ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 70-80% chance of victory: 18 Texas Christian over 69 Northern Illinois 24.5 to 14.0 81 New Mexico over 108 San Jose State 28.0 to 21.0 73 Central Michigan over 122 Middle Tennessee State 28.0 to 21.0 14 South Carolina over 66 Houston 31.5 to 21.0 17 Clemson over 68 Kentucky 38.5 to 24.5 5 Virginia Tech over 22 Georgia 17.5 to 10.5 12 Boston College over 47 Navy 24.5 to 14.0 6 Texas over 39 Iowa 28.0 to 17.5 38 Miami - Florida over 76 Nevada - Reno 21.0 to 10.5 11 West Virginia over 46 Georgia Tech 31.5 to 21.0 7 Louisville over 43 Wake Forest 24.5 to 14.0 60-70% chance of victory: 204 Alabama A&M over 199 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 24.5 to 21.0 9 Brigham Young over 28 Oregon 35.0 to 31.5 45 South Florida over 77 East Carolina 21.0 to 17.5 37 Utah over 58 Tulsa 24.5 to 17.5 41 Hawaii over 31 Arizona State 35.0 to 31.5 30 California - Los Angeles over 42 Florida State 21.0 to 17.5 29 Rutgers over 50 Kansas State 28.0 to 21.0 24 Texas Tech over 40 Minnesota 31.5 to 28.0 8 Oklahoma over 15 Boise State 21.0 to 17.5 2 Southern California over 13 Michigan 21.0 to 17.5 3 Louisiana State over 16 Notre Dame 28.0 to 21.0 44 Cincinnati over 80 Western Michigan 21.0 to 17.5 63 Southern Mississippi over 100 Ohio 21.0 to 14.0 50-60% chance of victory: 48 Massachusetts over 55 Appalachian State 21.0 to 21.0 116 Rice over 123 Troy State 28.0 to 24.5 34 Alabama over 36 Oklahoma State 24.5 to 24.5 26 California over 27 Texas A&M 24.5 to 24.5 49 Purdue over 65 Maryland 28.0 to 24.5 33 Oregon State over 32 Missouri 24.5 to 24.5 21 Arkansas over 25 Wisconsin 21.0 to 17.5 10 Auburn over 19 Nebraska 21.0 to 17.5 20 Penn State over 23 Tennessee 17.5 to 17.5 1 Ohio State over 4 Florida 21.0 to 17.5
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