ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
6 South Florida over 139 Florida Atlantic 38.5 to 7.0
144 Iona over 237 La Salle 49.0 to 7.0
24 Michigan over 156 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 3.5
15 Arkansas over 182 Tennessee - Chattanooga 49.0 to 14.0
74 Elon over 207 Western Carolina 42.0 to 14.0
27 Boise State over 157 New Mexico State 45.5 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
106 Southern Mississippi over 183 Rice 38.5 to 17.5
52 Appalachian State over 180 Gardner - Webb 45.5 to 17.5
63 Ball State over 133 Central Michigan 35.0 to 17.5
14 Boston College over 93 Bowling Green 42.0 to 21.0
49 California - Los Angeles over 110 Notre Dame 28.0 to 14.0
185 Dayton over 226 Jacksonville 35.0 to 17.5
77 Troy State over 208 Florida International 35.0 to 10.5
13 Florida State over 73 North Carolina State 24.5 to 7.0
168 Grambling over 225 Mississippi Valley State 28.0 to 10.5
34 Hawaii over 152 Utah State 42.0 to 17.5
155 Louisiana - Lafayette over 217 North Texas 38.5 to 17.5
53 Michigan State over 117 Northwestern 35.0 to 17.5
165 Morgan State over 231 North Carolina A&T 35.0 to 7.0
199 Nicholls State over 235 Northwestern State 42.0 to 17.5
104 North Dakota State over 174 California - Davis 38.5 to 21.0
56 James Madison over 192 Northeastern 31.5 to 7.0
75 Princeton over 169 Hampton 38.5 to 17.5
1 Southern California over 64 Stanford 35.0 to 7.0
7 West Virginia over 98 Syracuse 31.5 to 10.5
122 San Diego over 233 Valparaiso 49.0 to 21.0
28 Yale over 132 Dartmouth 35.0 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
178 Delaware State over 206 Bethune - Cookman 21.0 to 10.5
188 Jacksonville State over 204 Tennessee - Martin 21.0 to 14.0
18 Louisville over 70 Utah 35.0 to 21.0
39 Alabama over 83 Houston 35.0 to 21.0
8 Auburn over 38 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 14.0
23 Colorado over 114 Baylor 28.0 to 14.0
101 Ohio over 171 Buffalo 31.5 to 21.0
216 Charleston Southern over 236 Savannah State 35.0 to 17.5
158 Drake over 203 Butler 21.0 to 3.5
69 Lehigh over 135 Fordham 28.0 to 17.5
162 Furman over 184 Coastal Carolina 31.5 to 21.0
80 South Dakota State over 150 Georgia Southern 35.0 to 24.5
105 Hofstra over 163 Maine 24.5 to 10.5
51 Indiana over 84 Minnesota 38.5 to 28.0
151 Western Illinois over 223 Indiana State 28.0 to 14.0
82 Kent State over 119 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 17.5
94 Lafayette over 142 Columbia 24.5 to 10.5
166 Duquesne over 221 Marist 24.5 to 14.0
36 Virginia over 121 Middle Tennessee State 31.5 to 17.5
97 Mississippi over 154 Louisiana Tech 28.0 to 14.0
100 Mississippi State over 129 Alabama - Birmingham 24.5 to 17.5
116 Montana over 164 Eastern Washington 28.0 to 17.5
159 Montana State over 195 Southern Utah 24.5 to 10.5
88 Nevada - Reno over 118 Fresno State 31.5 to 21.0
3 Oklahoma over 26 Texas 38.5 to 28.0
153 Pennsylvania over 177 Georgetown 17.5 to 10.5
194 Central Connecticut over 234 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 14.0
200 Tennessee Tech over 220 Austin Peay 28.0 to 17.5
40 Texas Tech over 107 Iowa State 35.0 to 17.5
115 Villanova over 161 William & Mary 35.0 to 24.5
10 Arizona State over 91 Washington State 35.0 to 21.0
86 Western Michigan over 113 Akron 35.0 to 28.0
60-70% chance of victory:
89 Air Force over 95 Nevada - Las Vegas 21.0 to 14.0
147 Albany over 160 Stony Brook 24.5 to 17.5
120 Army over 143 Tulane 24.5 to 17.5
71 Holy Cross over 131 Brown 42.0 to 35.0
126 Colgate over 149 Bucknell 24.5 to 17.5
81 Colorado State over 92 San Diego State 31.5 to 28.0
196 Davidson over 213 Morehead State 21.0 to 14.0
68 Wake Forest over 109 Duke 24.5 to 21.0
61 Central Florida over 96 East Carolina 31.5 to 28.0
222 Idaho State over 230 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 24.5
198 Jackson State over 202 Alabama State 17.5 to 14.0
2 Louisiana State over 4 Florida 24.5 to 17.5
41 Maryland over 50 Georgia Tech 21.0 to 17.5
66 New Hampshire over 67 Delaware 38.5 to 35.0
186 South Carolina State over 218 Norfolk State 24.5 to 21.0
103 Arkansas State over 148 Northeast Louisiana 28.0 to 21.0
46 Penn State over 65 Iowa 21.0 to 14.0
5 Ohio State over 45 Purdue 24.5 to 14.0
173 Wagner over 209 Robert Morris 14.0 to 10.5
30 Rutgers over 29 Cincinnati 24.5 to 17.5
124 San Jose State over 138 Idaho 24.5 to 17.5
179 Southern over 181 Alabama A&M 28.0 to 24.5
137 Northern Illinois over 167 Temple 31.5 to 28.0
44 Texas A&M over 47 Oklahoma State 31.5 to 28.0
60 Tulsa over 99 Texas - El Paso 35.0 to 28.0
134 McNeese State over 176 Texas State - San Marcos 28.0 to 21.0
201 Weber State over 211 Sacramento State 21.0 to 14.0
57 Wyoming over 48 Texas Christian 17.5 to 14.0
50-60% chance of victory:
123 Memphis over 112 Marshall 28.0 to 28.0
19 South Carolina over 12 Kentucky 28.0 to 28.0
219 Alcorn State over 210 Prairie View 7.0 to 7.0
31 Clemson over 20 Virginia Tech 17.5 to 17.5
102 Cornell over 79 Harvard 21.0 to 21.0
172 Eastern Kentucky over 187 Eastern Illinois 21.0 to 21.0
35 Wisconsin over 54 Illinois 24.5 to 24.5
9 Kansas over 22 Kansas State 21.0 to 21.0
33 Missouri over 17 Nebraska 35.0 to 35.0
59 Miami - Florida over 76 North Carolina 21.0 to 21.0
62 Oregon State over 55 Arizona 28.0 to 24.5
170 Northern Arizona over 190 Portland State 28.0 to 28.0
175 Monmouth over 197 Sacred Heart 24.5 to 21.0
214 Stephen F. Austin over 224 Southeast Louisiana 17.5 to 17.5
78 Youngstown State over 111 Southern Illinois 24.5 to 21.0
25 Georgia over 42 Tennessee 31.5 to 31.5
108 Wofford over 136 The Citadel 31.5 to 28.0
145 Toledo over 127 Liberty 38.5 to 35.0
90 Richmond over 125 Towson 21.0 to 17.5
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