ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 97 Arizona over 200 Stephen F. Austin 38.5 to 7.0 77 Illinois State over 181 Eastern Illinois 42.0 to 14.0 161 Monmouth over 239 Saint Peter's 35.0 to 0.0 19 New Hampshire over 185 Stony Brook 42.0 to 3.5 45 Northwestern over 195 Eastern Michigan 45.5 to 7.0 68 Oklahoma State over 201 Florida Atlantic 35.0 to 3.5 8 Virginia Tech over 235 Duke 35.0 to 0.0 80-90% chance of victory: 129 Middle Tennessee State over 222 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 3.5 197 Samford over 236 Austin Peay 38.5 to 10.5 11 West Virginia over 55 Maryland 28.0 to 7.0 29 Alabama over 139 Northeast Louisiana 28.0 to 3.5 76 Brown over 174 Georgetown 28.0 to 3.5 202 Robert Morris over 237 Butler 31.5 to 10.5 27 Connecticut over 150 Wake Forest 45.5 to 14.0 146 Duquesne over 219 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 38.5 to 17.5 7 Georgia over 93 Alabama - Birmingham 31.5 to 7.0 128 Hampton over 208 North Carolina A&T 35.0 to 10.5 59 Harvard over 136 Holy Cross 35.0 to 17.5 66 Houston over 171 Grambling 45.5 to 17.5 157 Idaho over 213 Idaho State 38.5 to 21.0 15 Iowa over 69 Iowa State 38.5 to 17.5 148 Jacksonville State over 225 Southeast Missouri State 28.0 to 7.0 3 Louisville over 37 Miami - Florida 35.0 to 14.0 79 Montana State over 144 California - Davis 28.0 to 10.5 153 New Mexico State over 216 Texas Southern 31.5 to 14.0 86 Northern Illinois over 175 Buffalo 38.5 to 14.0 119 Northern Iowa over 186 South Dakota State 28.0 to 10.5 167 Southern over 233 Prairie View 35.0 to 14.0 35 Texas A&M over 134 Army 31.5 to 10.5 1 Ohio State over 48 Cincinnati 24.5 to 3.5 9 Oregon over 30 Oklahoma 35.0 to 21.0 17 Pittsburgh over 80 Michigan State 38.5 to 17.5 65 Purdue over 125 Ball State 45.5 to 28.0 6 Texas over 102 Rice 38.5 to 14.0 51 Richmond over 215 Virginia Military 38.5 to 3.5 31 Rutgers over 113 Ohio 28.0 to 7.0 67 California Poly over 209 Sacramento State 24.5 to 3.5 140 Towson over 228 Liberty 31.5 to 7.0 40 Utah over 141 Utah State 28.0 to 10.5 57 Massachusetts over 154 Villanova 28.0 to 14.0 70-80% chance of victory: 89 Cornell over 187 Bucknell 31.5 to 14.0 16 California over 49 Portland State 28.0 to 10.5 109 Colgate over 138 Dartmouth 21.0 to 10.5 36 Arizona State over 105 Colorado 28.0 to 17.5 96 Delaware over 166 Albany 24.5 to 3.5 50 Georgia Tech over 85 Troy State 14.0 to 7.0 52 Indiana over 120 Southern Illinois 31.5 to 14.0 183 Indiana State over 221 Murray State 38.5 to 24.5 60 Kentucky over 123 Mississippi 31.5 to 17.5 130 Louisiana Tech over 163 Nicholls State 35.0 to 21.0 191 Marist over 205 Wagner 21.0 to 14.0 99 Miami - Ohio over 160 Kent State 24.5 to 7.0 62 Minnesota over 149 Temple 17.5 to 0.0 220 Morehead State over 234 Valparaiso 31.5 to 10.5 83 North Carolina over 122 Furman 28.0 to 14.0 116 Delaware State over 182 Northwestern State 38.5 to 31.5 33 Penn State over 94 Youngstown State 28.0 to 14.0 198 Sacred Heart over 226 Iona 24.5 to 7.0 23 South Carolina over 164 Wofford 35.0 to 3.5 206 Southeast Louisiana over 230 Jacksonville 21.0 to 10.5 5 Southern California over 12 Nebraska 28.0 to 21.0 168 Texas State - San Marcos over 212 Northern Colorado 24.5 to 7.0 84 Tulsa over 133 North Texas 31.5 to 17.5 189 Weber State over 214 Southern Utah 21.0 to 7.0 147 Western Kentucky over 180 Tennessee - Chattanooga 31.5 to 21.0 98 William & Mary over 145 Maine 35.0 to 17.5 46 Wisconsin over 87 San Diego State 24.5 to 14.0 60-70% chance of victory: 203 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 227 Alabama State 17.5 to 10.5 26 Boston College over 34 Brigham Young 31.5 to 24.5 162 Columbia over 165 Fordham 17.5 to 14.0 104 East Carolina over 100 Memphis 24.5 to 21.0 124 Florida International over 126 Bowling Green 38.5 to 31.5 137 Georgia Southern over 159 Coastal Carolina 35.0 to 24.5 78 Hawaii over 71 Nevada - Las Vegas 28.0 to 24.5 204 Florida A&M over 232 Howard 28.0 to 21.0 118 Illinois over 108 Syracuse 17.5 to 17.5 54 Kansas State over 64 Marshall 38.5 to 28.0 75 Princeton over 132 Lehigh 28.0 to 21.0 176 Mississippi State over 192 Tulane 10.5 to 3.5 44 Missouri over 103 New Mexico 28.0 to 21.0 111 North Dakota State over 135 Northeastern 21.0 to 10.5 10 Notre Dame over 14 Michigan 28.0 to 21.0 218 Tennessee State over 229 Jackson State 21.0 to 17.5 18 Washington State over 42 Baylor 28.0 to 21.0 156 South Carolina State over 151 Bethune - Cookman 28.0 to 24.5 155 Southern Methodist over 172 Sam Houston State 21.0 to 14.0 39 Southern Mississippi over 47 North Carolina State 21.0 to 10.5 63 Navy over 114 Stanford 31.5 to 28.0 4 Florida over 21 Tennessee 24.5 to 17.5 24 Texas Christian over 22 Texas Tech 28.0 to 24.5 74 Virginia over 92 Western Michigan 24.5 to 17.5 41 Fresno State over 91 Washington 28.0 to 21.0 158 Western Carolina over 194 Eastern Kentucky 17.5 to 7.0 20 Boise State over 53 Wyoming 24.5 to 21.0 101 Yale over 142 San Diego 31.5 to 17.5 50-60% chance of victory: 81 Kansas over 110 Toledo 28.0 to 28.0 2 Louisiana State over 13 Auburn 21.0 to 17.5 72 South Florida over 106 Central Florida 21.0 to 17.5 95 Central Michigan over 73 Akron 28.0 to 28.0 32 Florida State over 25 Clemson 28.0 to 28.0 90 Pennsylvania over 115 Lafayette 14.0 to 10.5 188 Alabama A&M over 210 Mississippi Valley State 21.0 to 17.5 82 Colorado State over 117 Nevada - Reno 28.0 to 24.5 217 Tennessee - Martin over 199 Gardner - Webb 21.0 to 21.0 58 Vanderbilt over 38 Arkansas 17.5 to 14.0
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