ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
155 Dayton over 239 Butler 45.5 to 7.0
64 Lehigh over 193 Georgetown 38.5 to 7.0
1 Southern California over 59 Stanford 42.0 to 10.5
36 Virginia over 175 Temple 35.0 to 3.5
80-90% chance of victory:
210 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 236 Prairie View 28.0 to 10.5
2 Texas over 96 Baylor 35.0 to 10.5
34 Boise State over 162 New Mexico State 45.5 to 17.5
33 Clemson over 131 Duke 31.5 to 7.0
51 Harvard over 179 Columbia 31.5 to 10.5
168 Duquesne over 227 La Salle 35.0 to 14.0
12 Florida over 63 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 14.0
38 Fresno State over 158 San Jose State 42.0 to 14.0
27 Iowa State over 80 Kansas State 31.5 to 14.0
7 Auburn over 95 Kentucky 31.5 to 10.5
8 Louisiana State over 122 Appalachian State 42.0 to 10.5
76 Miami - Ohio over 183 Buffalo 35.0 to 10.5
101 Montana over 206 Northern Arizona 31.5 to 14.0
5 Ohio State over 88 Illinois 35.0 to 7.0
69 Richmond over 200 Virginia Military 38.5 to 7.0
128 Coastal Carolina over 237 Savannah State 49.0 to 17.5
165 Eastern Illinois over 226 Tennessee State 24.5 to 10.5
188 Drake over 235 Valparaiso 38.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
28 West Virginia over 57 Connecticut 28.0 to 17.5
11 Louisville over 29 Pittsburgh 38.5 to 28.0
190 Alabama A&M over 222 Jackson State 31.5 to 17.5
182 Albany over 205 Robert Morris 21.0 to 10.5
19 California - Los Angeles over 73 Arizona 35.0 to 24.5
83 Central Michigan over 123 Northern Illinois 28.0 to 14.0
22 Colorado over 44 Missouri 28.0 to 17.5
202 Florida A&M over 217 North Carolina A&T 21.0 to 10.5
20 Florida State over 42 North Carolina State 28.0 to 17.5
195 Gardner - Webb over 225 Charleston Southern 38.5 to 24.5
86 Georgia Southern over 109 Furman 42.0 to 35.0
133 South Carolina State over 218 Howard 21.0 to 7.0
26 Minnesota over 91 Indiana 38.5 to 28.0
192 Marist over 230 Iona 28.0 to 17.5
21 Alabama over 111 Mississippi State 21.0 to 7.0
156 Montana State over 207 Sacramento State 28.0 to 14.0
177 Eastern Kentucky over 228 Murray State 35.0 to 21.0
68 Navy over 115 Tulane 31.5 to 21.0
47 Brigham Young over 130 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 24.5
146 North Dakota State over 189 Northern Colorado 28.0 to 14.0
157 Northeast Louisiana over 187 Florida International 28.0 to 17.5
9 Notre Dame over 37 Tennessee 28.0 to 14.0
23 Oregon over 31 California 31.5 to 21.0
13 Penn State over 25 Wisconsin 28.0 to 21.0
181 Monmouth over 223 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 21.0
173 South Dakota State over 212 Southern Utah 35.0 to 17.5
98 Southern Illinois over 144 Youngstown State 21.0 to 10.5
108 California - Davis over 197 Stephen F. Austin 31.5 to 17.5
203 Samford over 233 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 21.0
66 Texas - El Paso over 89 Tulsa 24.5 to 17.5
124 Texas State - San Marcos over 184 McNeese State 35.0 to 21.0
3 Texas Tech over 41 Texas A&M 42.0 to 21.0
94 Villanova over 166 Towson 31.5 to 21.0
4 Virginia Tech over 10 Miami - Florida 21.0 to 14.0
17 Arizona State over 75 Washington State 42.0 to 31.5
60-70% chance of victory:
92 Memphis over 107 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 28.0
87 Toledo over 143 Ohio 31.5 to 24.5
82 Air Force over 102 Army 28.0 to 21.0
221 Alcorn State over 216 Mississippi Valley State 24.5 to 21.0
125 California Poly over 132 Eastern Washington 28.0 to 21.0
84 Central Florida over 97 Houston 28.0 to 21.0
105 Cornell over 150 Dartmouth 24.5 to 21.0
58 Massachusetts over 104 Delaware 21.0 to 17.5
152 Fordham over 151 Bucknell 24.5 to 21.0
45 Georgia Tech over 46 Wake Forest 21.0 to 17.5
141 Portland State over 185 Idaho State 31.5 to 28.0
159 Western Illinois over 209 Indiana State 28.0 to 21.0
50 Kansas over 54 Nebraska 17.5 to 14.0
119 Nevada - Reno over 113 Hawaii 31.5 to 28.0
24 Boston College over 70 North Carolina 21.0 to 14.0
136 Louisiana - Lafayette over 186 North Texas 28.0 to 24.5
15 Iowa over 55 Northwestern 28.0 to 24.5
149 Northwestern State over 129 Nicholls State 21.0 to 17.5
62 Pennsylvania over 71 Princeton 24.5 to 21.0
56 Rutgers over 43 South Florida 21.0 to 21.0
170 Central Connecticut over 204 Sacred Heart 31.5 to 24.5
135 Southern Methodist over 137 Rice 28.0 to 24.5
194 Stony Brook over 208 Wagner 28.0 to 21.0
201 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 199 The Citadel 28.0 to 24.5
196 Southeast Missouri State over 219 Tennessee - Martin 28.0 to 24.5
30 Texas Christian over 40 Colorado State 31.5 to 24.5
215 Southern over 234 Texas Southern 28.0 to 21.0
52 Utah over 65 Wyoming 31.5 to 24.5
106 Louisiana Tech over 147 Utah State 24.5 to 21.0
77 Washington over 74 Oregon State 24.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
171 Grambling over 191 Alabama State 31.5 to 31.5
49 Arkansas over 32 South Carolina 28.0 to 28.0
103 Akron over 140 Ball State 24.5 to 21.0
174 Bethune - Cookman over 153 Hampton 21.0 to 21.0
112 Western Michigan over 139 Eastern Michigan 28.0 to 24.5
61 Hofstra over 39 New Hampshire 35.0 to 35.0
121 Bowling Green over 167 Kent State 24.5 to 21.0
116 Lafayette over 100 Colgate 21.0 to 21.0
127 Arkansas State over 154 Middle Tennessee State 17.5 to 17.5
213 Norfolk State over 220 Morgan State 31.5 to 31.5
110 Maine over 142 Northeastern 28.0 to 24.5
18 Michigan State over 35 Purdue 28.0 to 28.0
180 Sam Houston State over 161 Southeast Louisiana 28.0 to 28.0
134 Illinois State over 176 Southwest Missouri State 31.5 to 28.0
160 Troy State over 148 Florida Atlantic 14.0 to 14.0
145 Wofford over 169 Western Carolina 17.5 to 17.5
138 Western Kentucky over 117 Northern Iowa 21.0 to 21.0
67 James Madison over 93 William & Mary 24.5 to 24.5
81 Yale over 60 Brown 21.0 to 17.5
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