ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 162 Duquesne over 236 La Salle 35.0 to 3.5 3 Louisiana State over 141 Louisiana Tech 49.0 to 7.0 85 Northern Iowa over 229 Indiana State 38.5 to 3.5 5 Oklahoma over 121 Baylor 42.0 to 7.0 13 Penn State over 163 Temple 38.5 to 7.0 80-90% chance of victory: 60 Central Florida over 167 Alabama - Birmingham 31.5 to 17.5 68 Appalachian State over 198 Western Carolina 45.5 to 17.5 97 Colgate over 205 Georgetown 35.0 to 17.5 140 Liberty over 225 Virginia Military 42.0 to 17.5 149 McNeese State over 219 Northwestern State 38.5 to 21.0 127 Middle Tennessee State over 190 Louisiana - Lafayette 35.0 to 17.5 81 Navy over 207 North Texas 52.5 to 31.5 6 Ohio State over 48 Illinois 24.5 to 7.0 120 South Dakota State over 200 Southern Utah 35.0 to 17.5 76 Southern Mississippi over 145 Memphis 31.5 to 14.0 194 Tennessee - Martin over 231 Murray State 38.5 to 21.0 19 Boise State over 161 Utah State 42.0 to 17.5 174 Wagner over 226 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 28.0 to 10.5 70-80% chance of victory: 7 West Virginia over 27 Louisville 35.0 to 24.5 36 Rutgers over 137 Army 31.5 to 14.0 166 Eastern Kentucky over 217 Austin Peay 31.5 to 21.0 94 Lehigh over 160 Bucknell 24.5 to 14.0 9 Arizona State over 79 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 17.5 74 North Dakota State over 142 California Poly 31.5 to 24.5 16 Clemson over 43 Wake Forest 28.0 to 17.5 186 Davidson over 223 Valparaiso 38.5 to 28.0 187 Delaware State over 201 Norfolk State 21.0 to 14.0 119 Dayton over 210 Drake 31.5 to 14.0 169 Hampton over 214 Florida A&M 35.0 to 17.5 62 Harvard over 104 Pennsylvania 21.0 to 7.0 32 Hawaii over 88 Fresno State 45.5 to 31.5 55 Holy Cross over 83 Lafayette 24.5 to 17.5 113 Montana over 218 Idaho State 42.0 to 21.0 49 Iowa over 100 Minnesota 28.0 to 17.5 179 Jacksonville State over 195 Eastern Illinois 24.5 to 17.5 75 East Carolina over 148 Marshall 35.0 to 28.0 10 Missouri over 57 Texas A&M 35.0 to 17.5 51 North Carolina State over 78 North Carolina 21.0 to 14.0 1 Kansas over 40 Oklahoma State 38.5 to 28.0 33 Purdue over 53 Michigan State 35.0 to 28.0 196 Robert Morris over 220 Sacred Heart 28.0 to 21.0 134 San Jose State over 158 New Mexico State 28.0 to 17.5 2 Florida over 42 South Carolina 35.0 to 24.5 168 South Carolina State over 204 Morgan State 24.5 to 14.0 177 Sam Houston State over 221 Southeast Louisiana 28.0 to 21.0 114 Southern Illinois over 153 Illinois State 35.0 to 24.5 22 South Florida over 98 Syracuse 28.0 to 14.0 90 Villanova over 156 Towson 28.0 to 21.0 41 Utah over 77 Wyoming 24.5 to 14.0 8 Virginia Tech over 28 Florida State 17.5 to 7.0 73 James Madison over 157 William & Mary 38.5 to 28.0 132 Youngstown State over 152 Western Illinois 17.5 to 10.5 60-70% chance of victory: 102 Western Michigan over 112 Central Michigan 35.0 to 28.0 124 Ohio over 159 Akron 24.5 to 24.5 188 Alabama A&M over 222 Alcorn State 24.5 to 17.5 91 Brown over 107 Dartmouth 38.5 to 31.5 11 Southern California over 37 California 21.0 to 21.0 23 Cincinnati over 21 Connecticut 24.5 to 21.0 143 Cornell over 138 Columbia 24.5 to 21.0 47 Delaware over 54 Richmond 31.5 to 28.0 105 Georgia Southern over 125 Furman 38.5 to 31.5 208 Howard over 212 Bethune - Cookman 28.0 to 21.0 183 Iona over 197 Marist 24.5 to 17.5 232 Jacksonville over 235 Butler 24.5 to 17.5 131 Maine over 126 Rhode Island 21.0 to 17.5 64 Massachusetts over 80 New Hampshire 31.5 to 24.5 24 Alabama over 66 Mississippi State 24.5 to 17.5 118 Albany over 180 Monmouth 24.5 to 17.5 130 San Diego over 171 Morehead State 31.5 to 24.5 35 Kansas State over 67 Nebraska 38.5 to 35.0 95 New Mexico over 101 Colorado State 21.0 to 17.5 173 Nicholls State over 184 Texas State - San Marcos 24.5 to 21.0 147 Northeast Louisiana over 146 Grambling 28.0 to 24.5 155 Northern Arizona over 178 Eastern Washington 28.0 to 21.0 129 Kent State over 181 Northern Illinois 24.5 to 21.0 34 Oregon State over 38 Washington 24.5 to 21.0 189 Portland State over 191 Montana State 28.0 to 24.5 185 Jackson State over 213 Prairie View 21.0 to 17.5 50 Yale over 109 Princeton 17.5 to 10.5 128 Southern Methodist over 135 Rice 38.5 to 35.0 176 Stony Brook over 170 Central Connecticut 31.5 to 28.0 115 Wofford over 172 Tennessee - Chattanooga 31.5 to 24.5 18 Texas over 26 Texas Tech 28.0 to 21.0 123 Elon over 154 The Citadel 31.5 to 28.0 71 Tulsa over 65 Houston 35.0 to 31.5 63 Washington State over 69 Stanford 21.0 to 17.5 89 Troy State over 144 Western Kentucky 24.5 to 21.0 14 Michigan over 39 Wisconsin 24.5 to 21.0 50-60% chance of victory: 30 Brigham Young over 17 Texas Christian 21.0 to 21.0 216 Tennessee State over 228 Samford 31.5 to 28.0 117 Bowling Green over 150 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 28.0 209 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 199 Southern 17.5 to 17.5 175 Coastal Carolina over 164 Gardner - Webb 28.0 to 28.0 61 Georgia Tech over 103 Duke 17.5 to 17.5 139 Florida Atlantic over 133 Arkansas State 28.0 to 24.5 20 Georgia over 12 Auburn 17.5 to 17.5 46 Colorado over 82 Iowa State 21.0 to 17.5 31 Boston College over 52 Maryland 21.0 to 21.0 70 Miami - Florida over 59 Virginia 21.0 to 17.5 224 Mississippi Valley State over 215 Alabama State 17.5 to 14.0 108 Nevada - Las Vegas over 96 San Diego State 21.0 to 21.0 111 Northeastern over 92 Hofstra 17.5 to 17.5 206 Sacramento State over 227 Northern Colorado 17.5 to 14.0 72 Indiana over 99 Northwestern 28.0 to 28.0 58 Air Force over 84 Notre Dame 17.5 to 17.5 25 Tennessee over 15 Arkansas 35.0 to 35.0 122 Texas - El Paso over 151 Tulane 31.5 to 31.5 29 Kentucky over 45 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 28.0
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