ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
59 Rutgers over 214 Buffalo 38.5 to 7.0
8 Minnesota over 122 Florida Atlantic 38.5 to 3.5
50 New Mexico over 182 New Mexico State 38.5 to 7.0
30 Toledo over 211 Temple 52.5 to 14.0
7 Texas over 167 Rice 59.5 to 14.0
1 Texas Tech over 159 Sam Houston State 56.0 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
52 Alabama - Birmingham over 193 Jacksonville State 38.5 to 3.5
13 Auburn over 183 Ball State 45.5 to 3.5
91 Illinois State over 213 Eastern Illinois 42.0 to 21.0
143 Furman over 203 Samford 42.0 to 24.5
4 Georgia over 202 Northeast Louisiana 56.0 to 3.5
22 Iowa over 86 Northern Iowa 35.0 to 14.0
55 Kansas over 127 Louisiana Tech 31.5 to 10.5
96 Maine over 177 Richmond 17.5 to 3.5
40 Michigan over 126 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 7.0
36 Nebraska over 87 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 10.5
191 Morgan State over 229 Savannah State 42.0 to 28.0
10 North Carolina State over 173 Eastern Kentucky 49.0 to 10.5
149 Northern Arizona over 230 Southern Utah 35.0 to 7.0
69 Northern Illinois over 198 Tennessee Tech 49.0 to 17.5
21 Ohio State over 78 San Diego State 28.0 to 10.5
46 Oklahoma State over 152 Arkansas State 35.0 to 10.5
60 Penn State over 136 Central Michigan 35.0 to 14.0
128 Portland State over 209 Sacramento State 31.5 to 10.5
176 Robert Morris over 234 Butler 31.5 to 7.0
39 Stanford over 162 California - Davis 42.0 to 10.5
38 Texas A&M over 106 Southern Methodist 35.0 to 14.0
205 Morehead State over 238 Valparaiso 42.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
155 Hampton over 215 North Carolina A&T 24.5 to 10.5
31 Utah over 92 Texas Christian 28.0 to 17.5
32 Arizona State over 53 Northwestern 45.5 to 35.0
29 California over 63 Illinois 31.5 to 17.5
18 California - Los Angeles over 58 Oklahoma 35.0 to 21.0
121 Cornell over 178 Bucknell 24.5 to 10.5
174 Dayton over 235 Austin Peay 31.5 to 3.5
9 Florida over 35 Tennessee 28.0 to 14.0
99 Brown over 197 Georgetown 28.0 to 10.5
89 Hofstra over 163 Stony Brook 31.5 to 14.0
208 Sacred Heart over 239 Iona 28.0 to 7.0
120 James Madison over 179 Delaware State 31.5 to 17.5
109 Youngstown State over 223 Liberty 31.5 to 7.0
101 Massachusetts over 186 Albany 21.0 to 3.5
156 Memphis over 180 Tennessee - Chattanooga 24.5 to 17.5
61 Missouri over 84 Troy State 28.0 to 17.5
129 North Dakota State over 196 Weber State 24.5 to 7.0
25 Oregon over 42 Fresno State 38.5 to 28.0
57 Pennsylvania over 124 Duquesne 24.5 to 7.0
204 Southern over 233 Prairie View 38.5 to 21.0
17 Southern California over 56 Arkansas 28.0 to 14.0
85 New Hampshire over 171 Towson 24.5 to 14.0
2 Virginia Tech over 110 Ohio 28.0 to 0.0
82 Washington over 148 Idaho 35.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
192 Wagner over 225 Saint Peter's 17.5 to 10.5
44 Air Force over 48 Wyoming 28.0 to 21.0
201 Mississippi Valley State over 219 Alabama A&M 21.0 to 17.5
20 Purdue over 68 Arizona 28.0 to 21.0
75 Baylor over 131 Army 35.0 to 28.0
71 Montana State over 138 California Poly 24.5 to 17.5
220 Charleston Southern over 231 Jacksonville 24.5 to 14.0
144 Duke over 189 Virginia Military 10.5 to 3.5
195 Howard over 216 Florida A&M 17.5 to 14.0
15 Georgia Tech over 19 Connecticut 21.0 to 14.0
37 Harvard over 66 Holy Cross 31.5 to 28.0
90 Indiana over 88 Kentucky 28.0 to 21.0
125 Kent State over 123 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 28.0
27 Louisville over 41 Oregon State 31.5 to 24.5
150 Central Connecticut over 185 Marist 21.0 to 17.5
16 West Virginia over 47 Maryland 17.5 to 14.0
139 Montana over 147 South Dakota State 28.0 to 21.0
212 Murray State over 224 Indiana State 24.5 to 14.0
95 Nevada - Las Vegas over 142 Nevada - Reno 28.0 to 24.5
6 Wisconsin over 34 North Carolina 35.0 to 28.0
158 Southeast Louisiana over 206 Northern Colorado 31.5 to 21.0
33 South Carolina over 51 Alabama 21.0 to 14.0
79 Southern Mississippi over 103 McNeese State 28.0 to 17.5
100 South Florida over 104 Central Florida 21.0 to 17.5
188 Southwest Missouri State over 199 Southeast Missouri State 31.5 to 24.5
187 Stephen F. Austin over 207 Western Illinois 35.0 to 24.5
73 Syracuse over 76 Virginia 21.0 to 14.0
221 Tennessee State over 236 Tennessee - Martin 31.5 to 17.5
49 Vanderbilt over 43 Mississippi 17.5 to 14.0
141 Villanova over 161 Northeastern 31.5 to 21.0
112 Wake Forest over 164 East Carolina 35.0 to 21.0
113 Wofford over 115 Georgia Southern 31.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
81 Houston over 108 Texas - El Paso 24.5 to 24.5
151 Appalachian State over 146 Coastal Carolina 24.5 to 21.0
194 Alabama State over 210 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 21.0 to 21.0
12 Boston College over 5 Florida State 17.5 to 14.0
83 Western Carolina over 116 Cincinnati 24.5 to 24.5
11 Miami - Florida over 28 Clemson 21.0 to 17.5
111 Colgate over 140 Dartmouth 17.5 to 17.5
165 Fordham over 154 Columbia 24.5 to 21.0
226 Jackson State over 232 Texas Southern 14.0 to 7.0
94 Princeton over 119 Lafayette 17.5 to 17.5
190 Louisiana - Lafayette over 175 Northwestern State 21.0 to 21.0
117 Akron over 153 Middle Tennessee State 28.0 to 24.5
172 South Carolina State over 169 Bethune - Cookman 21.0 to 21.0
98 North Texas over 107 Tulsa 21.0 to 14.0
23 Notre Dame over 14 Michigan State 24.5 to 21.0
114 Tulane over 118 Mississippi State 21.0 to 21.0
67 Washington State over 70 Grambling 21.0 to 21.0
102 Rhode Island over 93 William & Mary 24.5 to 21.0
105 Yale over 135 San Diego 28.0 to 28.0
130 Southern Illinois over 157 Western Michigan 28.0 to 28.0
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