ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 90-100% chance of victory: 109 Houston over 235 Texas Southern 52.5 to 10.5 80-90% chance of victory: 64 Delaware over 180 Delaware State 38.5 to 10.5 19 Boston College over 86 Miami - Florida 35.0 to 14.0 1 Florida over 44 Florida State 42.0 to 21.0 37 Massachusetts over 132 Fordham 31.5 to 10.5 61 Richmond over 172 Eastern Kentucky 38.5 to 14.0 99 Southern Illinois over 182 Eastern Illinois 35.0 to 17.5 14 Cincinnati over 90 Syracuse 24.5 to 10.5 70-80% chance of victory: 89 Troy State over 136 Middle Tennessee State 31.5 to 17.5 2 Louisiana State over 23 Arkansas 38.5 to 24.5 18 Auburn over 53 Alabama 21.0 to 10.5 67 Central Florida over 123 Texas - El Paso 42.0 to 31.5 94 East Carolina over 119 Tulane 31.5 to 24.5 138 Florida Atlantic over 202 Florida International 31.5 to 21.0 102 Marshall over 165 Alabama - Birmingham 28.0 to 14.0 85 New Mexico over 117 Nevada - Las Vegas 24.5 to 17.5 84 North Carolina over 126 Duke 31.5 to 17.5 63 Ball State over 160 Northern Illinois 28.0 to 17.5 103 Western Kentucky over 197 North Texas 38.5 to 21.0 171 Grambling over 198 Southern 24.5 to 17.5 7 Oklahoma over 48 Oklahoma State 38.5 to 21.0 57 Tulsa over 161 Rice 49.0 to 35.0 30 Texas Christian over 116 San Diego State 35.0 to 21.0 82 Southern Mississippi over 145 Arkansas State 28.0 to 17.5 10 Virginia Tech over 52 Virginia 17.5 to 10.5 39 Washington over 77 Washington State 35.0 to 21.0 87 Western Michigan over 149 Temple 28.0 to 14.0 5 West Virginia over 36 Connecticut 28.0 to 17.5 60-70% chance of victory: 11 Arizona State over 8 Southern California 21.0 to 17.5 101 Bowling Green over 113 Toledo 38.5 to 35.0 83 Colorado State over 104 Wyoming 24.5 to 17.5 79 Mississippi State over 98 Mississippi 24.5 to 17.5 15 Texas over 50 Texas A&M 28.0 to 21.0 62 Appalachian State over 70 James Madison 35.0 to 28.0 24 Brigham Young over 22 Utah 21.0 to 17.5 16 Oregon over 60 California - Los Angeles 31.5 to 24.5 12 Georgia over 43 Georgia Tech 24.5 to 21.0 159 Kent State over 158 Buffalo 24.5 to 21.0 114 Northeast Louisiana over 169 Louisiana - Lafayette 31.5 to 24.5 120 Memphis over 142 Southern Methodist 31.5 to 24.5 3 Kansas over 6 Missouri 31.5 to 28.0 68 Northern Iowa over 74 New Hampshire 28.0 to 24.5 9 South Florida over 51 Pittsburgh 24.5 to 17.5 95 Nevada - Reno over 130 San Jose State 31.5 to 28.0 76 Stanford over 65 Notre Dame 17.5 to 14.0 50-60% chance of victory: 115 Central Michigan over 140 Akron 31.5 to 28.0 28 Nebraska over 54 Colorado 28.0 to 28.0 32 Hawaii over 21 Boise State 35.0 to 35.0 59 Kansas State over 93 Fresno State 35.0 to 31.5 152 Utah State over 179 Idaho 21.0 to 21.0 17 Tennessee over 40 Kentucky 35.0 to 31.5 164 McNeese State over 156 Eastern Washington 21.0 to 17.5 121 Montana over 111 Wofford 24.5 to 24.5 55 Maryland over 75 North Carolina State 21.0 to 21.0 108 Miami - Ohio over 127 Ohio 21.0 to 21.0 13 Clemson over 27 South Carolina 21.0 to 21.0 56 Vanderbilt over 49 Wake Forest 21.0 to 21.0
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