ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
111 California Poly over 222 Southern Utah 42.0 to 10.5
42 New Hampshire over 229 Iona 59.5 to 7.0
62 Texas - El Paso over 234 Texas Southern 59.5 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
130 South Carolina State over 219 Morgan State 38.5 to 14.0
8 Louisville over 69 Rutgers 49.0 to 28.0
34 Arizona over 86 Washington 24.5 to 10.5
52 Brown over 147 Dartmouth 35.0 to 10.5
2 Southern California over 37 California 35.0 to 21.0
81 Colgate over 174 Bucknell 31.5 to 10.5
83 Cornell over 172 Columbia 28.0 to 7.0
137 Eastern Illinois over 213 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 14.0
157 Eastern Kentucky over 221 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 14.0
192 Georgetown over 228 Davidson 21.0 to 7.0
87 Georgia Southern over 206 Morehead State 38.5 to 7.0
141 Hampton over 197 Florida A&M 24.5 to 7.0
109 Illinois State over 210 Indiana State 38.5 to 14.0
46 James Madison over 133 Villanova 38.5 to 14.0
144 Kent State over 200 Buffalo 24.5 to 7.0
11 Michigan over 75 Indiana 35.0 to 10.5
95 Middle Tennessee State over 182 Northeast Louisiana 31.5 to 10.5
224 Murray State over 239 Austin Peay 35.0 to 10.5
9 Notre Dame over 58 Navy 42.0 to 21.0
5 Ohio State over 50 Northwestern 35.0 to 17.5
3 Texas Tech over 97 Oklahoma State 38.5 to 14.0
39 Purdue over 110 Illinois 35.0 to 14.0
79 Montana over 207 Sacramento State 31.5 to 7.0
43 Tennessee over 119 Memphis 31.5 to 14.0
1 Texas over 40 Kansas 35.0 to 7.0
25 Texas Christian over 131 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 10.5
4 Miami - Florida over 76 Wake Forest 31.5 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
18 West Virginia over 91 Cincinnati 31.5 to 17.5
78 Alabama - Birmingham over 102 Central Florida 31.5 to 21.0
171 Alabama A&M over 216 Alcorn State 28.0 to 17.5
199 Charleston Southern over 227 Liberty 21.0 to 7.0
64 Lehigh over 155 Fordham 38.5 to 24.5
123 Furman over 178 Wofford 35.0 to 21.0
112 Hawaii over 149 Utah State 31.5 to 17.5
96 Louisiana Tech over 170 Idaho 31.5 to 21.0
19 Minnesota over 29 Michigan State 35.0 to 28.0
59 Missouri over 103 Baylor 24.5 to 10.5
74 Nebraska over 99 Kansas State 35.0 to 24.5
114 Nevada - Reno over 181 New Mexico State 31.5 to 21.0
66 Hofstra over 166 Northeastern 35.0 to 21.0
151 Idaho State over 211 Northern Arizona 31.5 to 21.0
167 Sam Houston State over 218 Northern Colorado 31.5 to 17.5
32 Oklahoma over 53 Texas A&M 31.5 to 21.0
36 Pittsburgh over 84 Connecticut 31.5 to 17.5
152 Portland State over 179 Weber State 31.5 to 24.5
56 Princeton over 108 Yale 24.5 to 10.5
163 Jacksonville State over 223 Samford 31.5 to 17.5
156 San Diego over 189 Marist 31.5 to 21.0
129 Nicholls State over 190 Southeast Louisiana 31.5 to 24.5
205 Southeast Missouri State over 233 Tennessee State 24.5 to 10.5
93 Texas State - San Marcos over 165 Stephen F. Austin 31.5 to 21.0
26 South Florida over 116 Syracuse 28.0 to 17.5
98 Tulsa over 125 East Carolina 31.5 to 21.0
24 Utah over 67 New Mexico 35.0 to 21.0
20 Oregon over 77 Washington State 35.0 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
55 Southern Mississippi over 101 Marshall 28.0 to 21.0
124 Appalachian State over 143 Western Carolina 17.5 to 10.5
202 Southern over 225 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 24.5 to 17.5
135 Troy State over 175 Arkansas State 28.0 to 24.5
49 Massachusetts over 106 Army 17.5 to 10.5
41 Boston College over 28 North Carolina State 17.5 to 14.0
17 Arizona State over 60 California - Los Angeles 42.0 to 35.0
31 Clemson over 30 Florida State 28.0 to 24.5
68 Colorado State over 73 San Diego State 24.5 to 17.5
194 Delaware State over 204 Norfolk State 24.5 to 17.5
150 Eastern Michigan over 148 Ball State 28.0 to 24.5
138 Eastern Washington over 146 Montana State 31.5 to 28.0
169 Florida Atlantic over 176 North Texas 17.5 to 14.0
16 Georgia over 15 Auburn 21.0 to 17.5
48 Harvard over 70 Pennsylvania 28.0 to 17.5
153 Louisiana - Lafayette over 177 Florida International 35.0 to 24.5
105 Maine over 122 Rhode Island 24.5 to 17.5
158 Northwestern State over 193 McNeese State 24.5 to 21.0
184 Alabama State over 220 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 28.0
186 Monmouth over 185 Albany 14.0 to 10.5
45 North Carolina over 47 Maryland 24.5 to 17.5
104 North Dakota State over 126 South Dakota State 24.5 to 17.5
107 Northern Iowa over 115 Southern Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
51 Oregon State over 61 Stanford 28.0 to 21.0
231 Prairie View over 236 Jackson State 21.0 to 17.5
201 Robert Morris over 203 Sacred Heart 31.5 to 28.0
14 Florida over 38 South Carolina 24.5 to 21.0
198 The Citadel over 209 Elon 17.5 to 10.5
72 Richmond over 134 Towson 24.5 to 17.5
63 Vanderbilt over 90 Kentucky 35.0 to 28.0
33 Virginia over 44 Georgia Tech 21.0 to 17.5
208 Wagner over 214 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 28.0 to 24.5
180 Western Illinois over 173 Southwest Missouri State 38.5 to 35.0
118 Western Michigan over 117 Central Michigan 35.0 to 31.5
80 William & Mary over 100 Delaware 31.5 to 24.5
21 Wisconsin over 22 Iowa 28.0 to 24.5
154 Youngstown State over 139 Western Kentucky 17.5 to 14.0
50-60% chance of victory:
35 Fresno State over 23 Boise State 28.0 to 24.5
12 Alabama over 6 Louisiana State 10.5 to 10.5
120 Holy Cross over 113 Lafayette 21.0 to 21.0
188 Bethune - Cookman over 212 Howard 21.0 to 17.5
27 Iowa State over 13 Colorado 21.0 to 21.0
235 La Salle over 230 Saint Peter's 35.0 to 35.0
82 Mississippi over 65 Arkansas 17.5 to 17.5
161 Rice over 145 Tulane 28.0 to 24.5
217 Gardner - Webb over 232 Savannah State 31.5 to 28.0
162 Central Connecticut over 187 Stony Brook 21.0 to 21.0
57 Brigham Young over 89 Wyoming 24.5 to 24.5
55 Southern Mississippi over 88 Houston 28.0 to 28.0
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