Division IA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 1 7.51 13.0-1.0 5.5-8.5 IA SEC Florida 2 2 6.88 12.0-1.0 5.1-7.9 IA PAC_10 Southern California 3 2 6.73 12.0-2.0 5.3-8.7 IA Big_12 Oklahoma 4 2 6.50 12.0-1.0 5.5-7.5 IA Big_12 Texas 5 2 6.13 13.0-0.0 6.9-6.1 IA MWC Utah 6 2 5.68 12.0-2.0 6.3-7.7 IA SEC Alabama 7 1 5.16 11.0-2.0 5.8-7.2 IA Big_12 Texas Tech 8 2 4.73 11.0-2.0 6.3-6.7 IA Big_Ten Penn State 9 2 4.73 10.0-3.0 5.3-7.7 IA SEC Georgia 10 4 4.57 10.0-3.0 5.4-7.6 IA PAC_10 Oregon 11 3 4.25 11.0-3.0 6.8-7.2 IA Big_East Cincinnati 12 2 4.11 10.0-3.0 5.9-7.1 IA Big_Ten Ohio State 13 5 4.03 9.0-4.0 5.0-8.0 IA PAC_10 Oregon State 14 6 4.01 11.0-2.0 7.0-6.0 IA MWC Texas Christian 15 3 3.77 12.0-1.0 8.2-4.8 IA WAC Boise State 16 3 3.60 10.0-4.0 6.4-7.6 IA ACC Boston College 17 7 3.44 10.0-4.0 6.6-7.4 IA Big_12 Missouri 18 5 3.29 9.0-4.0 5.7-7.3 IA Big_East Pittsburgh 19 8 3.27 9.0-4.0 5.7-7.3 IA PAC_10 California 20 8 3.26 9.0-4.0 5.7-7.3 IA ACC Florida State 21 7 3.14 9.0-4.0 5.9-7.1 IA Big_Ten Michigan State 22 7 3.12 9.0-4.0 5.9-7.1 IA ACC Georgia Tech 23 7 3.08 9.0-4.0 5.9-7.1 IA Big_12 Oklahoma State 24 7 3.06 9.0-4.0 5.9-7.1 IA Big_12 Nebraska 25 8 2.98 9.0-4.0 6.0-7.0 IA SEC Mississippi 26 8 2.82 9.0-4.0 6.2-6.8 IA Big_East West Virginia 27 7 2.77 9.0-5.0 6.2-7.8 IA ACC Virginia Tech 28 7 2.75 10.0-3.0 7.2-5.8 IA MWC Brigham Young 29 8 2.74 8.0-5.0 5.3-7.7 IA ACC Wake Forest 30 6 2.46 9.0-4.0 6.5-6.5 IA Big_Ten Northwestern 31 12 2.43 12.0-2.0 9.6-4.4 IA MAC Ball State 32 9 2.43 8.0-5.0 5.6-7.4 IA ACC North Carolina 33 5 2.37 9.0-4.0 6.6-6.4 IA Big_Ten Iowa 34 5 2.12 10.0-3.0 7.9-5.1 IA CUSA Rice 35 5 2.06 8.0-5.0 5.9-7.1 IA ACC Maryland 36 8 1.89 8.0-5.0 6.1-6.9 IA PAC_10 Arizona 37 6 1.89 8.0-5.0 6.1-6.9 IA Big_12 Kansas 38 8 1.86 8.0-5.0 6.1-6.9 IA SEC Louisiana State 39 7 1.80 7.0-6.0 5.2-7.8 IA SEC South Carolina 40 12 1.79 9.0-5.0 7.2-6.8 IA CUSA East Carolina 41 8 1.70 11.0-3.0 9.3-4.7 IA CUSA Tulsa 42 7 1.60 8.0-5.0 6.4-6.6 IA Big_East Connecticut 43 7 1.51 7.0-6.0 5.5-7.5 IA ACC Miami - Florida 44 11 1.43 8.0-5.0 6.6-6.4 IA Big_East Rutgers 45 11 1.41 7.0-6.0 5.6-7.4 IA SEC Vanderbilt 46 5 1.31 8.0-5.0 6.7-6.3 IA Big_East South Florida 47 11 1.10 7.0-6.0 5.9-7.1 IA ACC Clemson 48 10 0.98 7.0-6.0 6.0-7.0 IA Indep Notre Dame 49 8 0.83 8.0-5.0 7.2-5.8 IA Indep Navy 50 7 0.72 8.0-5.0 7.3-5.7 IA MWC Air Force 51 7 0.70 6.0-7.0 5.3-7.7 IA ACC North Carolina State 52 11 0.64 7.0-6.0 6.4-6.6 IA SEC Kentucky 53 7 0.63 7.0-6.0 6.4-6.6 IA Big_Ten Wisconsin 54 14 0.43 8.0-5.0 7.6-5.4 IA CUSA Houston 55 12 0.38 9.0-4.0 8.6-4.4 IA MAC Western Michigan 56 8 0.38 5.0-7.0 4.6-7.4 IA ACC Virginia 57 8 0.37 5.0-7.0 4.6-7.4 IA PAC_10 Stanford 58 8 0.20 7.0-6.0 6.8-6.2 IA Big_Ten Minnesota 59 8 0.17 5.0-7.0 4.8-7.2 IA SEC Arkansas 60 12 0.15 7.0-6.0 6.8-6.2 IA MWC Colorado State 61 8 0.15 5.0-7.0 4.9-7.1 IA Big_12 Colorado 62 12 -0.24 8.0-5.0 8.2-4.8 IA Sun_Belt Troy State 63 17 -0.36 8.0-5.0 8.4-4.6 IA MAC Central Michigan 64 15 -0.45 8.0-5.0 8.4-4.6 IA WAC Louisiana Tech 65 15 -0.49 5.0-7.0 5.5-6.5 IA PAC_10 Arizona State 66 13 -0.51 5.0-7.0 5.5-6.5 IA SEC Auburn 67 15 -0.52 8.0-6.0 8.5-5.5 IA MAC Buffalo 68 13 -0.57 5.0-7.0 5.6-6.4 IA SEC Tennessee 69 20 -0.62 7.0-6.0 7.6-5.4 IA WAC Fresno State 70 16 -0.64 7.0-6.0 7.6-5.4 IA WAC Nevada - Reno 71 12 -0.82 4.0-8.0 4.8-7.2 IA PAC_10 California - Los Angeles 72 9 -0.83 5.0-7.0 5.8-6.2 IA Big_Ten Illinois 73 10 -0.88 4.0-8.0 4.9-7.1 IA Big_12 Baylor 74 13 -0.91 7.0-6.0 7.9-5.1 IA CUSA Southern Mississippi 75 9 -0.94 4.0-8.0 4.9-7.1 IA ACC Duke 76 9 -0.96 5.0-7.0 6.0-6.0 IA Big_12 Kansas State 77 11 -1.28 7.0-7.0 8.3-5.7 IA WAC Hawaii 78 10 -1.28 7.0-6.0 8.3-4.7 IA Sun_Belt Florida Atlantic 79 9 -1.34 5.0-7.0 6.3-5.7 IA Big_East Louisville 80 9 -1.38 4.0-8.0 5.4-6.6 IA Big_12 Texas A&M 81 9 -1.39 5.0-7.0 6.4-5.6 IA MWC Nevada - Las Vegas 82 9 -1.57 6.0-6.0 7.6-4.4 IA MAC Bowling Green 83 9 -1.58 6.0-6.0 7.6-4.4 IA WAC San Jose State 84 10 -1.61 4.0-8.0 5.6-6.4 IA Big_Ten Purdue 85 9 -1.72 4.0-8.0 5.7-6.3 IA SEC Mississippi State 86 11 -1.88 6.0-6.0 7.9-4.1 IA Sun_Belt Louisiana - Lafayette 87 10 -1.92 5.0-7.0 6.9-5.1 IA CUSA Texas - El Paso 88 9 -2.09 4.0-8.0 6.1-5.9 IA MWC New Mexico 89 11 -2.14 6.0-6.0 8.1-3.9 IA Sun_Belt Arkansas State 90 10 -2.16 3.0-9.0 5.2-6.8 IA Big_East Syracuse 91 13 -2.20 6.0-7.0 8.2-4.8 IA CUSA Memphis 92 13 -2.39 4.0-8.0 6.4-5.6 IA CUSA Marshall 93 12 -2.41 4.0-8.0 6.4-5.6 IA MWC Wyoming 94 13 -2.47 5.0-7.0 7.5-4.5 IA MAC Temple 95 25 -2.48 6.0-7.0 8.5-4.5 IA MAC Northern Illinois 96 13 -2.57 5.0-7.0 7.6-4.4 IA Sun_Belt Florida International 97 14 -2.57 4.0-8.0 6.6-5.4 IA CUSA Central Florida 98 11 -2.63 3.0-9.0 5.6-6.4 IA Big_Ten Michigan 99 11 -2.75 5.0-7.0 7.8-4.2 IA MAC Akron 100 13 -2.77 4.0-8.0 6.8-5.2 IA CUSA Alabama - Birmingham 101 11 -2.90 5.0-7.0 7.9-4.1 IA Sun_Belt Middle Tennessee State 102 10 -3.27 2.0-*** 5.3-7.7 IA PAC_10 Washington State 103 9 -3.37 3.0-9.0 6.4-5.6 IA Big_Ten Indiana 104 9 -3.55 3.0-9.0 6.5-5.5 IA WAC Utah State 105 10 -3.55 2.0-*** 5.5-6.5 IA Big_12 Iowa State 106 10 -3.71 4.0-8.0 7.7-4.3 IA MAC Ohio 107 9 -3.87 4.0-8.0 7.9-4.1 IA MAC Kent State 108 11 -3.95 4.0-8.0 7.9-4.1 IA Sun_Belt Northeast Louisiana 109 11 -4.32 0.0-*** 4.3-7.7 IA PAC_10 Washington 110 11 -4.45 3.0-9.0 7.4-4.6 IA WAC New Mexico State 111 11 -4.45 3.0-9.0 7.4-4.6 IA Indep Army 112 11 -4.50 2.0-*** 6.5-5.5 IA MWC San Diego State 113 11 -4.61 3.0-9.0 7.6-4.4 IA MAC Toledo 114 10 -4.74 3.0-9.0 7.7-4.3 IA MAC Eastern Michigan 115 10 -4.82 2.0-*** 6.8-5.2 IA CUSA Tulane 116 9 -5.50 1.0-*** 6.5-5.5 IA CUSA Southern Methodist 117 8 -5.54 2.0-*** 7.5-4.5 IA Indep Western Kentucky 118 8 -5.62 2.0-*** 7.6-4.4 IA MAC Miami - Ohio 119 8 -5.62 2.0-*** 7.6-4.4 IA WAC Idaho 120 6 -6.29 1.0-*** 7.3-4.7 IA Sun_Belt North Texas
Division IAA
rnk u scr act w-l sim w-l div conf team 1 10 2.92 9.0-1.0 6.1-3.9 IAA Ivy Harvard 2 10 2.51 10.0-2.0 7.5-4.5 IAA Colonial Villanova 3 9 2.01 11.0-2.0 9.0-4.0 IAA Colonial James Madison 4 10 1.70 12.0-3.0 10.3-4.7 IAA Colonial Richmond 5 7 1.26 10.0-2.0 8.7-3.3 IAA Colonial New Hampshire 6 12 1.13 11.0-2.0 9.9-3.1 IAA Southern Appalachian State 7 11 0.85 9.0-3.0 8.1-3.9 IAA Patriot Colgate 8 11 0.55 7.0-3.0 6.4-3.6 IAA Ivy Brown 9 11 0.51 12.0-2.0 11.5-2.5 IAA Big_Sky Montana 10 8 0.17 9.0-3.0 8.8-3.2 IAA Southern Wofford 11 20 0.02 7.0-4.0 7.0-4.0 IAA Patriot Holy Cross 12 19 -0.14 9.0-3.0 9.1-2.9 IAA NE Albany 13 17 -0.14 7.0-1.0 7.1-0.9 IAA SWAC Prairie View 14 15 -0.23 11.0-3.0 11.2-2.8 IAA Missouri_V Northern Iowa 15 21 -0.27 10.0-2.0 10.3-1.7 IAA SWAC Grambling 16 18 -0.30 9.0-3.0 9.3-2.7 IAA MEAC South Carolina State 17 19 -0.35 6.0-4.0 6.3-3.7 IAA Ivy Pennsylvania 18 21 -0.38 7.0-4.0 7.4-3.6 IAA Patriot Lafayette 19 19 -0.41 6.0-4.0 6.4-3.6 IAA Ivy Yale 20 17 -0.43 8.0-3.0 8.4-2.6 IAA Big_Sky Weber State 21 17 -0.49 9.0-3.0 9.5-2.5 IAA Missouri_V Southern Illinois 22 19 -0.52 8.0-2.0 8.5-1.5 IAA Indep Central Arkansas 23 16 -0.54 7.0-4.0 7.5-3.5 IAA Colonial William & Mary 24 17 -0.54 8.0-2.0 8.5-1.5 IAA Big_South Liberty 25 16 -0.59 8.0-5.0 8.6-4.4 IAA Colonial Maine 26 17 -0.74 7.0-5.0 7.7-4.3 IAA Colonial Massachusetts 27 24 -0.85 8.0-2.0 8.9-1.1 IAA Pioneer San Diego 28 24 -0.92 8.0-3.0 8.9-2.1 IAA Pioneer Jacksonville 29 13 -1.17 8.0-3.0 9.2-1.8 IAA Great_West California Poly 30 13 -1.26 8.0-4.0 9.3-2.7 IAA Southern Elon 31 22 -1.31 8.0-3.0 9.3-1.7 IAA Pioneer Dayton 32 9 -1.51 8.0-3.0 9.5-1.5 IAA Ohio_V Jacksonville State 33 14 -1.59 6.0-3.0 7.6-1.4 IAA NE Sacred Heart 34 11 -1.62 6.0-5.0 7.6-3.4 IAA Southern Furman 35 17 -1.64 9.0-3.0 10.6-1.4 IAA MEAC Florida A&M 36 12 -1.84 8.0-4.0 9.8-2.2 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Kentucky 37 20 -1.98 8.0-3.0 10.0-1.0 IAA MEAC Bethune - Cookman 38 9 -2.08 6.0-4.0 8.1-1.9 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee - Martin 39 21 -2.11 4.0-6.0 6.1-3.9 IAA Ivy Cornell 40 21 -2.15 5.0-6.0 7.2-3.8 IAA Patriot Lehigh 41 21 -2.18 7.0-4.0 9.2-1.8 IAA NE Central Connecticut 42 20 -2.25 7.0-4.0 9.2-1.8 IAA NE Monmouth 43 20 -2.30 4.0-6.0 6.3-3.7 IAA Ivy Princeton 44 15 -2.41 6.0-5.0 8.4-2.6 IAA Southern Georgia Southern 45 18 -2.49 5.0-4.0 7.5-1.5 IAA Indep Bryant 46 15 -2.51 4.0-5.0 6.5-2.5 IAA Southern Samford 47 20 -2.55 5.0-4.0 7.5-1.5 IAA Southland McNeese State 48 18 -2.56 7.0-5.0 9.6-2.4 IAA Missouri_V South Dakota State 49 17 -2.61 5.0-5.0 7.6-2.4 IAA Big_South Charleston Southern 50 22 -2.61 5.0-6.0 7.6-3.4 IAA Patriot Fordham 51 13 -2.77 6.0-5.0 8.8-2.2 IAA Big_Sky Montana State 52 13 -2.78 5.0-5.0 7.8-2.2 IAA Big_Sky Eastern Washington 53 15 -2.79 5.0-5.0 7.8-2.2 IAA Missouri_V Western Illinois 54 23 -2.81 4.0-4.0 6.8-1.2 IAA Pioneer Butler 55 16 -2.90 8.0-4.0 10.9-1.1 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee State 56 21 -2.97 5.0-6.0 8.0-3.0 IAA Patriot Bucknell 57 14 -3.11 6.0-5.0 9.1-1.9 IAA Missouri_V North Dakota State 58 12 -3.19 5.0-5.0 8.2-1.8 IAA Big_Sky Northern Arizona 59 15 -3.26 6.0-5.0 9.3-1.7 IAA SWAC Southern 60 11 -3.29 2.0-4.0 5.3-0.7 IAA Great_West North Dakota 61 21 -3.34 4.0-5.0 7.3-1.7 IAA Pioneer Drake 62 17 -3.39 5.0-5.0 8.4-1.6 IAA Southland Northwestern State 63 14 -3.46 6.0-5.0 9.5-1.5 IAA MEAC Hampton 64 12 -3.57 4.0-6.0 7.6-2.4 IAA Missouri_V Missouri State 65 16 -3.59 6.0-6.0 9.6-2.4 IAA Big_South Coastal Carolina 66 15 -3.60 6.0-5.0 9.6-1.4 IAA SWAC Jackson State 67 16 -3.63 7.0-5.0 10.6-1.4 IAA Southland Texas State - San Marcos 68 14 -3.66 5.0-6.0 8.7-2.3 IAA Big_South Stony Brook 69 14 -3.75 4.0-8.0 7.7-4.3 IAA Colonial Hofstra 70 11 -3.87 1.0-5.0 4.9-1.1 IAA Great_West South Dakota 71 11 -3.93 3.0-8.0 6.9-4.1 IAA Southern The Citadel 72 12 -3.98 3.0-8.0 7.0-4.0 IAA Colonial Delaware 73 18 -4.01 6.0-6.0 10.0-2.0 IAA MEAC Morgan State 74 17 -4.20 2.0-8.0 6.2-3.8 IAA Ivy Columbia 75 14 -4.23 4.0-6.0 8.2-1.8 IAA Big_South Gardner - Webb 76 21 -4.24 5.0-6.0 9.2-1.8 IAA NE Robert Morris 77 13 -4.27 4.0-6.0 8.3-1.7 IAA Big_Sky Sacramento State 78 16 -4.30 3.0-6.0 7.3-1.7 IAA Indep North Carolina Central 79 22 -4.33 5.0-6.0 9.3-1.7 IAA Pioneer Morehead State 80 16 -4.52 3.0-6.0 7.5-1.5 IAA Southland Sam Houston State 81 17 -4.54 2.0-8.0 6.5-3.5 IAA Patriot Georgetown 82 16 -4.56 5.0-6.0 9.6-1.4 IAA MEAC Delaware State 83 15 -4.61 3.0-6.0 7.6-1.4 IAA Southland Nicholls State 84 19 -4.66 2.0-6.0 6.7-1.3 IAA Pioneer Valparaiso 85 14 -4.67 4.0-6.0 8.7-1.3 IAA SWAC Alabama A&M 86 16 -4.75 3.0-7.0 7.8-2.2 IAA Great_West Southern Utah 87 21 -4.80 3.0-6.0 7.8-1.2 IAA Pioneer Davidson 88 17 -4.87 4.0-7.0 8.9-2.1 IAA MEAC Norfolk State 89 16 -4.87 3.0-7.0 7.9-2.1 IAA Big_South Virginia Military 90 18 -4.95 5.0-7.0 9.9-2.1 IAA Great_West California - Davis 91 14 -5.01 3.0-9.0 8.0-4.0 IAA Colonial Towson 92 14 -5.04 3.0-9.0 8.0-4.0 IAA Colonial Rhode Island 93 10 -5.11 5.0-7.0 10.1-1.9 IAA Ohio_V Eastern Illinois 94 17 -5.11 4.0-7.0 9.1-1.9 IAA Indep Marist 95 16 -5.32 3.0-7.0 8.3-1.7 IAA NE Duquesne 96 11 -5.36 3.0-7.0 8.4-1.6 IAA Big_Sky Portland State 97 13 -5.39 3.0-8.0 8.4-2.6 IAA Missouri_V Youngstown State 98 8 -5.40 4.0-7.0 9.4-1.6 IAA Ohio_V Murray State 99 14 -5.45 3.0-7.0 8.5-1.5 IAA NE Wagner 100 14 -5.48 5.0-7.0 10.5-1.5 IAA Southland Southeast Louisiana 101 12 -5.52 1.0-6.0 6.5-0.5 IAA Indep Savannah State 102 11 -5.82 0.0-*** 5.8-4.2 IAA Ivy Dartmouth 103 11 -5.83 2.0-8.0 7.8-2.2 IAA Indep Presbyterian 104 11 -5.91 0.0-7.0 5.9-1.1 IAA Indep Iona 105 9 -5.91 3.0-8.0 8.9-2.1 IAA Missouri_V Illinois State 106 9 -5.92 2.0-9.0 7.9-3.1 IAA Southern Western Carolina 107 11 -6.06 2.0-7.0 8.1-0.9 IAA SWAC Arkansas - Pine Bluff 108 10 -6.14 2.0-8.0 8.1-1.9 IAA Southland Stephen F. Austin 109 9 -6.24 2.0-8.0 8.2-1.8 IAA SWAC Alabama State 110 7 -6.26 2.0-*** 8.3-3.7 IAA Colonial Northeastern 111 5 -6.45 3.0-8.0 9.5-1.5 IAA Ohio_V Southeast Missouri State 112 9 -6.59 0.0-8.0 6.6-1.4 IAA Pioneer Campbell 113 6 -6.65 1.0-8.0 7.7-1.3 IAA SWAC Texas Southern 114 6 -6.84 2.0-8.0 8.8-1.2 IAA SWAC Mississippi Valley State 115 4 -6.95 3.0-8.0 9.9-1.1 IAA MEAC Winston-Salem 116 4 -7.22 0.0-*** 7.2-3.8 IAA Southern Tennessee - Chattanooga 117 4 -7.31 2.0-9.0 9.3-1.7 IAA Ohio_V Tennessee Tech 118 3 -7.51 2.0-9.0 9.5-1.5 IAA Pioneer Austin Peay 119 3 -7.73 2.0-9.0 9.7-1.3 IAA MEAC North Carolina A&T 120 3 -7.95 2.0-*** 10.0-2.0 IAA SWAC Alcorn State 121 3 -8.13 1.0-*** 9.1-1.9 IAA Big_Sky Northern Colorado 122 2 -8.56 1.0-*** 9.6-2.4 IAA Big_Sky Idaho State 123 3 -8.74 1.0-*** 9.7-1.3 IAA MEAC Howard 124 3 -9.12 0.0-*** 9.1-1.9 IAA NE Saint Francis - Pennsylv 125 2 -9.41 0.0-*** 9.4-2.6 IAA Missouri_V Indiana State
KEY:
rnk - rank based on how may games the given team has won divided by
the average number of wins other teams would get playing that
schedule using the Bassett Football Model
u - uncertainty in rank (e.g. u=1 would mean rank uncertain by
approximately 1 place, u=** for uncertainty greater than 99 places)
scr - Stephenson earned rank score: the actual wins of a team
subtracted by the average simulated wins of all teams if they
had played that team's schedule (as simulated by the model)
act w-l - actual win-loss record
sim w-l - simulated win-loss record of all teams if playing that schedule
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