ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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80-90% chance of victory:
73 Fresno State over 192 Louisiana Tech 35.0 to 17.5
16 Nebraska over 72 Colorado 31.5 to 10.5
5 Texas over 31 Texas A&M 35.0 to 17.5
3 Virginia Tech over 66 Virginia 24.5 to 3.5
7 West Virginia over 54 South Florida 35.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
105 Toledo over 144 Bowling Green 24.5 to 14.0
100 Ball State over 127 Kent State 24.5 to 14.0
68 Northern Illinois over 151 Eastern Michigan 28.0 to 17.5
78 Tulsa over 129 Tulane 31.5 to 17.5
17 Texas Christian over 76 Colorado State 24.5 to 14.0
19 Georgia over 43 Georgia Tech 28.0 to 17.5
28 Hawaii over 56 Purdue 38.5 to 24.5
37 Missouri over 50 Kansas 31.5 to 21.0
92 New Mexico over 148 San Diego State 28.0 to 14.0
45 Rutgers over 80 Syracuse 28.0 to 14.0
2 Southern California over 14 Notre Dame 28.0 to 17.5
23 Tennessee over 79 Kentucky 38.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
12 Boston College over 48 Miami - Florida 21.0 to 14.0
99 Central Michigan over 164 Buffalo 28.0 to 21.0
94 Miami - Ohio over 96 Ohio 17.5 to 14.0
6 Louisiana State over 20 Arkansas 24.5 to 17.5
74 Air Force over 125 Nevada - Las Vegas 24.5 to 21.0
41 Oregon State over 40 Oregon 28.0 to 21.0
34 Arizona over 36 Arizona State 21.0 to 17.5
106 Central Florida over 112 Alabama - Birmingham 21.0 to 17.5
11 Clemson over 15 South Carolina 24.5 to 21.0
4 Florida over 39 Florida State 24.5 to 17.5
126 San Jose State over 177 Idaho 28.0 to 21.0
136 Louisiana - Lafayette over 135 Arkansas State 21.0 to 17.5
60 Maryland over 49 Wake Forest 17.5 to 17.5
138 Middle Tennessee State over 139 Troy State 24.5 to 21.0
87 Mississippi over 90 Mississippi State 17.5 to 14.0
157 Florida Atlantic over 171 Florida International 17.5 to 14.0
82 North Carolina State over 84 East Carolina 21.0 to 14.0
149 Northeast Louisiana over 166 North Texas 24.5 to 14.0
194 Grambling over 210 Southern 31.5 to 28.0
9 Oklahoma over 32 Oklahoma State 24.5 to 21.0
8 Louisville over 42 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 21.0
67 Southern Mississippi over 81 Marshall 28.0 to 21.0
124 Texas - El Paso over 132 Memphis 31.5 to 24.5
10 Brigham Young over 30 Utah 24.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
104 Akron over 95 Western Michigan 24.5 to 24.5
110 San Diego over 141 California - Davis 24.5 to 24.5
58 Connecticut over 35 Cincinnati 21.0 to 21.0
98 North Carolina over 131 Duke 21.0 to 21.0
38 Nevada - Reno over 24 Boise State 21.0 to 17.5
77 Southern Methodist over 114 Rice 28.0 to 28.0
153 New Mexico State over 172 Utah State 21.0 to 21.0
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