ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
27 Arkansas over 190 Florida International 42.0 to 3.5
26 Yale over 174 Columbia 38.5 to 10.5
161 Grambling over 234 Texas Southern 42.0 to 14.0
8 Missouri over 120 Iowa State 42.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
99 Wofford over 200 Western Carolina 38.5 to 21.0
5 Auburn over 78 Mississippi 31.5 to 7.0
42 Holy Cross over 166 Bucknell 38.5 to 17.5
191 Drake over 232 Jacksonville 38.5 to 17.5
63 Harvard over 126 Dartmouth 31.5 to 17.5
45 Hawaii over 143 New Mexico State 56.0 to 31.5
103 Illinois State over 178 Western Illinois 28.0 to 10.5
22 Kansas State over 122 Baylor 42.0 to 17.5
19 Kentucky over 87 Mississippi State 38.5 to 17.5
81 Lehigh over 168 Georgetown 24.5 to 7.0
116 Fordham over 217 Marist 38.5 to 21.0
127 McNeese State over 218 Southeast Louisiana 31.5 to 7.0
15 Michigan over 105 Minnesota 42.0 to 17.5
146 Eastern Kentucky over 229 Murray State 38.5 to 21.0
79 Nevada - Reno over 179 Idaho 45.5 to 28.0
33 New Hampshire over 157 Rhode Island 45.5 to 17.5
1 Florida over 32 Georgia 35.0 to 21.0
104 North Dakota State over 192 Southern Utah 31.5 to 10.5
177 Montana State over 231 Northern Colorado 24.5 to 7.0
111 Middle Tennessee State over 206 North Texas 35.0 to 17.5
172 Texas State - San Marcos over 233 Northwestern State 45.5 to 28.0
204 Tennessee - Martin over 235 Southeast Missouri State 28.0 to 10.5
80 Tulsa over 153 Southern Methodist 42.0 to 24.5
30 Vanderbilt over 117 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 10.5
62 Massachusetts over 164 William & Mary 35.0 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
13 Arizona State over 31 California 31.5 to 21.0
110 Bowling Green over 130 Ohio 38.5 to 28.0
186 Davidson over 230 Butler 28.0 to 17.5
181 Coastal Carolina over 209 Virginia Military 35.0 to 21.0
96 East Carolina over 139 Alabama - Birmingham 31.5 to 21.0
101 Elon over 165 Tennessee - Chattanooga 31.5 to 17.5
121 Florida Atlantic over 156 Northeast Louisiana 31.5 to 21.0
53 Florida State over 106 Duke 31.5 to 17.5
95 Georgia Southern over 159 The Citadel 42.0 to 28.0
137 California Poly over 205 Idaho State 38.5 to 28.0
195 Jackson State over 215 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 24.5 to 17.5
16 Louisville over 50 Pittsburgh 35.0 to 21.0
124 Marshall over 148 Rice 38.5 to 31.5
188 Morgan State over 222 Florida A&M 35.0 to 21.0
182 Alabama A&M over 211 Alabama State 24.5 to 17.5
194 Norfolk State over 212 Howard 35.0 to 24.5
75 Northern Iowa over 118 Youngstown State 21.0 to 10.5
28 Oregon State over 56 Stanford 28.0 to 17.5
202 Prairie View over 216 Mississippi Valley State 17.5 to 10.5
41 Purdue over 82 Northwestern 35.0 to 21.0
23 Brigham Young over 98 San Diego State 31.5 to 17.5
154 South Carolina State over 183 Delaware State 21.0 to 14.0
21 Texas over 55 Nebraska 24.5 to 14.0
128 Toledo over 167 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
77 Villanova over 114 Hofstra 24.5 to 17.5
132 Albany over 187 Wagner 21.0 to 14.0
40 California - Los Angeles over 109 Washington State 31.5 to 21.0
52 Wisconsin over 84 Indiana 35.0 to 24.5
73 Wyoming over 123 Nevada - Las Vegas 24.5 to 10.5
60-70% chance of victory:
44 New Mexico over 61 Air Force 21.0 to 14.0
25 Virginia Tech over 18 Boston College 21.0 to 17.5
24 Boise State over 76 Fresno State 35.0 to 28.0
90 Troy State over 129 Arkansas State 28.0 to 24.5
115 South Dakota State over 163 California - Davis 35.0 to 28.0
173 Central Connecticut over 184 Monmouth 17.5 to 14.0
46 Utah over 83 Colorado State 28.0 to 24.5
10 South Florida over 37 Connecticut 21.0 to 14.0
102 San Diego over 155 Dayton 35.0 to 28.0
92 Western Michigan over 136 Eastern Michigan 28.0 to 24.5
74 Appalachian State over 140 Furman 35.0 to 24.5
199 Gardner - Webb over 214 Charleston Southern 21.0 to 17.5
67 Illinois over 72 Ball State 24.5 to 21.0
175 Iona over 170 Duquesne 17.5 to 14.0
68 James Madison over 65 Richmond 24.5 to 21.0
135 Kent State over 151 Central Michigan 31.5 to 28.0
100 Lafayette over 112 Colgate 21.0 to 17.5
14 Clemson over 49 Maryland 28.0 to 21.0
210 Bethune - Cookman over 228 North Carolina A&T 21.0 to 17.5
145 Northeastern over 152 Maine 17.5 to 10.5
108 Montana over 171 Northern Arizona 35.0 to 24.5
6 Oregon over 11 Southern California 28.0 to 21.0
160 Eastern Washington over 198 Sacramento State 21.0 to 14.0
208 Sacred Heart over 223 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 35.0 to 24.5
189 Sam Houston State over 221 Stephen F. Austin 31.5 to 21.0
196 Eastern Illinois over 220 Tennessee State 28.0 to 24.5
225 Tennessee Tech over 227 Samford 31.5 to 24.5
4 Kansas over 36 Texas A&M 28.0 to 21.0
35 Texas Tech over 51 Colorado 28.0 to 17.5
131 Tulane over 134 Memphis 28.0 to 24.5
197 Morehead State over 224 Valparaiso 28.0 to 21.0
54 Wake Forest over 66 North Carolina 28.0 to 21.0
57 Washington over 64 Arizona 28.0 to 24.5
86 Southern Mississippi over 89 Central Florida 31.5 to 24.5
50-60% chance of victory:
119 Princeton over 97 Cornell 21.0 to 21.0
85 Pennsylvania over 113 Brown 31.5 to 31.5
141 Buffalo over 125 Akron 24.5 to 21.0
48 Michigan State over 69 Iowa 24.5 to 24.5
70 Delaware over 91 Navy 31.5 to 31.5
60 North Carolina State over 43 Virginia 17.5 to 17.5
12 Penn State over 3 Ohio State 17.5 to 17.5
207 Portland State over 201 Weber State 21.0 to 17.5
7 West Virginia over 17 Rutgers 28.0 to 24.5
29 South Carolina over 58 Tennessee 24.5 to 21.0
88 Texas - El Paso over 71 Houston 35.0 to 31.5
133 Louisiana Tech over 162 Utah State 24.5 to 21.0
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