ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
19 Boise State over 175 Idaho 45.5 to 7.0
2 Florida over 136 Florida Atlantic 56.0 to 17.5
80-90% chance of victory:
129 Arkansas State over 211 North Texas 42.0 to 21.0
94 Central Michigan over 159 Eastern Michigan 35.0 to 21.0
30 Alabama over 127 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 14.0
39 Appalachian State over 179 Tennessee - Chattanooga 49.0 to 17.5
153 California Poly over 205 Iona 31.5 to 17.5
180 Eastern Illinois over 225 Samford 35.0 to 17.5
55 Iowa over 117 Western Michigan 28.0 to 14.0
70 James Madison over 139 Towson 28.0 to 10.5
3 Kansas over 71 Iowa State 38.5 to 14.0
1 Louisiana State over 106 Mississippi 38.5 to 10.5
69 Northern Iowa over 207 Southern Utah 42.0 to 7.0
162 South Carolina State over 229 North Carolina A&T 31.5 to 10.5
57 Richmond over 155 William & Mary 45.5 to 24.5
224 Mississippi Valley State over 237 Savannah State 31.5 to 10.5
150 Nicholls State over 223 Southeast Louisiana 28.0 to 14.0
34 Texas Christian over 116 Nevada - Las Vegas 31.5 to 14.0
11 Utah over 83 New Mexico 31.5 to 7.0
135 The Citadel over 228 Virginia Military 45.5 to 24.5
16 Virginia Tech over 105 Miami - Florida 28.0 to 3.5
122 Furman over 222 Western Carolina 45.5 to 28.0
70-80% chance of victory:
102 Miami - Ohio over 140 Akron 28.0 to 21.0
5 Oregon over 54 Arizona 38.5 to 28.0
32 Tulsa over 128 Army 31.5 to 17.5
45 Oklahoma State over 118 Baylor 35.0 to 24.5
125 Albany over 196 Central Connecticut 28.0 to 14.0
10 Clemson over 31 Boston College 31.5 to 21.0
86 Colorado State over 120 Georgia Southern 31.5 to 21.0
46 Connecticut over 85 Syracuse 24.5 to 10.5
182 Delaware State over 220 Howard 28.0 to 14.0
164 Eastern Kentucky over 213 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 17.5
158 Eastern Washington over 190 Weber State 28.0 to 17.5
114 Fordham over 156 Bucknell 24.5 to 14.0
104 Liberty over 181 Gardner - Webb 35.0 to 21.0
48 Georgia Tech over 87 North Carolina 31.5 to 21.0
73 Holy Cross over 98 Colgate 28.0 to 21.0
44 Illinois over 92 Northwestern 31.5 to 17.5
189 Jackson State over 215 Alcorn State 28.0 to 17.5
195 Wagner over 230 Jacksonville 24.5 to 14.0
17 Missouri over 90 Kansas State 42.0 to 31.5
218 Saint Francis - Pennsylv over 236 La Salle 28.0 to 17.5
132 Memphis over 160 Alabama - Birmingham 31.5 to 21.0
26 Wisconsin over 95 Minnesota 35.0 to 24.5
221 Austin Peay over 235 Murray State 38.5 to 28.0
81 Navy over 149 Northern Illinois 45.5 to 35.0
75 New Hampshire over 110 Maine 24.5 to 17.5
72 Notre Dame over 103 Duke 24.5 to 14.0
38 Rutgers over 60 Pittsburgh 21.0 to 14.0
191 Jacksonville State over 231 Southeast Missouri State 31.5 to 17.5
23 Tennessee over 52 Vanderbilt 28.0 to 21.0
204 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 234 Texas Southern 28.0 to 17.5
148 Western Kentucky over 187 Morehead State 24.5 to 10.5
35 Brigham Young over 130 Wyoming 31.5 to 17.5
25 Yale over 58 Harvard 14.0 to 7.0
60-70% chance of victory:
78 Ball State over 93 Toledo 35.0 to 31.5
41 Hawaii over 88 Nevada - Reno 45.5 to 42.0
67 Air Force over 80 San Diego State 28.0 to 24.5
126 San Diego over 165 California - Davis 35.0 to 28.0
178 Coastal Carolina over 208 Charleston Southern 28.0 to 21.0
82 Brown over 152 Columbia 35.0 to 24.5
138 Elon over 161 Stony Brook 31.5 to 24.5
15 Georgia over 20 Kentucky 35.0 to 28.0
99 Southern Illinois over 166 Hampton 31.5 to 21.0
49 Massachusetts over 100 Hofstra 24.5 to 17.5
113 San Jose State over 157 Louisiana Tech 28.0 to 24.5
9 Ohio State over 28 Michigan 21.0 to 17.5
8 Penn State over 29 Michigan State 28.0 to 21.0
124 Montana over 177 Montana State 21.0 to 14.0
33 Arkansas over 66 Mississippi State 24.5 to 17.5
200 Bethune - Cookman over 217 Florida A&M 24.5 to 21.0
197 Portland State over 226 Northern Colorado 35.0 to 28.0
214 Northwestern State over 216 Stephen F. Austin 31.5 to 28.0
97 Pennsylvania over 115 Cornell 21.0 to 17.5
111 Northeastern over 169 Rhode Island 24.5 to 17.5
210 Sacramento State over 203 Idaho State 24.5 to 24.5
77 North Dakota State over 112 South Dakota State 31.5 to 28.0
68 Central Florida over 134 Southern Methodist 38.5 to 31.5
22 South Florida over 21 Louisville 31.5 to 28.0
147 Kent State over 183 Temple 17.5 to 14.0
163 Tennessee - Martin over 212 Tennessee State 35.0 to 28.0
96 Southern Mississippi over 137 Texas - El Paso 28.0 to 24.5
173 Sam Houston State over 199 Texas State - San Marcos 31.5 to 28.0
4 Oklahoma over 42 Texas Tech 35.0 to 28.0
50-60% chance of victory:
108 Bowling Green over 143 Buffalo 35.0 to 31.5
6 West Virginia over 18 Cincinnati 24.5 to 24.5
121 Princeton over 142 Dartmouth 24.5 to 24.5
168 Louisiana - Lafayette over 193 Florida International 24.5 to 21.0
51 Florida State over 47 Maryland 24.5 to 24.5
119 Houston over 109 Marshall 28.0 to 24.5
50 Purdue over 74 Indiana 31.5 to 28.0
76 Lehigh over 63 Lafayette 17.5 to 17.5
154 Duquesne over 176 Monmouth 17.5 to 17.5
184 New Mexico State over 172 Utah State 24.5 to 21.0
186 Alabama A&M over 202 Prairie View 21.0 to 21.0
144 Rice over 123 Tulane 31.5 to 31.5
64 Delaware over 84 Villanova 35.0 to 35.0
65 Wake Forest over 56 North Carolina State 21.0 to 21.0
43 Washington over 37 California 28.0 to 28.0
36 Oregon State over 59 Washington State 24.5 to 21.0
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