ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 70-80% chance of victory: 69 Southern Mississippi over 146 Arkansas State 31.5 to 17.5 20 California over 60 Brigham Young 28.0 to 17.5 25 Arizona State over 54 Rutgers 35.0 to 28.0 14 Michigan over 38 Nebraska 24.5 to 14.0 60-70% chance of victory: 91 Northern Iowa over 109 Appalachian State 28.0 to 24.5 73 Toledo over 92 Texas - El Paso 31.5 to 28.0 59 Navy over 79 Colorado State 31.5 to 28.0 51 Kansas over 96 Houston 24.5 to 17.5 84 Memphis over 113 Akron 24.5 to 21.0 22 Clemson over 47 Colorado 24.5 to 17.5 10 Miami - Florida over 19 Louisiana State 17.5 to 14.0 26 Minnesota over 31 Virginia 31.5 to 31.5 24 Texas Christian over 32 Iowa State 24.5 to 21.0 43 Fresno State over 74 Tulsa 28.0 to 21.0 7 Auburn over 21 Wisconsin 28.0 to 21.0 5 Georgia over 11 West Virginia 21.0 to 17.5 3 Ohio State over 12 Notre Dame 28.0 to 21.0 13 Texas Tech over 23 Alabama 24.5 to 21.0 8 Penn State over 27 Florida State 24.5 to 21.0 50-60% chance of victory: 98 Nevada - Reno over 112 Central Florida 31.5 to 31.5 17 Boston College over 35 Boise State 24.5 to 24.5 15 Oregon over 18 Oklahoma 28.0 to 24.5 40 Utah over 42 Georgia Tech 21.0 to 21.0 41 California - Los Angeles over 48 Northwestern 42.0 to 38.5 44 South Carolina over 52 Missouri 24.5 to 24.5 36 North Carolina State over 45 South Florida 17.5 to 17.5 9 Iowa over 16 Florida 21.0 to 21.0 4 Louisville over 6 Virginia Tech 28.0 to 28.0 1 Texas over 2 Southern California 31.5 to 28.0
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