.49 4.0-7.0 6.5-4.5 IAA Atl_10 Villanova 55 21 -2.55 5.0-4.0 7.6-1.4 IAA NE Monmouth 56 21 -2.57 4.0-4.0 6.6-1.4 IAA Pioneer Drake 57 17 -2.57 3.0-3.0 5.6-0.4 IAA Pioneer Jacksonville 58 18 -2.61 5.0-5.0 7.6-2.4 IAA Big_Sky Weber State 59 22 -2.66 6.0-5.0 8.7-2.3 IAA Southern Tennessee - Chattanooga 60 17 -2.75 6.0-5.0 8.7-2.3 IAA Big_Sky Eastern Washington 61 16 -2.87 4.0-7.0 6.9-4.1 IAA Atl_10 Rhode Island 62 14 -2.87 4.0-5.0 6.9-2.1 IAA Great_West South Dakota State 63 22 -3.03 6.0-4.0 9.0-1.0 IAA MEAC Bethune - Cookman 64 17 -3.07 6.0-5.0 9.1-1.9 IAA MEAC Florida A&M 65 18 -3.07 6.0-5.0 9.1-1.9 IAA NE Stony Brook 66 14 -3.13 5.0-5.0 8.1-1.9 IAA Southland Northwestern State 67 25 -3.16 6.0-4.0 9.2-0.8 IAA SWAC Alabama State 68 19 -3.16 3.0-4.0 6.2-0.8 IAA MAAC La Salle 69 20 -3.28 5.0-6.0 8.3-2.7 IAA NE Albany 70 13 -3.54 3.0-6.0 6.5-2.5 IAA Gateway Southwest Missouri State 71 15 -3.59 2.0-8.0 5.6-4.4 IAA Ivy Dartmouth 72 14 -3.62 4.0-6.0 7.6-2.4 IAA Gateway Western Illinois 73 14 -3.73 6.0-5.0 9.7-1.3 IAA Ohio_V Jacksonville State 74 19 -3.75 4.0-7.0 7.7-3.3 IAA Patriot Georgetown 75 16 -3.86 6.0-5.0 9.9-1.1 IAA NE Wagner 76 15 -3.89 5.0-5.0 8.9-1.1 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee - Martin 77 17 -3.98 2.0-8.0 6.0-4.0 IAA Ivy Columbia 78 14 -4.00 4.0-6.0 8.0-2.0 IAA Big_Sky Idaho State 79 14 -4.05 4.0-7.0 8.1-2.9 IAA Southern The Citadel 80 19 -4.22 5.0-5.0 9.2-0.8 IAA SWAC Alcorn State 81 15 -4.28 4.0-6.0 8.3-1.7 IAA Ohio_V Samford 82 14 -4.34 3.0-5.0 7.3-0.7 IAA Pioneer Davidson 83 18 -4.34 5.0-5.0 9.3-0.7 IAA SWAC Mississippi Valley State 84 15 -4.37 4.0-6.0 8.4-1.6 IAA Southland Stephen F. Austin 85 13 -4.38 2.0-7.0 6.4-2.6 IAA Southland Sam Houston State 86 17 -4.38 4.0-5.0 8.4-0.6 IAA SWAC Southern 87 16 -4.39 4.0-6.0 8.4-1.6 IAA Indep Southeast Louisiana 88 16 -4.55 4.0-6.0 8.6-1.4 IAA NE Sacred Heart 89 12 -4.68 1.0-6.0 5.7-1.3 IAA MAAC Iona 90 12 -4.88 2.0-9.0 6.9-4.1 IAA Atl_10 Northeastern 91 12 -4.91 3.0-6.0 7.9-1.1 IAA Big_South Gardner - Webb 92 13 -5.11 4.0-6.0 9.1-0.9 IAA MEAC Norfolk State 93 10 -5.12 2.0-7.0 7.1-1.9 IAA Great_West Northern Colorado 94 10 -5.13 1.0-6.0 6.1-0.9 IAA MAAC Saint Peter's 95 13 -5.26 3.0-6.0 8.3-0.7 IAA SWAC Prairie View 96 12 -5.29 1.0-6.0 6.3-0.7 IAA Pioneer Austin Peay 97 13 -5.41 2.0-9.0 7.4-3.6 IAA Patriot Fordham 98 12 -5.55 3.0-7.0 8.6-1.4 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee Tech 99 10 -5.66 2.0-8.0 7.7-2.3 IAA Big_Sky Northern Arizona 100 10 -5.78 2.0-7.0 7.8-1.2 IAA NE Robert Morris 101 11 -5.82 3.0-8.0 8.8-2.2 IAA Big_South Virginia Military 102 9 -6.04 3.0-7.0 9.0-1.0 IAA MEAC Howard 103 10 -6.05 3.0-7.0 9.1-0.9 IAA MEAC North Carolina A&T 104 10 -6.12 2.0-8.0 8.1-1.9 IAA Southern Elon 105 8 -6.18 1.0-7.0 7.2-0.8 IAA Pioneer Valparaiso 106 10 -6.21 0.0-7.0 6.2-0.8 IAA Pioneer Butler 107 9 -6.29 3.0-7.0 9.3-0.7 IAA SWAC Arkansas - Pine Bluff 108 7 -6.53 1.0-9.0 7.5-2.5 IAA Big_Sky Sacramento State 109 7 -6.61 1.0-*** 7.6-3.4 IAA Patriot Bucknell 110 8 -6.67 3.0-8.0 9.7-1.3 IAA NE Saint Francis - Pennsylv 111 7 -6.69 2.0-8.0 8.7-1.3 IAA MEAC Morgan State 112 5 -7.04 1.0-9.0 8.0-2.0 IAA Great_West Southern Utah 113 5 -7.26 0.0-*** 7.3-2.7 IAA Gateway Indiana State 114 5 -7.52 2.0-9.0 9.5-1.5 IAA Ohio_V Murray State 115 4 -7.81 2.0-9.0 9.8-1.2 IAA Ohio_V Southeast Missouri State 116 4 -8.09 0.0-*** 8.1-1.9 IAA Big_South Liberty 117 5 -8.10 2.0-9.0 10.1-0.9 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee State 118 6 -8.13 2.0-9.0 10.1-0.9 IAA SWAC Jackson State 119 6 -8.20 0.0-9.0 8.2-0.8 IAA Indep Savannah State 120 5 -8.71 1.0-*** 9.7-1.3 IAA SWAC Texas Southern
KEY:
rnk - rank based on how may games the given team has won divided by
the average number of wins other teams would get playing that
schedule using the Bassett Football Model
u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places)
scr - Stephenson earned rank score: the actual wins of a team
subtracted by the average simulated wins of all teams if they
had played that team's schedule (as simulated by the model)
act w-l - actual win-loss record
sim w-l - simulated win-loss record of all teams if playing that schedule
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