Division IA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 1 7.66 13.0-1.0 5.3-8.7 IA SEC Florida 2 2 6.38 11.0-2.0 4.6-8.4 IA PAC_10 Southern California 3 2 6.12 12.0-1.0 5.9-7.1 IA Big_Ten Ohio State 4 2 5.62 11.0-2.0 5.4-7.6 IA Big_Ten Michigan 5 3 5.52 12.0-1.0 6.5-6.5 IA Big_East Louisville 6 5 5.12 11.0-2.0 5.9-7.1 IA SEC Auburn 7 2 5.08 13.0-0.0 7.9-5.1 IA WAC Boise State 8 3 5.07 11.0-3.0 5.9-8.1 IA Big_12 Oklahoma 9 5 4.79 12.0-1.0 7.2-5.8 IA Big_Ten Wisconsin 10 7 4.64 11.0-2.0 6.4-6.6 IA SEC Louisiana State 11 5 4.57 11.0-2.0 6.4-6.6 IA Big_East West Virginia 12 5 4.55 11.0-2.0 6.5-6.5 IA Big_East Rutgers 13 6 4.51 11.0-3.0 6.5-7.5 IA ACC Wake Forest 14 6 4.46 10.0-3.0 5.5-7.5 IA PAC_10 California 15 7 4.32 10.0-3.0 5.7-7.3 IA Indep Notre Dame 16 6 4.19 11.0-2.0 6.8-6.2 IA MWC Brigham Young 17 7 4.16 9.0-4.0 4.8-8.2 IA SEC Tennessee 18 5 4.00 10.0-4.0 6.0-8.0 IA PAC_10 Oregon State 19 7 3.98 10.0-4.0 6.0-8.0 IA SEC Arkansas 20 5 3.98 10.0-3.0 6.0-7.0 IA ACC Boston College 21 4 3.89 11.0-2.0 7.1-5.9 IA MWC Texas Christian 22 4 3.69 10.0-3.0 6.3-6.7 IA Big_12 Texas 23 4 3.29 10.0-3.0 6.7-6.3 IA ACC Virginia Tech 24 4 3.04 9.0-4.0 6.0-7.0 IA SEC Georgia 25 4 2.76 9.0-4.0 6.2-6.8 IA Big_12 Texas A&M 26 5 2.69 9.0-5.0 6.3-7.7 IA Big_12 Nebraska 27 6 2.69 9.0-4.0 6.3-6.7 IA Big_Ten Penn State 28 5 2.68 9.0-4.0 6.3-6.7 IA ACC Maryland 29 15 2.42 8.0-5.0 5.6-7.4 IA SEC Kentucky 30 6 2.29 9.0-5.0 6.7-7.3 IA ACC Georgia Tech 31 7 2.25 9.0-4.0 6.8-6.2 IA Big_East South Florida 32 8 2.17 8.0-5.0 5.8-7.2 IA SEC South Carolina 33 6 2.13 11.0-3.0 8.9-5.1 IA WAC Hawaii 34 7 2.11 8.0-5.0 5.9-7.1 IA Big_12 Texas Tech 35 9 2.02 8.0-5.0 6.0-7.0 IA Big_East Cincinnati 36 9 1.84 9.0-4.0 7.2-5.8 IA Indep Navy 37 8 1.80 7.0-6.0 5.2-7.8 IA PAC_10 Oregon 38 11 1.64 7.0-6.0 5.4-7.6 IA PAC_10 California - Los Angeles 39 8 1.58 8.0-5.0 6.4-6.6 IA Big_12 Missouri 40 7 1.49 7.0-6.0 5.5-7.5 IA PAC_10 Arizona State 41 9 1.45 10.0-4.0 8.5-5.5 IA CUSA Houston 42 8 1.45 6.0-6.0 4.6-7.4 IA PAC_10 Arizona 43 9 1.34 10.0-4.0 8.7-5.3 IA MAC Central Michigan 44 10 1.29 8.0-5.0 6.7-6.3 IA ACC Clemson 45 9 1.19 8.0-6.0 6.8-7.2 IA Big_Ten Purdue 46 9 1.07 6.0-6.0 4.9-7.1 IA PAC_10 Washington State 47 7 1.03 9.0-5.0 8.0-6.0 IA CUSA Southern Mississippi 48 12 0.89 8.0-5.0 7.1-5.9 IA MWC Utah 49 7 0.86 7.0-6.0 6.1-6.9 IA Big_12 Kansas State 50 11 0.84 7.0-6.0 6.2-6.8 IA Big_12 Oklahoma State 51 16 0.84 7.0-6.0 6.2-6.8 IA ACC Florida State 52 12 0.58 9.0-4.0 8.4-4.6 IA WAC San Jose State 53 12 0.41 7.0-6.0 6.6-6.4 IA ACC Miami - Florida 54 10 0.36 9.0-5.0 8.6-5.4 IA MAC Ohio 55 7 0.35 5.0-7.0 4.7-7.3 IA PAC_10 Washington 56 8 0.33 6.0-7.0 5.7-7.3 IA Big_Ten Minnesota 57 8 0.32 8.0-5.0 7.7-5.3 IA CUSA Tulsa 58 7 0.17 8.0-5.0 7.8-5.2 IA WAC Nevada - Reno 59 9 0.11 8.0-5.0 7.9-5.1 IA MAC Western Michigan 60 8 0.05 6.0-6.0 6.0-6.0 IA Big_East Pittsburgh 61 15 0.04 7.0-6.0 7.0-6.0 IA CUSA Rice 62 8 0.00 6.0-7.0 6.0-7.0 IA Big_Ten Iowa 63 8 -0.10 6.0-7.0 6.1-6.9 IA SEC Alabama 64 8 -0.13 7.0-6.0 7.1-5.9 IA CUSA East Carolina 65 8 -0.33 6.0-6.0 6.3-5.7 IA MWC Wyoming 66 8 -0.35 6.0-6.0 6.3-5.7 IA Big_12 Kansas 67 10 -0.60 5.0-7.0 5.6-6.4 IA Big_Ten Indiana 68 9 -0.80 5.0-7.0 5.8-6.2 IA ACC Virginia 69 9 -0.81 8.0-5.0 8.8-4.2 IA Sun_Belt Troy State 70 13 -0.94 7.0-6.0 7.9-5.1 IA Sun_Belt Middle Tennessee State 71 17 -1.06 4.0-8.0 5.1-6.9 IA Big_East Syracuse 72 13 -1.11 7.0-6.0 8.1-4.9 IA MAC Northern Illinois 73 17 -1.25 4.0-8.0 5.3-6.7 IA SEC Mississippi 74 18 -1.27 4.0-8.0 5.3-6.7 IA Big_Ten Northwestern 75 20 -1.27 4.0-8.0 5.3-6.7 IA Big_12 Iowa State 76 17 -1.29 4.0-8.0 5.3-6.7 IA SEC Vanderbilt 77 16 -1.37 4.0-8.0 5.4-6.6 IA Big_12 Baylor 78 24 -1.51 6.0-7.0 7.5-5.5 IA MWC New Mexico 79 16 -1.55 4.0-8.0 5.5-6.5 IA Big_East Connecticut 80 16 -1.62 4.0-8.0 5.6-6.4 IA Big_Ten Michigan State 81 18 -1.66 6.0-6.0 7.7-4.3 IA MAC Kent State 82 14 -1.68 5.0-7.0 6.7-5.3 IA CUSA Marshall 83 15 -1.74 4.0-8.0 5.7-6.3 IA MWC Air Force 84 21 -1.92 6.0-6.0 7.9-4.1 IA Sun_Belt Arkansas State 85 13 -1.99 6.0-6.0 8.0-4.0 IA CUSA Southern Methodist 86 16 -2.04 3.0-9.0 5.0-7.0 IA SEC Mississippi State 87 17 -2.18 5.0-7.0 7.2-4.8 IA MAC Akron 88 13 -2.18 4.0-8.0 6.2-5.8 IA CUSA Tulane 89 14 -2.28 4.0-8.0 6.3-5.7 IA MWC Colorado State 90 15 -2.33 6.0-6.0 8.3-3.7 IA Sun_Belt Louisiana - Lafayette 91 17 -2.33 3.0-9.0 5.3-6.7 IA ACC North Carolina 92 13 -2.35 5.0-7.0 7.4-4.6 IA MAC Ball State 93 14 -2.41 5.0-7.0 7.4-4.6 IA CUSA Texas - El Paso 94 17 -2.47 5.0-7.0 7.5-4.5 IA Sun_Belt Florida Atlantic 95 14 -2.51 5.0-7.0 7.5-4.5 IA MAC Toledo 96 13 -2.72 3.0-9.0 5.7-6.3 IA ACC North Carolina State 97 13 -2.74 4.0-8.0 6.7-5.3 IA WAC Fresno State 98 11 -2.91 4.0-8.0 6.9-5.1 IA CUSA Central Florida 99 10 -2.94 4.0-8.0 6.9-5.1 IA WAC Idaho 100 10 -3.15 3.0-9.0 6.2-5.8 IA MWC San Diego State 101 11 -3.25 2.0-*** 5.2-6.8 IA Big_12 Colorado 102 11 -3.25 1.0-*** 4.3-7.7 IA PAC_10 Stanford 103 15 -3.67 4.0-8.0 7.7-4.3 IA MAC Bowling Green 104 13 -3.67 4.0-8.0 7.7-4.3 IA Sun_Belt Northeast Louisiana 105 11 -3.68 2.0-*** 5.7-6.3 IA Big_Ten Illinois 106 12 -3.80 3.0-9.0 6.8-5.2 IA CUSA Alabama - Birmingham 107 13 -3.88 3.0-9.0 6.9-5.1 IA Indep Army 108 14 -4.12 3.0-*** 7.1-5.9 IA WAC Louisiana Tech 109 10 -4.21 2.0-*** 6.2-5.8 IA MWC Nevada - Las Vegas 110 10 -4.33 4.0-8.0 8.3-3.7 IA WAC New Mexico State 111 9 -4.55 2.0-*** 6.6-5.4 IA MAC Buffalo 112 10 -4.72 1.0-*** 5.7-6.3 IA Indep Temple 113 10 -5.04 1.0-*** 6.0-6.0 IA WAC Utah State 114 11 -5.09 3.0-9.0 8.1-3.9 IA Sun_Belt North Texas 115 10 -5.15 0.0-*** 5.2-6.8 IA ACC Duke 116 10 -5.42 2.0-*** 7.4-4.6 IA MAC Miami - Ohio 117 10 -5.54 2.0-*** 7.5-4.5 IA CUSA Memphis 118 7 -6.23 1.0-*** 7.2-4.8 IA MAC Eastern Michigan 119 4 -7.54 0.0-*** 7.5-4.5 IA Sun_Belt Florida International
Division IAA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 6 3.07 13.0-2.0 9.9-5.1 IAA Atl_10 Massachusetts 2 8 2.64 9.0-1.0 6.4-3.6 IAA Ivy Princeton 3 9 2.22 13.0-1.0 10.8-3.2 IAA Southern Appalachian State 4 12 1.72 8.0-2.0 6.3-3.7 IAA Ivy Yale 5 7 1.51 9.0-1.0 7.5-2.5 IAA Great_West North Dakota State 6 13 0.96 9.0-4.0 8.0-5.0 IAA Atl_10 New Hampshire 7 13 0.93 10.0-3.0 9.1-3.9 IAA Gateway Youngstown State 8 11 0.82 12.0-2.0 11.2-2.8 IAA Big_Sky Montana 9 13 0.66 7.0-3.0 6.3-3.7 IAA Ivy Harvard 10 10 0.58 8.0-3.0 7.4-3.6 IAA Atl_10 James Madison 11 15 0.40 9.0-1.0 8.6-1.4 IAA Pioneer San Diego 12 16 -0.33 10.0-2.0 10.3-1.7 IAA NE Monmouth 13 14 -0.64 6.0-5.0 6.6-4.4 IAA Atl_10 Villanova 14 15 -0.70 7.0-4.0 7.7-3.3 IAA Atl_10 Towson 15 16 -0.75 8.0-2.0 8.7-1.3 IAA MEAC Hampton 16 14 -0.76 5.0-6.0 5.8-5.2 IAA Atl_10 Northeastern 17 14 -0.77 7.0-3.0 7.8-2.2 IAA Gateway Northern Iowa 18 14 -0.82 7.0-4.0 7.8-3.2 IAA Big_Sky Portland State 19 12 -0.89 5.0-3.0 5.9-2.1 IAA Great_West South Dakota State 20 20 -0.97 7.0-4.0 8.0-3.0 IAA Patriot Holy Cross 21 17 -1.06 5.0-5.0 6.1-3.9 IAA Atl_10 Maine 22 20 -1.07 8.0-3.0 9.1-1.9 IAA Big_South Coastal Carolina 23 20 -1.21 7.0-2.0 8.2-0.8 IAA MAAC Duquesne 24 27 -1.24 6.0-2.0 7.2-0.8 IAA Pioneer Drake 25 22 -1.29 8.0-4.0 9.3-2.7 IAA Gateway Illinois State 26 17 -1.34 5.0-2.0 6.3-0.7 IAA Big_South Charleston Southern 27 16 -1.45 7.0-4.0 8.5-2.5 IAA Southern Wofford 28 21 -1.48 8.0-4.0 9.5-2.5 IAA Gateway Southern Illinois 29 23 -1.48 7.0-3.0 8.5-1.5 IAA NE Central Connecticut 30 26 -1.50 5.0-5.0 6.5-3.5 IAA Ivy Pennsylvania 31 21 -1.50 7.0-4.0 8.5-2.5 IAA Southern Furman 32 22 -1.51 8.0-4.0 9.5-2.5 IAA Big_Sky Montana State 33 24 -1.60 6.0-5.0 7.6-3.4 IAA Patriot Lehigh 34 26 -1.63 7.0-4.0 8.6-2.4 IAA NE Albany 35 26 -1.67 8.0-3.0 9.7-1.3 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee - Martin 36 19 -1.68 6.0-4.0 7.7-2.3 IAA Great_West California Poly 37 27 -1.71 5.0-5.0 6.7-3.3 IAA Ivy Cornell 38 20 -1.89 6.0-5.0 7.9-3.1 IAA Atl_10 Richmond 39 27 -1.94 5.0-5.0 6.9-3.1 IAA Ivy Columbia 40 29 -2.01 6.0-5.0 8.0-3.0 IAA Patriot Bucknell 41 15 -2.01 5.0-4.0 7.0-2.0 IAA Southland Sam Houston State 42 25 -2.03 6.0-6.0 8.0-4.0 IAA Patriot Lafayette 43 27 -2.05 7.0-3.0 9.1-0.9 IAA MEAC Delaware State 44 22 -2.12 5.0-5.0 7.1-2.9 IAA Great_West California - Davis 45 14 -2.41 5.0-5.0 7.4-2.6 IAA Big_Sky Northern Arizona 46 23 -2.41 5.0-3.0 7.4-0.6 IAA Pioneer Davidson 47 20 -2.45 6.0-4.0 8.4-1.6 IAA MEAC Florida A&M 48 26 -2.47 8.0-3.0 10.5-0.5 IAA SWAC Alabama A&M 49 19 -2.55 6.0-5.0 8.5-2.5 IAA Gateway Western Kentucky 50 12 -2.67 6.0-5.0 8.7-2.3 IAA Southland McNeese State 51 21 -2.67 6.0-4.0 8.7-1.3 IAA MEAC South Carolina State 52 22 -2.69 8.0-5.0 10.7-2.3 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Illinois 53 18 -2.78 6.0-4.0 8.8-1.2 IAA NE Robert Morris 54 16 -2.80 4.0-6.0 6.8-3.2 IAA Atl_10 Delaware 55 14 -2.86 5.0-6.0 7.9-3.1 IAA Southern The Citadel 56 15 -2.86 3.0-7.0 5.9-4.1 IAA Atl_10 Rhode Island 57 10 -2.95 4.0-5.0 6.9-2.1 IAA Southland Stephen F. Austin 58 24 -3.17 7.0-4.0 10.2-0.8 IAA SWAC Arkansas - Pine Bluff 59 17 -3.28 4.0-5.0 7.3-1.7 IAA MEAC Howard 60 17 -3.29 5.0-6.0 8.3-2.7 IAA NE Stony Brook 61 12 -3.31 4.0-5.0 7.3-1.7 IAA Big_South Liberty 62 19 -3.44 6.0-5.0 9.4-1.6 IAA Ohio_V Jacksonville State 63 14 -3.48 4.0-6.0 7.5-2.5 IAA Gateway Western Illinois 64 11 -3.49 2.0-4.0 5.5-0.5 IAA MAAC La Salle 65 19 -3.60 3.0-7.0 6.6-3.4 IAA Ivy Brown 66 21 -3.65 6.0-5.0 9.7-1.3 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Kentucky 67 20 -3.67 6.0-5.0 9.7-1.3 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee State 68 18 -3.72 4.0-7.0 7.7-3.3 IAA Patriot Colgate 69 17 -3.73 5.0-5.0 8.7-1.3 IAA Big_South Gardner - Webb 70 20 -3.92 5.0-5.0 8.9-1.1 IAA SWAC Mississippi Valley State 71 16 -4.06 0.0-5.0 4.1-0.9 IAA Indep Savannah State 72 16 -4.07 2.0-5.0 6.1-0.9 IAA MAAC Iona 73 15 -4.09 4.0-6.0 8.1-1.9 IAA Southern Elon 74 19 -4.09 5.0-5.0 9.1-0.9 IAA SWAC Alabama State 75 15 -4.13 3.0-8.0 7.1-3.9 IAA Atl_10 William & Mary 76 18 -4.13 2.0-8.0 6.1-3.9 IAA Ivy Dartmouth 77 19 -4.16 5.0-5.0 9.2-0.8 IAA SWAC Alcorn State 78 15 -4.25 3.0-7.0 7.2-2.8 IAA Big_Sky Eastern Washington 79 16 -4.40 4.0-7.0 8.4-2.6 IAA Big_Sky Sacramento State 80 22 -4.43 4.0-5.0 8.4-0.6 IAA Pioneer Jacksonville 81 20 -4.43 5.0-5.0 9.4-0.6 IAA SWAC Southern 82 17 -4.49 5.0-5.0 9.5-0.5 IAA SWAC Jackson State 83 18 -4.58 4.0-6.0 8.6-1.4 IAA MEAC Morgan State 84 14 -4.59 1.0-5.0 5.6-0.4 IAA Pioneer Austin Peay 85 12 -4.81 4.0-6.0 8.8-1.2 IAA Southland Texas State - San Marcos 86 12 -4.86 3.0-7.0 7.9-2.1 IAA Southland Northwestern State 87 11 -4.98 3.0-7.0 8.0-2.0 IAA Southern Georgia Southern 88 17 -5.05 4.0-6.0 9.1-0.9 IAA MEAC Bethune - Cookman 89 12 -5.05 2.0-9.0 7.1-3.9 IAA Atl_10 Hofstra 90 12 -5.12 4.0-7.0 9.1-1.9 IAA Big_Sky Weber State 91 17 -5.20 2.0-6.0 7.2-0.8 IAA Pioneer Butler 92 16 -5.28 3.0-6.0 8.3-0.7 IAA Pioneer Dayton 93 11 -5.30 2.0-7.0 7.3-1.7 IAA Southland Nicholls State 94 15 -5.30 3.0-8.0 8.3-2.7 IAA Patriot Fordham 95 16 -5.31 1.0-6.0 6.3-0.7 IAA Pioneer Valparaiso 96 13 -5.49 4.0-7.0 9.5-1.5 IAA MAAC Marist 97 15 -5.55 3.0-7.0 8.5-1.5 IAA Ohio_V Southeast Missouri State 98 15 -5.58 4.0-7.0 9.6-1.4 IAA NE Wagner 99 10 -5.71 1.0-8.0 6.7-2.3 IAA Gateway Southwest Missouri State 100 14 -5.72 3.0-8.0 8.7-2.3 IAA Southern Tennessee - Chattanooga 101 10 -5.76 1.0-8.0 6.8-2.2 IAA Great_West Southern Utah 102 13 -5.94 4.0-7.0 9.9-1.1 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee Tech 103 12 -6.01 2.0-7.0 8.0-1.0 IAA MEAC Norfolk State 104 10 -6.03 1.0-7.0 7.0-1.0 IAA MAAC Saint Peter's 105 13 -6.08 2.0-7.0 8.1-0.9 IAA Pioneer Morehead State 106 12 -6.20 3.0-8.0 9.2-1.8 IAA NE Saint Francis - Pennsylv 107 10 -6.22 1.0-9.0 7.2-2.8 IAA Southern Western Carolina 108 10 -6.33 2.0-9.0 8.3-2.7 IAA Patriot Georgetown 109 9 -6.52 2.0-7.0 8.5-0.5 IAA SWAC Prairie View 110 6 -6.66 2.0-9.0 8.7-2.3 IAA Indep Southeast Louisiana 111 9 -6.73 3.0-8.0 9.7-1.3 IAA SWAC Grambling 112 8 -6.76 2.0-8.0 8.8-1.2 IAA Ohio_V Samford 113 7 -6.87 1.0-*** 7.9-3.1 IAA Gateway Indiana State 114 7 -7.07 3.0-8.0 10.1-0.9 IAA SWAC Texas Southern 115 5 -7.19 1.0-9.0 8.2-1.8 IAA Big_Sky Idaho State 116 5 -7.29 2.0-9.0 9.3-1.7 IAA NE Sacred Heart 117 4 -7.57 1.0-*** 8.6-2.4 IAA Big_South Virginia Military 118 4 -8.24 1.0-*** 9.2-1.8 IAA Great_West Northern Colorado 119 4 -8.31 1.0-*** 9.3-1.7 IAA Ohio_V Murray State 120 3 -8.58 0.0-*** 8.6-1.4 IAA MEAC North Carolina A&T
KEY:
rnk - rank based on how may games the given team has won divided by
the average number of wins other teams would get playing that
schedule using the Bassett Football Model
u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places)
scr - Stephenson earned rank score: the actual wins of a team
subtracted by the average simulated wins of all teams if they
had played that team's schedule (as simulated by the model)
act w-l - actual win-loss record
sim w-l - simulated win-loss record of all teams if playing that schedule
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