ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 80-90% chance of victory: 40 Fresno State over 108 Louisiana Tech 35.0 to 17.5 30 New Hampshire over 117 Northern Iowa 45.5 to 28.0 4 Virginia Tech over 42 Florida State 28.0 to 10.5 1 Texas over 49 Colorado 35.0 to 10.5 70-80% chance of victory: 162 Grambling over 222 Alcorn State 35.0 to 24.5 7 Louisville over 59 Connecticut 35.0 to 24.5 69 Richmond over 135 Furman 31.5 to 17.5 2 Southern California over 29 California - Los Angeles 45.5 to 28.0 8 West Virginia over 51 South Florida 24.5 to 14.0 60-70% chance of victory: 55 San Diego State over 107 Hawaii 28.0 to 21.0 5 Georgia over 19 Louisiana State 17.5 to 10.5 74 Navy over 90 Army 28.0 to 24.5 92 Texas State - San Marcos over 119 California Poly 31.5 to 21.0 50-60% chance of victory: 98 Appalachian State over 85 Southern Illinois 21.0 to 17.5 96 Central Florida over 83 Tulsa 24.5 to 21.0 134 Florida International over 118 Middle Tennessee State 21.0 to 21.0
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