ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
7 Clemson over 189 Temple 52.5 to 7.0
21 Arkansas over 219 Southeast Missouri State 52.5 to 0.0
171 Delaware State over 236 North Carolina A&T 35.0 to 7.0
135 Hampton over 228 Norfolk State 42.0 to 10.5
84 Northern Iowa over 221 Indiana State 45.5 to 17.5
87 North Dakota State over 211 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 3.5
153 Duquesne over 237 Saint Peter's 38.5 to 10.5
98 San Diego over 233 Valparaiso 52.5 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
74 Bowling Green over 179 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 14.0
181 Drake over 238 Butler 28.0 to 7.0
37 Florida State over 146 Duke 28.0 to 10.5
115 Furman over 182 The Citadel 35.0 to 17.5
14 Georgia over 80 Vanderbilt 31.5 to 10.5
5 Louisiana State over 69 Kentucky 38.5 to 14.0
20 Louisville over 63 Cincinnati 28.0 to 10.5
39 Miami - Florida over 134 Florida International 28.0 to 7.0
1 Ohio State over 50 Michigan State 28.0 to 14.0
76 Montana over 169 Northern Arizona 38.5 to 21.0
121 Portland State over 197 Idaho State 35.0 to 14.0
93 San Jose State over 161 Utah State 28.0 to 14.0
4 Southern California over 47 Arizona State 31.5 to 10.5
2 Texas over 61 Baylor 38.5 to 10.5
23 Massachusetts over 140 Towson 31.5 to 10.5
144 Coastal Carolina over 227 Virginia Military 38.5 to 17.5
19 West Virginia over 86 Syracuse 35.0 to 14.0
12 Boise State over 162 New Mexico State 45.5 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
13 Pittsburgh over 68 Central Florida 28.0 to 17.5
54 Princeton over 132 Brown 38.5 to 21.0
45 Alabama over 90 Mississippi 24.5 to 14.0
222 Alcorn State over 232 Texas Southern 24.5 to 14.0
103 Appalachian State over 149 Wofford 31.5 to 21.0
3 Florida over 26 Auburn 21.0 to 14.0
70 Central Michigan over 127 Ball State 38.5 to 24.5
24 Texas Tech over 67 Colorado 28.0 to 17.5
126 Delaware over 148 Hofstra 31.5 to 21.0
156 South Carolina State over 209 Florida A&M 35.0 to 24.5
177 Fordham over 203 Marist 21.0 to 14.0
136 Georgia Southern over 166 Elon 28.0 to 17.5
60 Harvard over 129 Lafayette 31.5 to 17.5
188 Morgan State over 223 Howard 21.0 to 14.0
11 Iowa over 91 Indiana 31.5 to 17.5
10 Nebraska over 57 Kansas State 28.0 to 17.5
95 Memphis over 142 Arkansas State 24.5 to 14.0
31 New Hampshire over 99 James Madison 38.5 to 17.5
42 South Florida over 108 North Carolina 28.0 to 21.0
16 Oklahoma over 56 Iowa State 38.5 to 21.0
52 Richmond over 152 Rhode Island 28.0 to 14.0
147 Central Connecticut over 202 Robert Morris 24.5 to 14.0
120 Montana State over 196 Sacramento State 24.5 to 10.5
165 Stony Brook over 231 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 42.0 to 24.5
89 Southern Methodist over 109 Marshall 28.0 to 21.0
51 Southern Mississippi over 92 Houston 28.0 to 14.0
114 Texas - El Paso over 158 Tulane 42.0 to 28.0
125 Troy State over 170 Northeast Louisiana 21.0 to 10.5
155 Monmouth over 206 Wagner 17.5 to 7.0
41 Washington over 58 Oregon State 24.5 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
17 Boston College over 18 Virginia Tech 21.0 to 17.5
191 Florida Atlantic over 201 Southern Utah 28.0 to 21.0
124 Miami - Ohio over 172 Buffalo 24.5 to 21.0
65 Connecticut over 75 Army 24.5 to 17.5
40 Tulsa over 71 East Carolina 24.5 to 21.0
190 Eastern Kentucky over 187 Eastern Illinois 17.5 to 17.5
101 Illinois over 113 Ohio 21.0 to 14.0
59 Kansas over 55 Oklahoma State 28.0 to 24.5
96 Kent State over 106 Toledo 24.5 to 17.5
154 William & Mary over 193 Liberty 17.5 to 14.0
163 Louisiana Tech over 168 Idaho 31.5 to 24.5
105 Maine over 116 Villanova 17.5 to 10.5
200 McNeese State over 205 Texas State - San Marcos 21.0 to 17.5
117 Mississippi State over 138 Jacksonville State 21.0 to 10.5
178 Davidson over 220 Morehead State 21.0 to 14.0
218 Murray State over 213 Samford 21.0 to 21.0
184 Grambling over 208 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 24.5 to 17.5
35 Navy over 44 Rutgers 24.5 to 17.5
53 North Carolina State over 64 Wake Forest 21.0 to 17.5
173 Eastern Washington over 214 Northern Colorado 24.5 to 17.5
25 Oregon over 34 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 24.5
15 Penn State over 8 Michigan 21.0 to 17.5
110 Pennsylvania over 122 Columbia 21.0 to 17.5
88 Alabama - Birmingham over 143 Rice 24.5 to 17.5
164 Albany over 204 Sacred Heart 21.0 to 17.5
185 Sam Houston State over 174 Nicholls State 24.5 to 21.0
186 Northwestern State over 212 Southeast Louisiana 24.5 to 21.0
160 Western Kentucky over 194 Southwest Missouri State 28.0 to 24.5
100 Stanford over 94 Arizona 14.0 to 10.5
210 Tennessee State over 217 Tennessee Tech 24.5 to 17.5
38 Texas A&M over 29 Missouri 28.0 to 24.5
78 Virginia over 81 Maryland 21.0 to 17.5
6 California over 32 Washington State 28.0 to 21.0
107 Youngstown State over 159 Western Illinois 28.0 to 21.0
33 Wisconsin over 30 Minnesota 24.5 to 21.0
27 Utah over 72 Wyoming 21.0 to 14.0
50-60% chance of victory:
62 Air Force over 43 Colorado State 21.0 to 21.0
112 Colgate over 137 Cornell 24.5 to 24.5
145 Dartmouth over 131 Holy Cross 14.0 to 14.0
48 Hawaii over 77 Fresno State 31.5 to 31.5
157 Bucknell over 176 Georgetown 17.5 to 17.5
85 Southern Illinois over 119 Illinois State 28.0 to 28.0
198 Southern over 215 Jackson State 24.5 to 24.5
226 Dayton over 234 Jacksonville 21.0 to 21.0
123 Nevada - Las Vegas over 102 New Mexico 14.0 to 14.0
73 Purdue over 118 Northwestern 28.0 to 28.0
216 Alabama State over 230 Prairie View 14.0 to 14.0
175 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 199 Western Carolina 24.5 to 24.5
97 Western Michigan over 82 Northern Illinois 28.0 to 28.0
104 Yale over 83 Lehigh 24.5 to 24.5
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