ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
7 Auburn over 227 Tennessee Tech 59.5 to 3.5
195 Gardner - Webb over 237 Savannah State 38.5 to 7.0
120 Youngstown State over 229 Indiana State 38.5 to 10.5
73 Mississippi over 232 Northwestern State 49.0 to 3.5
80-90% chance of victory:
70 Air Force over 137 Army 28.0 to 10.5
125 Albany over 193 Robert Morris 21.0 to 3.5
21 Boise State over 130 San Jose State 38.5 to 14.0
30 Brigham Young over 102 Colorado State 35.0 to 14.0
144 Dayton over 230 Butler 42.0 to 10.5
10 Clemson over 98 Duke 35.0 to 17.5
164 Eastern Washington over 225 Northern Colorado 31.5 to 10.5
79 Fresno State over 171 Utah State 35.0 to 14.0
4 Kansas over 48 Nebraska 31.5 to 14.0
101 Montana over 210 Portland State 49.0 to 21.0
63 New Hampshire over 156 Northeastern 38.5 to 17.5
2 Ohio State over 37 Wisconsin 24.5 to 7.0
127 San Diego over 197 Davidson 38.5 to 24.5
126 McNeese State over 214 Stephen F. Austin 31.5 to 14.0
43 Tennessee over 178 Louisiana - Lafayette 49.0 to 21.0
188 Wagner over 236 La Salle 31.5 to 3.5
72 Houston over 133 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 21.0
70-80% chance of victory:
86 Nevada - Reno over 165 New Mexico State 42.0 to 31.5
118 Ohio over 157 Temple 31.5 to 21.0
149 Grambling over 207 Alabama State 28.0 to 14.0
50 Arizona over 85 California - Los Angeles 28.0 to 17.5
169 Arkansas State over 202 Florida International 21.0 to 10.5
44 Texas Tech over 123 Baylor 31.5 to 21.0
160 Hampton over 205 Bethune - Cookman 28.0 to 21.0
13 Boston College over 42 Florida State 24.5 to 14.0
23 California over 74 Washington State 35.0 to 21.0
184 Central Connecticut over 215 Sacred Heart 38.5 to 24.5
78 Central Florida over 119 Marshall 35.0 to 24.5
62 Harvard over 152 Columbia 28.0 to 14.0
9 Florida over 38 Vanderbilt 35.0 to 21.0
212 Florida A&M over 228 North Carolina A&T 24.5 to 17.5
11 Georgia over 49 Troy State 24.5 to 14.0
99 Hofstra over 151 William & Mary 35.0 to 24.5
14 Kansas State over 93 Iowa State 35.0 to 21.0
116 Lafayette over 146 Bucknell 24.5 to 14.0
140 Liberty over 166 Coastal Carolina 38.5 to 28.0
97 Miami - Ohio over 129 Buffalo 21.0 to 14.0
186 Morgan State over 209 Norfolk State 28.0 to 17.5
88 North Dakota State over 139 Illinois State 28.0 to 17.5
8 Oklahoma over 39 Texas A&M 31.5 to 17.5
16 Penn State over 40 Purdue 31.5 to 21.0
51 Pittsburgh over 96 Syracuse 24.5 to 10.5
64 Massachusetts over 142 Rhode Island 31.5 to 21.0
54 Richmond over 80 Villanova 28.0 to 21.0
176 Jacksonville State over 221 Samford 35.0 to 24.5
220 Austin Peay over 235 Southeast Missouri State 24.5 to 17.5
153 California Poly over 201 Southern Utah 31.5 to 24.5
12 South Florida over 28 Cincinnati 24.5 to 17.5
192 Southern over 234 Texas Southern 35.0 to 21.0
185 Texas State - San Marcos over 218 Southeast Louisiana 31.5 to 17.5
77 Appalachian State over 158 The Citadel 35.0 to 24.5
35 Yale over 94 Brown 35.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
32 Georgia Tech over 26 Virginia Tech 17.5 to 14.0
132 Bowling Green over 150 Akron 31.5 to 24.5
1 Louisiana State over 19 Alabama 24.5 to 21.0
180 Alabama A&M over 196 Jackson State 24.5 to 17.5
113 Southern Mississippi over 154 Alabama - Birmingham 21.0 to 17.5
219 Alcorn State over 222 Mississippi Valley State 17.5 to 14.0
20 Arkansas over 27 South Carolina 24.5 to 17.5
52 Lehigh over 95 Colgate 24.5 to 17.5
25 Connecticut over 24 Rutgers 21.0 to 17.5
58 Delaware over 76 James Madison 31.5 to 24.5
60 Holy Cross over 115 Fordham 28.0 to 21.0
131 Louisiana Tech over 167 Idaho 24.5 to 21.0
223 Valparaiso over 233 Jacksonville 24.5 to 21.0
199 Georgetown over 224 Marist 17.5 to 14.0
81 East Carolina over 135 Memphis 35.0 to 28.0
61 Miami - Florida over 57 North Carolina State 21.0 to 17.5
18 Michigan over 66 Michigan State 31.5 to 24.5
53 Illinois over 106 Minnesota 28.0 to 21.0
174 Drake over 206 Morehead State 24.5 to 21.0
67 Maryland over 90 North Carolina 21.0 to 21.0
5 Oregon over 6 Arizona State 28.0 to 24.5
108 Pennsylvania over 104 Princeton 24.5 to 24.5
103 Texas - El Paso over 159 Rice 38.5 to 31.5
162 California - Davis over 200 Sacramento State 24.5 to 17.5
177 Monmouth over 217 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 28.0 to 21.0
71 Wyoming over 100 San Diego State 24.5 to 21.0
15 Southern California over 31 Oregon State 24.5 to 17.5
59 Stanford over 65 Washington 28.0 to 24.5
226 Tennessee State over 231 Murray State 38.5 to 31.5
89 Toledo over 122 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 24.5
84 Tulsa over 143 Tulane 35.0 to 28.0
213 Virginia Military over 216 Charleston Southern 28.0 to 24.5
183 Weber State over 208 Idaho State 38.5 to 28.0
109 Wofford over 105 Georgia Southern 31.5 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
211 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 203 Prairie View 14.0 to 14.0
17 Missouri over 41 Colorado 28.0 to 28.0
112 Cornell over 136 Dartmouth 24.5 to 24.5
107 Elon over 128 Furman 24.5 to 24.5
179 South Carolina State over 198 Howard 21.0 to 21.0
75 Ball State over 92 Indiana 28.0 to 28.0
148 Maine over 138 Towson 14.0 to 10.5
170 Northern Arizona over 190 Montana State 21.0 to 21.0
121 Middle Tennessee State over 145 Northeast Louisiana 24.5 to 24.5
69 Iowa over 91 Northwestern 21.0 to 17.5
87 Notre Dame over 82 Navy 28.0 to 24.5
34 Oklahoma State over 22 Texas 24.5 to 24.5
182 Sam Houston State over 168 Nicholls State 21.0 to 17.5
161 Tennessee - Chattanooga over 155 Western Kentucky 21.0 to 17.5
55 Texas Christian over 46 New Mexico 24.5 to 24.5
33 Wake Forest over 56 Virginia 21.0 to 21.0
134 Western Illinois over 114 Southern Illinois 21.0 to 21.0
Back to: Bassett Football Model Home Page
Please email comments or questions to bfm@BassettFootball.net