ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
8 Louisville over 225 Murray State 63.0 to 3.5
80-90% chance of victory:
22 Boise State over 187 Weber State 49.0 to 7.0
49 Cincinnati over 226 Southeast Missouri State 49.0 to 3.5
190 Morgan State over 237 Savannah State 38.5 to 3.5
23 Rutgers over 166 Buffalo 42.0 to 7.0
28 Alabama over 214 Western Carolina 45.5 to 3.5
3 Florida over 157 Western Kentucky 45.5 to 3.5
38 Hawaii over 213 Northern Colorado 49.0 to 7.0
90 Indiana over 220 Indiana State 49.0 to 17.5
4 Ohio State over 114 Youngstown State 38.5 to 7.0
10 Oklahoma over 171 North Texas 42.0 to 3.5
30 Pittsburgh over 164 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 7.0
17 South Carolina over 153 Louisiana - Lafayette 42.0 to 10.5
2 Southern California over 175 Idaho 52.5 to 3.5
5 Texas over 154 Arkansas State 42.0 to 3.5
70-80% chance of victory:
1 Louisiana State over 82 Mississippi State 31.5 to 7.0
148 New Mexico State over 221 Southeast Louisiana 38.5 to 17.5
56 Navy over 195 Temple 35.0 to 10.5
83 Air Force over 159 South Carolina State 31.5 to 14.0
34 Arizona State over 106 San Jose State 35.0 to 17.5
16 Arkansas over 112 Troy State 38.5 to 14.0
180 Bethune - Cookman over 224 Jacksonville 35.0 to 17.5
7 Brigham Young over 60 Arizona 28.0 to 10.5
87 Fresno State over 208 Sacramento State 38.5 to 10.5
57 Kentucky over 173 Eastern Kentucky 38.5 to 14.0
89 Lafayette over 200 Marist 35.0 to 10.5
11 Michigan over 70 Appalachian State 31.5 to 14.0
43 Minnesota over 137 Bowling Green 38.5 to 17.5
118 Montana over 222 Southern Utah 35.0 to 7.0
31 Missouri over 103 Illinois 31.5 to 17.5
115 Ohio over 193 Gardner - Webb 31.5 to 10.5
29 Oregon over 61 Houston 38.5 to 28.0
19 Penn State over 168 Florida International 35.0 to 3.5
135 Rice over 210 Nicholls State 35.0 to 14.0
54 Southern Mississippi over 189 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 7.0
45 South Florida over 172 Elon 31.5 to 3.5
40 Texas A&M over 149 Montana State 35.0 to 10.5
25 Texas Christian over 95 Baylor 31.5 to 14.0
6 Virginia Tech over 85 East Carolina 31.5 to 7.0
12 West Virginia over 92 Western Michigan 38.5 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
98 Ball State over 121 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 24.5
169 Eastern Illinois over 216 Tennessee Tech 24.5 to 14.0
117 Illinois State over 182 Drake 28.0 to 10.5
80 Iowa State over 142 Kent State 21.0 to 10.5
63 Tulsa over 143 Northeast Louisiana 24.5 to 17.5
120 Towson over 152 Central Connecticut 24.5 to 17.5
125 Nevada - Las Vegas over 178 Utah State 21.0 to 14.0
163 Jacksonville State over 207 Alabama State 21.0 to 14.0
9 Auburn over 47 Kansas State 24.5 to 10.5
15 Boston College over 42 Wake Forest 21.0 to 10.5
13 California over 21 Tennessee 24.5 to 21.0
62 Connecticut over 133 Duke 28.0 to 17.5
18 Georgia over 33 Oklahoma State 31.5 to 24.5
58 Kansas over 77 Central Michigan 31.5 to 24.5
84 Maine over 138 Monmouth 14.0 to 3.5
55 Maryland over 108 Villanova 31.5 to 17.5
46 Massachusetts over 113 Holy Cross 28.0 to 10.5
150 Portland State over 188 McNeese State 24.5 to 17.5
41 Miami - Florida over 96 Marshall 31.5 to 17.5
69 Michigan State over 100 Alabama - Birmingham 28.0 to 21.0
20 Nebraska over 68 Nevada - Reno 28.0 to 14.0
36 Iowa over 72 Northern Illinois 24.5 to 17.5
73 North Carolina State over 99 Central Florida 21.0 to 14.0
81 Northwestern over 136 Northeastern 28.0 to 14.0
26 Notre Dame over 44 Georgia Tech 31.5 to 21.0
147 Rhode Island over 167 Fordham 24.5 to 17.5
184 Robert Morris over 205 Dayton 24.5 to 17.5
35 California - Los Angeles over 111 Stanford 24.5 to 10.5
146 California Poly over 185 Texas State - San Marcos 21.0 to 17.5
179 The Citadel over 203 Charleston Southern 28.0 to 17.5
51 Vanderbilt over 86 Richmond 21.0 to 14.0
27 Wisconsin over 50 Washington State 24.5 to 14.0
14 Clemson over 39 Florida State 31.5 to 21.0
24 Texas Tech over 97 Southern Methodist 35.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
32 Oregon State over 37 Utah 24.5 to 17.5
162 Western Illinois over 155 South Dakota State 31.5 to 31.5
107 Delaware over 134 William & Mary 28.0 to 28.0
79 Syracuse over 65 Washington 21.0 to 21.0
209 Alcorn State over 197 Grambling 24.5 to 24.5
130 Colgate over 132 Albany 17.5 to 14.0
151 Coastal Carolina over 170 Delaware State 28.0 to 28.0
156 Duquesne over 158 Bucknell 21.0 to 17.5
128 Middle Tennessee State over 161 Florida Atlantic 17.5 to 14.0
88 Mississippi over 116 Memphis 21.0 to 21.0
199 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 219 Mississippi Valley State 21.0 to 21.0
122 Army over 124 Akron 21.0 to 21.0
71 Colorado over 91 Colorado State 17.5 to 14.0
201 Southern over 204 Florida A&M 28.0 to 28.0
53 James Madison over 102 North Carolina 24.5 to 21.0
174 Stony Brook over 177 Georgetown 21.0 to 17.5
202 Tennessee State over 186 Alabama A&M 21.0 to 21.0
94 New Mexico over 123 Texas - El Paso 24.5 to 24.5
231 Texas Southern over 230 Prairie View 17.5 to 17.5
67 Purdue over 110 Toledo 28.0 to 24.5
76 Wyoming over 78 Virginia 21.0 to 14.0
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