ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
27 Arkansas over 210 North Texas 59.5 to 17.5
9 Kentucky over 162 Florida Atlantic 49.0 to 10.5
3 Ohio State over 115 Minnesota 45.5 to 17.5
85 Montana over 219 Weber State 45.5 to 14.0
67 Texas Tech over 225 Northwestern State 56.0 to 14.0
1 Louisiana State over 177 Tulane 52.5 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
185 Alabama A&M over 231 Texas Southern 35.0 to 17.5
101 San Diego over 233 Butler 45.5 to 10.5
159 California Poly over 221 Northern Colorado 31.5 to 10.5
37 Central Florida over 161 Louisiana - Lafayette 42.0 to 17.5
29 Connecticut over 99 Akron 28.0 to 10.5
82 Delaware over 160 Monmouth 28.0 to 10.5
137 Drake over 234 Valparaiso 45.5 to 7.0
174 Eastern Kentucky over 230 Samford 38.5 to 14.0
128 Eastern Washington over 207 Portland State 35.0 to 17.5
4 Florida over 23 Auburn 38.5 to 21.0
107 Hofstra over 175 Stony Brook 35.0 to 17.5
28 Hawaii over 134 Idaho 42.0 to 24.5
70 Southern Illinois over 227 Indiana State 49.0 to 10.5
186 Jacksonville State over 235 Murray State 35.0 to 17.5
25 Nebraska over 118 Iowa State 42.0 to 21.0
143 New Mexico State over 224 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 38.5 to 10.5
16 Michigan over 114 Northwestern 28.0 to 10.5
144 Grambling over 209 Prairie View 21.0 to 7.0
62 Oklahoma State over 168 Sam Houston State 49.0 to 28.0
66 Princeton over 157 Columbia 24.5 to 7.0
44 Purdue over 112 Notre Dame 28.0 to 10.5
8 Rutgers over 55 Maryland 24.5 to 10.5
150 Northern Arizona over 232 Sacramento State 35.0 to 14.0
24 South Carolina over 95 Mississippi State 24.5 to 7.0
10 Texas over 74 Kansas State 35.0 to 14.0
47 Texas A&M over 120 Baylor 42.0 to 24.5
73 Troy State over 131 Northeast Louisiana 38.5 to 24.5
22 Tulsa over 139 Alabama - Birmingham 42.0 to 14.0
60 Utah over 163 Utah State 28.0 to 3.5
33 Vanderbilt over 138 Eastern Michigan 38.5 to 14.0
18 Virginia Tech over 92 North Carolina 31.5 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
43 Boise State over 90 Southern Mississippi 28.0 to 17.5
194 Tennessee - Martin over 208 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 24.5
121 Army over 152 Temple 21.0 to 14.0
81 Ball State over 145 Buffalo 35.0 to 17.5
21 Boston College over 52 Massachusetts 31.5 to 21.0
109 Brown over 169 Rhode Island 31.5 to 17.5
176 Bucknell over 213 Marist 31.5 to 17.5
123 Colgate over 154 Fordham 28.0 to 17.5
2 Oklahoma over 32 Colorado 31.5 to 14.0
181 Gardner - Webb over 211 Austin Peay 28.0 to 17.5
30 Georgia over 78 Mississippi 28.0 to 14.0
171 Georgia Southern over 199 Western Carolina 38.5 to 28.0
164 Hampton over 191 Delaware State 21.0 to 14.0
80 Houston over 111 East Carolina 28.0 to 17.5
77 Northern Iowa over 151 Illinois State 24.5 to 14.0
38 Iowa over 75 Indiana 24.5 to 14.0
193 Davidson over 223 Jacksonville 28.0 to 17.5
200 Liberty over 222 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 38.5 to 24.5
48 Miami - Florida over 108 Duke 28.0 to 14.0
142 Middle Tennessee State over 179 Florida International 24.5 to 14.0
165 Montana State over 215 Idaho State 24.5 to 7.0
155 Dayton over 214 Morehead State 24.5 to 10.5
182 Robert Morris over 204 Virginia Military 21.0 to 14.0
17 Cincinnati over 98 San Diego State 31.5 to 17.5
116 South Dakota State over 173 Stephen F. Austin 28.0 to 17.5
187 Eastern Illinois over 229 Southeast Missouri State 28.0 to 14.0
56 Texas Christian over 87 Colorado State 24.5 to 17.5
180 Wagner over 196 Sacred Heart 24.5 to 17.5
5 Southern California over 46 Washington 31.5 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
6 West Virginia over 15 South Florida 24.5 to 21.0
68 Arizona over 79 Washington State 35.0 to 28.0
170 Morgan State over 205 Bethune - Cookman 28.0 to 21.0
117 Bowling Green over 119 Western Kentucky 24.5 to 21.0
110 Northern Illinois over 141 Central Michigan 28.0 to 24.5
51 Appalachian State over 106 Elon 31.5 to 24.5
132 Fresno State over 136 Louisiana Tech 28.0 to 24.5
100 Wofford over 147 Furman 31.5 to 24.5
124 Cornell over 184 Georgetown 28.0 to 21.0
19 Clemson over 61 Georgia Tech 28.0 to 24.5
34 Holy Cross over 39 Yale 31.5 to 24.5
65 Lehigh over 64 Harvard 24.5 to 21.0
97 Syracuse over 153 Miami - Ohio 21.0 to 14.0
14 Alabama over 45 Florida State 24.5 to 17.5
11 Oregon over 13 California 38.5 to 35.0
36 Oregon State over 54 California - Los Angeles 35.0 to 28.0
57 New Hampshire over 113 Richmond 35.0 to 28.0
12 Arizona State over 63 Stanford 28.0 to 17.5
86 Western Michigan over 130 Toledo 42.0 to 38.5
35 Pittsburgh over 72 Virginia 17.5 to 14.0
89 North Dakota State over 127 Western Illinois 21.0 to 17.5
133 Towson over 178 William & Mary 24.5 to 21.0
41 Wisconsin over 42 Michigan State 28.0 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
217 Norfolk State over 226 North Carolina A&T 24.5 to 21.0
149 Dartmouth over 129 Pennsylvania 21.0 to 21.0
26 Penn State over 58 Illinois 21.0 to 21.0
88 James Madison over 83 Villanova 24.5 to 24.5
192 Southern over 197 Alabama State 24.5 to 24.5
91 Navy over 76 Air Force 28.0 to 28.0
71 Nevada - Las Vegas over 93 Nevada - Reno 24.5 to 24.5
20 Brigham Young over 49 New Mexico 28.0 to 24.5
59 North Carolina State over 50 Louisville 35.0 to 31.5
201 Florida A&M over 203 Tennessee State 28.0 to 28.0
105 Ohio over 96 Kent State 24.5 to 24.5
125 California - Davis over 158 San Jose State 24.5 to 24.5
104 Texas - El Paso over 126 Southern Methodist 28.0 to 24.5
146 The Citadel over 166 Tennessee - Chattanooga 35.0 to 35.0
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