ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
80-90% chance of victory:
18 California over 104 Stanford 31.5 to 7.0
7 Louisville over 62 Connecticut 35.0 to 14.0
22 Texas Christian over 80 Air Force 31.5 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
81 Appalachian State over 123 Montana State 24.5 to 14.0
1 Southern California over 31 California - Los Angeles 28.0 to 17.5
120 Troy State over 184 Florida International 21.0 to 10.5
144 New Mexico State over 166 Louisiana Tech 35.0 to 28.0
52 Navy over 106 Army 24.5 to 17.5
79 Colorado State over 152 San Diego State 21.0 to 14.0
89 Youngstown State over 122 Illinois State 28.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
198 Grambling over 212 Alcorn State 28.0 to 21.0
130 Louisiana - Lafayette over 143 Northeast Louisiana 24.5 to 21.0
45 Massachusetts over 49 New Hampshire 31.5 to 24.5
140 Monmouth over 129 San Diego 21.0 to 17.5
3 Florida over 16 Arkansas 24.5 to 17.5
20 West Virginia over 32 Rutgers 28.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
84 Ohio over 86 Central Michigan 21.0 to 21.0
66 Houston over 48 Southern Mississippi 24.5 to 21.0
35 Hawaii over 27 Oregon State 35.0 to 31.5
111 Montana over 97 Southern Illinois 24.5 to 24.5
36 Wake Forest over 47 Georgia Tech 17.5 to 17.5
8 Oklahoma over 14 Nebraska 24.5 to 21.0
83 Fresno State over 113 San Jose State 24.5 to 24.5
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