ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
6 Oklahoma over 127 Iowa State 42.0 to 10.5
107 Montana over 235 Northern Colorado 42.0 to 3.5
117 Albany over 230 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 35.0 to 7.0
95 San Diego over 226 Jacksonville 49.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
45 Appalachian State over 124 Georgia Southern 45.5 to 28.0
16 Texas over 126 Baylor 35.0 to 14.0
31 Brigham Young over 130 Eastern Washington 42.0 to 17.5
43 Georgia Tech over 151 Army 35.0 to 10.5
144 Western Kentucky over 229 Indiana State 35.0 to 14.0
12 Boise State over 145 Louisiana Tech 42.0 to 17.5
50 Massachusetts over 152 Northeastern 31.5 to 7.0
1 Ohio State over 44 Michigan State 31.5 to 10.5
185 Sam Houston State over 234 Northwestern State 45.5 to 21.0
84 Syracuse over 142 Buffalo 28.0 to 10.5
83 Troy State over 199 North Texas 49.0 to 21.0
7 West Virginia over 100 Mississippi State 35.0 to 7.0
67 Wisconsin over 149 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
176 Alabama A&M over 212 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 31.5 to 17.5
69 Northwestern over 133 Eastern Michigan 35.0 to 21.0
158 Bucknell over 180 Georgetown 28.0 to 17.5
154 Liberty over 210 Charleston Southern 31.5 to 21.0
37 Clemson over 89 Central Michigan 38.5 to 24.5
4 Kansas over 55 Colorado 31.5 to 17.5
174 Duquesne over 196 Robert Morris 17.5 to 10.5
173 Eastern Kentucky over 197 Tennessee State 28.0 to 21.0
38 Florida State over 71 Miami - Florida 21.0 to 14.0
60 Harvard over 122 Princeton 35.0 to 17.5
205 Howard over 232 North Carolina A&T 24.5 to 10.5
15 Penn State over 88 Indiana 35.0 to 21.0
190 Jacksonville State over 220 Tennessee Tech 35.0 to 21.0
11 Missouri over 20 Texas Tech 35.0 to 24.5
178 Montana State over 207 Sacramento State 17.5 to 7.0
164 Northeast Louisiana over 193 Florida International 21.0 to 14.0
21 Southern California over 79 Notre Dame 21.0 to 14.0
25 Yale over 92 Pennsylvania 28.0 to 14.0
29 Cincinnati over 85 Pittsburgh 28.0 to 17.5
72 Richmond over 138 Rhode Island 31.5 to 14.0
204 Sacred Heart over 222 Marist 28.0 to 17.5
27 New Mexico over 101 San Diego State 28.0 to 17.5
17 South Carolina over 52 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 14.0
195 Southern over 219 Alcorn State 24.5 to 14.0
77 Miami - Ohio over 157 Temple 28.0 to 17.5
188 Texas State - San Marcos over 218 Stephen F. Austin 31.5 to 17.5
159 Dayton over 224 Valparaiso 45.5 to 31.5
8 Oregon over 46 Washington 31.5 to 24.5
141 The Citadel over 208 Western Carolina 38.5 to 28.0
86 Northern Iowa over 165 Western Illinois 21.0 to 10.5
82 Wofford over 119 Elon 31.5 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
40 Texas Christian over 41 Utah 21.0 to 17.5
61 Air Force over 74 Wyoming 21.0 to 14.0
91 Houston over 148 Alabama - Birmingham 35.0 to 28.0
57 Arizona over 56 Stanford 24.5 to 21.0
23 California over 63 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 24.5
65 Tulsa over 123 Central Florida 45.5 to 38.5
121 Colgate over 129 Towson 21.0 to 14.0
147 Dartmouth over 167 Columbia 28.0 to 21.0
184 Drake over 211 Davidson 28.0 to 24.5
172 Delaware State over 183 Morgan State 21.0 to 14.0
198 Eastern Illinois over 206 Tennessee - Martin 21.0 to 17.5
94 Fresno State over 111 San Jose State 28.0 to 24.5
49 New Hampshire over 90 Hofstra 38.5 to 31.5
194 Portland State over 217 Idaho State 31.5 to 28.0
14 Michigan over 51 Illinois 24.5 to 17.5
135 Kent State over 140 Bowling Green 31.5 to 28.0
2 Florida over 18 Kentucky 42.0 to 35.0
93 Lafayette over 116 Fordham 24.5 to 17.5
47 Holy Cross over 80 Lehigh 24.5 to 24.5
125 Florida Atlantic over 182 Louisiana - Lafayette 28.0 to 21.0
3 Louisiana State over 5 Auburn 21.0 to 14.0
35 Maryland over 48 Virginia 21.0 to 17.5
105 Middle Tennessee State over 108 Arkansas State 28.0 to 24.5
103 Minnesota over 98 North Dakota State 31.5 to 31.5
33 Arkansas over 73 Mississippi 28.0 to 21.0
225 Mississippi Valley State over 228 Texas Southern 21.0 to 14.0
214 Morehead State over 221 Butler 24.5 to 21.0
59 Navy over 64 Wake Forest 38.5 to 35.0
53 Nebraska over 62 Texas A&M 28.0 to 24.5
104 Nevada - Las Vegas over 112 Colorado State 21.0 to 17.5
156 New Mexico State over 170 Idaho 31.5 to 24.5
13 Kansas State over 32 Oklahoma State 28.0 to 24.5
58 Purdue over 54 Iowa 21.0 to 17.5
139 Rice over 150 Memphis 31.5 to 24.5
113 South Dakota State over 128 California Poly 31.5 to 24.5
231 Southeast Missouri State over 233 Murray State 31.5 to 24.5
137 Southern Methodist over 143 Tulane 28.0 to 21.0
162 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 166 Furman 28.0 to 24.5
136 Toledo over 132 Ohio 38.5 to 35.0
96 Nevada - Reno over 146 Utah State 42.0 to 38.5
200 Virginia Military over 203 Gardner - Webb 24.5 to 21.0
171 Wagner over 186 Central Connecticut 21.0 to 14.0
50-60% chance of victory:
202 Norfolk State over 215 Florida A&M 28.0 to 28.0
9 South Florida over 19 Rutgers 21.0 to 21.0
24 Louisville over 36 Connecticut 28.0 to 28.0
30 Tennessee over 39 Alabama 28.0 to 28.0
115 Cornell over 102 Brown 24.5 to 24.5
76 East Carolina over 70 North Carolina State 24.5 to 21.0
161 Hampton over 155 South Carolina State 21.0 to 17.5
175 Grambling over 192 Jackson State 24.5 to 24.5
134 McNeese State over 163 Nicholls State 17.5 to 17.5
223 Austin Peay over 227 Samford 24.5 to 24.5
168 California - Davis over 189 Southern Utah 21.0 to 21.0
153 Maine over 181 Stony Brook 21.0 to 21.0
177 Weber State over 169 Northern Arizona 24.5 to 21.0
87 Western Michigan over 68 Ball State 35.0 to 31.5
118 Youngstown State over 110 Illinois State 28.0 to 24.5
114 Marshall over 97 Southern Mississippi 24.5 to 21.0
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