ave score ROUNDED rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS --- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- --------------------- 80-90% chance of victory: 19 Cincinnati over 95 Southern Mississippi 28.0 to 14.0 70-80% chance of victory: 26 Utah over 69 Navy 35.0 to 24.5 28 Boise State over 89 East Carolina 35.0 to 21.0 40 Purdue over 107 Central Michigan 38.5 to 28.0 34 Texas Christian over 91 Houston 31.5 to 24.5 1 Florida over 25 Michigan 35.0 to 21.0 7 Southern California over 47 Illinois 24.5 to 14.0 24 Texas Tech over 61 Virginia 28.0 to 17.5 31 Rutgers over 81 Ball State 28.0 to 17.5 60-70% chance of victory: 174 Grambling over 188 Jackson State 28.0 to 21.0 22 Brigham Young over 51 California - Los Angeles 24.5 to 17.5 64 New Mexico over 82 Nevada - Reno 31.5 to 24.5 23 Boston College over 36 Michigan State 31.5 to 31.5 17 Oregon State over 37 Maryland 21.0 to 17.5 15 Penn State over 42 Texas A&M 24.5 to 21.0 35 California over 49 Air Force 28.0 to 24.5 52 Georgia Tech over 84 Fresno State 28.0 to 21.0 32 Kentucky over 55 Florida State 31.5 to 24.5 50 Oklahoma State over 76 Indiana 31.5 to 28.0 12 South Florida over 21 Oregon 31.5 to 28.0 13 Missouri over 20 Arkansas 35.0 to 31.5 10 Georgia over 29 Hawaii 35.0 to 28.0 16 Tennessee over 33 Wisconsin 31.5 to 28.0 6 Kansas over 8 Virginia Tech 21.0 to 17.5 65 Tulsa over 99 Bowling Green 38.5 to 31.5 50-60% chance of victory: 53 Appalachian State over 60 Delaware 35.0 to 35.0 131 Memphis over 132 Florida Atlantic 31.5 to 31.5 14 Arizona State over 18 Texas 24.5 to 24.5 62 Central Florida over 74 Mississippi State 24.5 to 21.0 45 Wake Forest over 44 Connecticut 21.0 to 21.0 39 Alabama over 54 Colorado 24.5 to 21.0 9 Clemson over 11 Auburn 17.5 to 17.5 2 Oklahoma over 5 West Virginia 28.0 to 24.5 3 Louisiana State over 4 Ohio State 17.5 to 17.5
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