ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 144 Hampton over 236 Savannah State 42.0 to 7.0 61 Navy over 184 Temple 38.5 to 10.5 13 Notre Dame over 130 Syracuse 38.5 to 7.0 80-90% chance of victory: 48 Boise State over 149 Idaho 42.0 to 17.5 129 California Poly over 193 Idaho State 35.0 to 21.0 69 Brown over 173 Columbia 31.5 to 14.0 187 Delaware State over 217 Howard 21.0 to 7.0 112 Appalachian State over 214 Elon 24.5 to 7.0 102 Colgate over 215 Georgetown 24.5 to 7.0 51 James Madison over 141 Towson 38.5 to 14.0 7 Miami - Florida over 46 Georgia Tech 24.5 to 7.0 5 Louisiana State over 93 Mississippi 24.5 to 7.0 33 New Hampshire over 115 Maine 35.0 to 14.0 127 Nicholls State over 182 McNeese State 38.5 to 21.0 117 South Carolina State over 223 North Carolina A&T 35.0 to 7.0 42 North Carolina State over 138 Middle Tennessee State 31.5 to 10.5 19 Oregon over 58 Oregon State 35.0 to 17.5 145 San Diego over 222 Morehead State 35.0 to 14.0 2 Southern California over 28 Fresno State 31.5 to 10.5 21 South Florida over 128 Cincinnati 31.5 to 3.5 106 Texas State - San Marcos over 196 Sam Houston State 35.0 to 10.5 70-80% chance of victory: 59 Miami - Ohio over 92 Bowling Green 35.0 to 28.0 71 Toledo over 94 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 21.0 81 Army over 146 Arkansas State 31.5 to 14.0 8 Auburn over 37 Alabama 24.5 to 10.5 150 Coastal Carolina over 212 Charleston Southern 31.5 to 21.0 16 Georgia over 74 Kentucky 35.0 to 17.5 85 Houston over 134 Southern Methodist 28.0 to 14.0 25 Purdue over 83 Indiana 31.5 to 21.0 152 Jacksonville State over 176 Eastern Illinois 24.5 to 14.0 52 Lehigh over 96 Lafayette 24.5 to 14.0 103 Marshall over 147 East Carolina 31.5 to 17.5 56 Arkansas over 118 Mississippi State 21.0 to 10.5 84 Colorado State over 160 Nevada - Las Vegas 28.0 to 17.5 55 New Mexico over 88 Air Force 35.0 to 24.5 63 North Carolina over 122 Duke 28.0 to 14.0 123 Northern Iowa over 180 Northern Arizona 31.5 to 14.0 190 Alabama A&M over 230 Prairie View 21.0 to 10.5 121 Rhode Island over 139 Northeastern 35.0 to 24.5 142 Duquesne over 213 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 21.0 45 San Diego State over 97 Wyoming 24.5 to 14.0 65 Southern Mississippi over 107 Memphis 35.0 to 21.0 34 Tennessee over 89 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 17.5 114 Furman over 200 Tennessee - Chattanooga 42.0 to 28.0 171 Eastern Kentucky over 226 Tennessee State 24.5 to 14.0 54 Texas - El Paso over 101 Alabama - Birmingham 28.0 to 17.5 64 Tulsa over 148 Tulane 31.5 to 21.0 109 Nevada - Reno over 170 Utah State 31.5 to 24.5 60-70% chance of victory: 136 Akron over 137 Ohio 24.5 to 21.0 72 Baylor over 67 Oklahoma State 14.0 to 10.5 41 Brigham Young over 49 Utah 31.5 to 24.5 95 Princeton over 133 Dartmouth 17.5 to 14.0 119 Eastern Washington over 132 California - Davis 24.5 to 17.5 177 Fordham over 189 Albany 14.0 to 10.5 158 Wofford over 202 Gardner - Webb 24.5 to 21.0 60 Hofstra over 77 Massachusetts 24.5 to 17.5 73 Northwestern over 124 Illinois 28.0 to 24.5 12 Iowa over 14 Minnesota 24.5 to 21.0 220 Alcorn State over 233 Jackson State 28.0 to 24.5 18 Boston College over 50 Maryland 21.0 to 17.5 3 Ohio State over 11 Michigan 21.0 to 17.5 9 Penn State over 39 Michigan State 28.0 to 21.0 113 Montana over 165 Montana State 24.5 to 17.5 174 Bethune - Cookman over 204 Florida A&M 31.5 to 21.0 221 Norfolk State over 229 Liberty 31.5 to 21.0 155 Northwestern State over 168 Stephen F. Austin 24.5 to 17.5 100 Central Florida over 135 Rice 31.5 to 28.0 87 Richmond over 98 William & Mary 24.5 to 17.5 154 San Jose State over 164 New Mexico State 31.5 to 24.5 162 South Dakota State over 179 Northern Colorado 24.5 to 17.5 111 Southern Illinois over 104 North Dakota State 24.5 to 17.5 219 Tennessee - Martin over 210 Murray State 24.5 to 21.0 24 Texas Tech over 20 Oklahoma 31.5 to 28.0 6 Virginia Tech over 30 Virginia 24.5 to 17.5 53 Washington over 57 Washington State 24.5 to 21.0 40 Harvard over 79 Yale 17.5 to 14.0 50-60% chance of victory: 120 Central Michigan over 143 Ball State 28.0 to 24.5 126 Holy Cross over 151 Bucknell 24.5 to 21.0 178 Buffalo over 157 Eastern Michigan 17.5 to 17.5 163 Western Kentucky over 191 Florida International 21.0 to 21.0 43 Missouri over 76 Kansas State 31.5 to 28.0 198 Marist over 188 Stony Brook 24.5 to 24.5 192 Southeast Louisiana over 207 Mississippi Valley State 31.5 to 31.5 167 North Texas over 153 Northeast Louisiana 28.0 to 28.0 90 Pennsylvania over 70 Cornell 24.5 to 21.0 23 Clemson over 38 South Carolina 24.5 to 21.0 209 Southern Utah over 195 Weber State 21.0 to 21.0 44 Stanford over 31 California 21.0 to 17.5 218 Tennessee Tech over 205 Southeast Missouri State 31.5 to 31.5 225 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 234 Texas Southern 17.5 to 17.5 80 Delaware over 116 Villanova 21.0 to 21.0 197 Virginia Military over 181 The Citadel 21.0 to 17.5
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