ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
21 Clemson over 197 Temple 45.5 to 3.5
144 Dayton over 237 Valparaiso 45.5 to 7.0
79 Toledo over 205 Buffalo 28.0 to 0.0
80-90% chance of victory:
132 Coastal Carolina over 230 Liberty 31.5 to 10.5
3 Virginia Tech over 49 Maryland 28.0 to 10.5
229 Jacksonville over 239 Austin Peay 35.0 to 17.5
56 Bowling Green over 152 Western Michigan 49.0 to 28.0
80 Lehigh over 178 Bucknell 35.0 to 17.5
31 Colorado over 78 Kansas 21.0 to 7.0
17 Florida State over 118 Duke 31.5 to 14.0
47 Miami - Ohio over 155 Eastern Michigan 35.0 to 17.5
122 Eastern Washington over 183 Weber State 35.0 to 17.5
116 Furman over 209 Elon 35.0 to 10.5
9 Georgia over 54 Arkansas 35.0 to 17.5
109 Georgia Southern over 177 The Citadel 31.5 to 14.0
33 Fresno State over 193 Idaho 49.0 to 17.5
10 Penn State over 100 Illinois 35.0 to 14.0
5 Ohio State over 81 Indiana 35.0 to 17.5
37 Massachusetts over 156 Maine 24.5 to 7.0
40 New Hampshire over 139 Northeastern 49.0 to 28.0
12 Oklahoma over 75 Baylor 28.0 to 7.0
30 Pittsburgh over 108 Syracuse 31.5 to 10.5
125 Portland State over 199 Northern Arizona 35.0 to 17.5
120 San Diego over 192 Drake 38.5 to 21.0
87 Tulsa over 133 Southern Methodist 28.0 to 10.5
2 Southern California over 86 Washington 38.5 to 14.0
65 William & Mary over 166 Towson 42.0 to 17.5
13 Wisconsin over 69 Purdue 38.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
16 Alabama over 29 Tennessee 21.0 to 14.0
24 Oregon over 107 Arizona 31.5 to 17.5
123 Arkansas State over 167 Florida Atlantic 31.5 to 17.5
44 California over 63 Washington State 31.5 to 21.0
18 California - Los Angeles over 34 Oregon State 42.0 to 31.5
8 Louisville over 88 Cincinnati 49.0 to 31.5
126 Dartmouth over 164 Columbia 21.0 to 10.5
41 James Madison over 115 Delaware 28.0 to 17.5
174 Eastern Kentucky over 219 Southeast Missouri State 35.0 to 17.5
62 Harvard over 93 Princeton 24.5 to 17.5
68 Iowa State over 119 Oklahoma State 24.5 to 10.5
105 Louisiana Tech over 160 North Texas 28.0 to 14.0
90 Memphis over 124 East Carolina 31.5 to 21.0
6 Miami - Florida over 36 Georgia Tech 24.5 to 7.0
27 Michigan State over 45 Northwestern 42.0 to 35.0
73 Mississippi over 114 Kentucky 28.0 to 17.5
213 Morehead State over 233 Davidson 17.5 to 3.5
135 Eastern Illinois over 218 Murray State 35.0 to 21.0
55 Utah over 138 Nevada - Las Vegas 31.5 to 17.5
14 Notre Dame over 59 Brigham Young 31.5 to 17.5
57 Pennsylvania over 89 Yale 21.0 to 14.0
77 Navy over 154 Rice 42.0 to 31.5
39 Hofstra over 101 Richmond 21.0 to 10.5
191 Southern over 222 Alcorn State 28.0 to 17.5
23 Arizona State over 72 Stanford 31.5 to 21.0
168 Jacksonville State over 220 Tennessee State 28.0 to 14.0
1 Texas over 4 Texas Tech 42.0 to 35.0
97 Texas State - San Marcos over 151 Northwestern State 24.5 to 10.5
158 Troy State over 187 Florida International 24.5 to 14.0
58 Boise State over 159 Utah State 35.0 to 21.0
110 Villanova over 146 Rhode Island 31.5 to 17.5
103 Western Kentucky over 202 Western Illinois 45.5 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
43 Southern Mississippi over 106 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 24.5
60 Air Force over 51 Texas Christian 31.5 to 31.5
215 Alabama A&M over 212 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 14.0 to 10.5
112 Central Florida over 127 Tulane 28.0 to 21.0
225 Charleston Southern over 232 Savannah State 24.5 to 17.5
53 Colorado State over 67 Wyoming 28.0 to 21.0
66 Cornell over 71 Brown 38.5 to 31.5
196 Delaware State over 194 Morgan State 21.0 to 17.5
175 Fordham over 207 Georgetown 14.0 to 10.5
111 South Carolina State over 149 Hampton 17.5 to 14.0
92 Holy Cross over 91 Colgate 21.0 to 17.5
204 Howard over 211 North Carolina A&T 14.0 to 10.5
104 Illinois State over 113 Northern Iowa 35.0 to 28.0
140 Southern Illinois over 201 Indiana State 24.5 to 17.5
19 Iowa over 11 Michigan 21.0 to 17.5
200 Grambling over 221 Jackson State 24.5 to 21.0
20 Texas A&M over 76 Kansas State 42.0 to 35.0
82 Northern Illinois over 131 Kent State 31.5 to 24.5
128 Middle Tennessee State over 157 Louisiana - Lafayette 28.0 to 17.5
99 Mississippi State over 117 Houston 21.0 to 14.0
227 Mississippi Valley State over 228 Texas Southern 28.0 to 21.0
182 Monmouth over 185 Robert Morris 21.0 to 17.5
95 California Poly over 134 Montana 17.5 to 14.0
35 Virginia over 85 North Carolina 28.0 to 21.0
129 North Dakota State over 148 California - Davis 17.5 to 14.0
143 Ohio over 171 Ball State 28.0 to 17.5
172 Idaho State over 208 Sacramento State 28.0 to 21.0
198 Albany over 223 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 24.5 to 21.0
165 Stephen F. Austin over 203 Sam Houston State 28.0 to 21.0
52 San Diego State over 64 New Mexico 24.5 to 17.5
102 Hawaii over 136 San Jose State 35.0 to 31.5
46 South Carolina over 61 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 21.0
142 McNeese State over 195 Southeast Louisiana 31.5 to 24.5
179 Northern Colorado over 210 Southern Utah 24.5 to 21.0
216 Tennessee - Martin over 217 Samford 31.5 to 24.5
84 Texas - El Paso over 83 Marshall 24.5 to 21.0
186 Virginia Military over 188 Gardner - Webb 31.5 to 28.0
38 North Carolina State over 74 Wake Forest 28.0 to 24.5
98 Appalachian State over 147 Wofford 24.5 to 17.5
163 Youngstown State over 153 Southwest Missouri State 17.5 to 14.0
50-60% chance of victory:
141 Akron over 130 Army 28.0 to 24.5
70 Connecticut over 50 Rutgers 21.0 to 21.0
206 Norfolk State over 224 Florida A&M 28.0 to 24.5
7 Auburn over 22 Louisiana State 17.5 to 17.5
162 Duquesne over 176 Marist 14.0 to 14.0
42 Missouri over 32 Nebraska 24.5 to 24.5
189 Stony Brook over 214 Sacred Heart 21.0 to 21.0
26 West Virginia over 48 South Florida 24.5 to 21.0
180 Western Carolina over 190 Tennessee - Chattanooga 17.5 to 17.5
184 Wagner over 173 Central Connecticut 21.0 to 21.0
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