ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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80-90% chance of victory:
60 Fresno State over 176 New Mexico State 38.5 to 21.0
66 Appalachian State over 136 Eastern Washington 35.0 to 21.0
2 West Virginia over 56 Pittsburgh 42.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
21 Arizona State over 44 Arizona 35.0 to 24.5
33 Hawaii over 54 Washington 38.5 to 31.5
100 Nevada - Reno over 160 Louisiana Tech 38.5 to 24.5
89 Navy over 138 Army 38.5 to 31.5
27 Brigham Young over 110 San Diego State 35.0 to 21.0
4 Southern California over 24 California - Los Angeles 24.5 to 10.5
64 Troy State over 134 Florida Atlantic 35.0 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
36 Louisville over 30 Rutgers 28.0 to 24.5
128 Dayton over 131 Albany 21.0 to 17.5
200 Florida International over 195 North Texas 28.0 to 24.5
3 Oklahoma over 7 Missouri 31.5 to 28.0
32 Oregon over 31 Oregon State 24.5 to 17.5
42 Massachusetts over 105 Southern Illinois 28.0 to 21.0
38 California over 86 Stanford 28.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
76 Central Florida over 61 Tulsa 38.5 to 35.0
111 Central Michigan over 113 Miami - Ohio 31.5 to 28.0
77 Northern Iowa over 62 Delaware 28.0 to 24.5
13 Virginia Tech over 16 Boston College 21.0 to 17.5
6 Louisiana State over 14 Tennessee 35.0 to 35.0
75 Richmond over 102 Wofford 28.0 to 24.5
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