ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 70-80% chance of victory: 43 Massachusetts over 107 Montana 21.0 to 14.0 15 Texas Christian over 67 Northern Illinois 24.5 to 14.0 81 New Mexico over 106 San Jose State 28.0 to 17.5 62 Central Michigan over 122 Middle Tennessee State 28.0 to 17.5 18 South Carolina over 66 Houston 31.5 to 21.0 14 Clemson over 69 Kentucky 38.5 to 24.5 4 Virginia Tech over 20 Georgia 17.5 to 10.5 12 Boston College over 47 Navy 24.5 to 17.5 8 Texas over 41 Iowa 28.0 to 17.5 38 Miami - Florida over 74 Nevada - Reno 17.5 to 10.5 13 West Virginia over 48 Georgia Tech 31.5 to 21.0 7 Louisville over 40 Wake Forest 24.5 to 14.0 2 Louisiana State over 17 Notre Dame 31.5 to 21.0 65 Southern Mississippi over 113 Ohio 21.0 to 14.0 60-70% chance of victory: 80 Appalachian State over 91 Youngstown State 24.5 to 21.0 203 Alabama A&M over 198 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 24.5 to 21.0 10 Brigham Young over 25 Oregon 35.0 to 31.5 45 South Florida over 76 East Carolina 21.0 to 17.5 36 Utah over 58 Tulsa 24.5 to 17.5 29 California - Los Angeles over 42 Florida State 21.0 to 17.5 28 Rutgers over 52 Kansas State 28.0 to 21.0 23 Texas Tech over 37 Minnesota 31.5 to 28.0 9 Auburn over 27 Nebraska 21.0 to 17.5 6 Oklahoma over 16 Boise State 21.0 to 17.5 5 Southern California over 11 Michigan 21.0 to 17.5 44 Cincinnati over 75 Western Michigan 24.5 to 17.5 50-60% chance of victory: 114 Rice over 119 Troy State 24.5 to 24.5 46 Hawaii over 32 Arizona State 35.0 to 35.0 34 Alabama over 39 Oklahoma State 24.5 to 24.5 24 Texas A&M over 31 California 24.5 to 24.5 51 Purdue over 61 Maryland 28.0 to 24.5 30 Oregon State over 33 Missouri 24.5 to 24.5 21 Wisconsin over 26 Arkansas 21.0 to 21.0 19 Tennessee over 22 Penn State 17.5 to 17.5 1 Ohio State over 3 Florida 21.0 to 17.5
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