ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
15 Boston College over 127 Army 35.0 to 7.0
12 Cincinnati over 117 Marshall 38.5 to 10.5
41 Hawaii over 211 Charleston Southern 52.5 to 14.0
6 Kansas over 168 Florida International 45.5 to 3.5
20 Louisville over 147 Syracuse 45.5 to 14.0
2 Florida over 84 Mississippi 42.0 to 14.0
8 Texas over 185 Rice 52.5 to 7.0
121 Texas - El Paso over 232 Texas Southern 45.5 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
194 Alabama State over 228 Alcorn State 17.5 to 3.5
44 Auburn over 142 New Mexico State 38.5 to 17.5
85 Bowling Green over 162 Temple 24.5 to 7.0
155 Eastern Michigan over 212 Howard 28.0 to 10.5
123 Georgia Southern over 202 Tennessee - Chattanooga 38.5 to 17.5
73 Holy Cross over 176 Georgetown 38.5 to 17.5
98 James Madison over 177 Coastal Carolina 38.5 to 21.0
54 Lehigh over 215 Virginia Military 49.0 to 7.0
1 Louisiana State over 24 South Carolina 28.0 to 7.0
37 Massachusetts over 171 Maine 28.0 to 7.0
47 Mississippi State over 195 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 3.5
31 Missouri over 144 Illinois State 45.5 to 21.0
7 Nebraska over 97 Ball State 42.0 to 14.0
86 New Mexico over 210 Sacramento State 38.5 to 7.0
139 Northern Arizona over 227 Northern Colorado 45.5 to 17.5
25 Michigan State over 132 Notre Dame 28.0 to 10.5
5 Ohio State over 77 Northwestern 28.0 to 3.5
4 Southern California over 56 Washington State 45.5 to 21.0
120 Southern Illinois over 205 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 28.0 to 7.0
48 Texas Christian over 150 Southern Methodist 35.0 to 14.0
133 Tulane over 224 Southeast Louisiana 31.5 to 3.5
36 Virginia Tech over 154 William & Mary 38.5 to 14.0
118 Montana State over 218 Weber State 35.0 to 14.0
10 West Virginia over 90 East Carolina 38.5 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
17 Texas A&M over 67 Miami - Florida 31.5 to 21.0
219 Tennessee Tech over 233 Murray State 42.0 to 28.0
3 Oklahoma over 38 Tulsa 49.0 to 31.5
16 Alabama over 40 Georgia 28.0 to 17.5
23 California over 63 Arizona 31.5 to 17.5
58 Central Florida over 105 Memphis 35.0 to 21.0
183 Columbia over 207 Marist 21.0 to 10.5
136 Elon over 179 Liberty 31.5 to 21.0
130 Eastern Washington over 214 Idaho State 42.0 to 28.0
197 Eastern Illinois over 230 Indiana State 28.0 to 17.5
64 Troy State over 149 Louisiana - Lafayette 35.0 to 24.5
32 Purdue over 103 Minnesota 42.0 to 35.0
13 Utah over 104 Nevada - Las Vegas 24.5 to 7.0
70 New Hampshire over 164 Dartmouth 49.0 to 28.0
22 Clemson over 61 North Carolina State 28.0 to 21.0
157 Florida Atlantic over 213 North Texas 35.0 to 24.5
75 Hofstra over 175 Rhode Island 28.0 to 14.0
138 San Diego State over 189 Portland State 31.5 to 17.5
101 McNeese State over 201 Southern Utah 28.0 to 10.5
51 South Florida over 82 North Carolina 31.5 to 24.5
9 Oregon over 53 Stanford 28.0 to 17.5
153 Utah State over 193 San Jose State 24.5 to 10.5
29 Appalachian State over 140 Wofford 42.0 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
170 Hampton over 167 Morgan State 28.0 to 24.5
119 Middle Tennessee State over 124 Western Kentucky 24.5 to 17.5
71 Harvard over 108 Brown 31.5 to 21.0
27 Arizona State over 26 Oregon State 24.5 to 21.0
181 Tennessee - Martin over 217 Austin Peay 28.0 to 21.0
114 Richmond over 173 Bucknell 24.5 to 17.5
34 Washington over 76 California - Los Angeles 21.0 to 17.5
88 Colorado over 95 Miami - Ohio 17.5 to 14.0
143 Fordham over 163 Dayton 24.5 to 17.5
146 Alabama A&M over 178 Grambling 28.0 to 24.5
83 Houston over 94 Colorado State 31.5 to 28.0
134 Idaho over 131 Northern Illinois 24.5 to 21.0
69 Indiana over 78 Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
186 Jacksonville State over 188 Eastern Kentucky 21.0 to 21.0
60 Lafayette over 68 Princeton 21.0 to 17.5
14 Michigan over 18 Penn State 24.5 to 17.5
122 Montana over 116 Albany 21.0 to 17.5
184 Robert Morris over 216 Morehead State 14.0 to 10.5
96 Navy over 92 Duke 28.0 to 24.5
206 Bethune - Cookman over 226 Norfolk State 24.5 to 21.0
57 Wyoming over 111 Ohio 24.5 to 21.0
81 Oklahoma State over 72 Texas Tech 28.0 to 28.0
43 Pittsburgh over 46 Connecticut 21.0 to 17.5
169 Duquesne over 199 Sacred Heart 28.0 to 21.0
222 Samford over 231 Southeast Missouri State 31.5 to 24.5
159 South Dakota State over 158 Texas State - San Marcos 35.0 to 31.5
192 Southern over 200 Tennessee State 24.5 to 17.5
165 Stephen F. Austin over 174 Western Illinois 21.0 to 14.0
182 Stony Brook over 180 Monmouth 24.5 to 21.0
50 Tennessee over 66 Arkansas State 31.5 to 24.5
62 Delaware over 125 Towson 28.0 to 21.0
91 Villanova over 107 Pennsylvania 21.0 to 14.0
30 Georgia Tech over 80 Virginia 17.5 to 14.0
55 Wake Forest over 49 Maryland 17.5 to 14.0
145 Western Michigan over 166 Central Connecticut 28.0 to 21.0
35 Wisconsin over 42 Iowa 21.0 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
87 Kent State over 110 Akron 21.0 to 21.0
21 Arkansas over 19 Kentucky 42.0 to 38.5
28 Air Force over 52 Brigham Young 28.0 to 28.0
106 Baylor over 129 Buffalo 24.5 to 24.5
161 California - Davis over 160 Northeastern 24.5 to 21.0
126 Central Michigan over 115 North Dakota State 35.0 to 31.5
102 Drake over 89 Northern Iowa 21.0 to 17.5
208 Jackson State over 220 Mississippi Valley State 17.5 to 14.0
113 Iowa State over 141 Toledo 24.5 to 24.5
59 Cornell over 99 Yale 21.0 to 17.5
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