ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
13 Kansas over 216 Southeast Louisiana 56.0 to 3.5
80-90% chance of victory:
7 Louisville over 164 Middle Tennessee State 52.5 to 10.5
23 Clemson over 135 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 10.5
4 Florida over 99 Troy State 45.5 to 10.5
51 Maryland over 214 Florida International 38.5 to 7.0
42 Florida State over 163 Alabama - Birmingham 42.0 to 10.5
6 Georgia Tech over 221 Samford 45.5 to 0.0
27 Hawaii over 179 Louisiana Tech 52.5 to 24.5
5 West Virginia over 132 Marshall 49.0 to 21.0
88 San Diego over 210 Marist 42.0 to 14.0
81 Southern Methodist over 224 North Texas 45.5 to 7.0
98 Wofford over 218 Charleston Southern 38.5 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
26 Rutgers over 83 Navy 31.5 to 10.5
50 Arizona over 157 Northern Arizona 31.5 to 7.0
12 Arizona State over 61 Colorado 35.0 to 14.0
15 Auburn over 72 South Florida 28.0 to 7.0
21 Boston College over 107 North Carolina State 42.0 to 21.0
11 California over 95 Colorado State 45.5 to 24.5
63 Lafayette over 189 Georgetown 38.5 to 17.5
10 Georgia over 45 South Carolina 28.0 to 10.5
168 Illinois State over 228 Murray State 45.5 to 24.5
54 Kansas State over 158 San Jose State 35.0 to 10.5
41 Kentucky over 82 Kent State 28.0 to 14.0
28 Michigan State over 66 Bowling Green 42.0 to 28.0
130 Monmouth over 203 Robert Morris 24.5 to 7.0
16 Wisconsin over 120 Nevada - Las Vegas 38.5 to 17.5
68 North Dakota State over 184 Stephen F. Austin 31.5 to 7.0
37 Northwestern over 129 Nevada - Reno 28.0 to 3.5
8 Ohio State over 84 Akron 35.0 to 7.0
1 Oklahoma over 24 Miami - Florida 35.0 to 14.0
2 Penn State over 90 Notre Dame 35.0 to 3.5
43 Pittsburgh over 181 Grambling 35.0 to 7.0
58 Purdue over 154 Eastern Illinois 42.0 to 17.5
195 Sacred Heart over 230 La Salle 28.0 to 10.5
39 Tennessee over 77 Southern Mississippi 31.5 to 21.0
33 Texas A&M over 94 Fresno State 28.0 to 10.5
172 Alabama State over 233 Texas Southern 31.5 to 14.0
35 Texas Tech over 92 Texas - El Paso 28.0 to 7.0
146 William & Mary over 227 Virginia Military 38.5 to 21.0
3 Nebraska over 48 Wake Forest 35.0 to 21.0
75 Washington State over 138 San Diego State 31.5 to 17.5
44 Wyoming over 178 Utah State 31.5 to 3.5
106 Youngstown State over 165 South Dakota State 35.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
87 Arkansas State over 126 Memphis 24.5 to 17.5
147 Army over 173 Rhode Island 28.0 to 17.5
143 Baylor over 187 Rice 28.0 to 14.0
117 Bucknell over 162 Stony Brook 35.0 to 24.5
111 Toledo over 161 Central Michigan 28.0 to 24.5
49 Massachusetts over 108 Colgate 31.5 to 21.0
69 Connecticut over 79 Maine 21.0 to 14.0
198 Eastern Kentucky over 209 Western Carolina 24.5 to 17.5
148 Delaware State over 206 Florida A&M 28.0 to 17.5
196 Gardner - Webb over 222 Jacksonville 31.5 to 21.0
116 Hofstra over 133 Furman 24.5 to 21.0
118 Hampton over 201 Howard 24.5 to 10.5
144 Idaho over 169 California Poly 31.5 to 21.0
89 Illinois over 142 Western Illinois 38.5 to 28.0
29 Iowa over 91 Syracuse 21.0 to 3.5
60 New Hampshire over 114 James Madison 28.0 to 21.0
74 Lehigh over 113 Villanova 31.5 to 17.5
14 Louisiana State over 25 Virginia Tech 14.0 to 10.5
18 Oregon over 55 Michigan 38.5 to 31.5
40 Missouri over 73 Mississippi 31.5 to 24.5
103 Towson over 180 Morgan State 24.5 to 14.0
112 New Mexico over 145 New Mexico State 21.0 to 14.0
119 Richmond over 188 Northeastern 21.0 to 10.5
86 Northern Illinois over 102 Southern Illinois 17.5 to 10.5
219 Prairie View over 235 North Carolina A&T 21.0 to 10.5
65 Oklahoma State over 110 Florida Atlantic 28.0 to 17.5
136 California - Davis over 200 Portland State 28.0 to 17.5
225 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 226 Morehead State 31.5 to 28.0
170 Temple over 174 Buffalo 21.0 to 17.5
9 Texas Christian over 38 Texas 17.5 to 10.5
17 Boise State over 53 Washington 28.0 to 21.0
64 Indiana over 131 Western Michigan 35.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
217 Alcorn State over 212 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 17.5 to 14.0
36 Cincinnati over 20 Oregon State 21.0 to 21.0
185 Bethune - Cookman over 183 South Carolina State 21.0 to 17.5
19 Brigham Young over 46 California - Los Angeles 24.5 to 21.0
47 North Carolina over 62 East Carolina 21.0 to 21.0
137 Ball State over 156 Eastern Michigan 14.0 to 14.0
134 Fordham over 139 Albany 17.5 to 14.0
229 Indiana State over 231 Austin Peay 24.5 to 21.0
213 Iona over 204 Wagner 14.0 to 14.0
125 Iowa State over 115 Northern Iowa 21.0 to 21.0
190 Jacksonville State over 194 Tennessee - Chattanooga 24.5 to 21.0
104 Louisiana - Lafayette over 105 Ohio 21.0 to 17.5
101 Minnesota over 80 Miami - Ohio 24.5 to 24.5
186 Southern over 199 Mississippi Valley State 24.5 to 21.0
205 Tennessee State over 211 Jackson State 28.0 to 24.5
141 Tulane over 151 Mississippi State 10.5 to 7.0
59 Utah over 56 Air Force 17.5 to 14.0
34 Vanderbilt over 32 Alabama 31.5 to 28.0
122 Virginia over 121 Duke 14.0 to 10.5
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