ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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80-90% chance of victory:
29 North Dakota State over 211 Austin Peay 38.5 to 14.0
60 Air Force over 208 Southern Utah 35.0 to 17.5
49 Arizona over 222 Idaho 38.5 to 14.0
8 Kansas over 229 Florida International 45.5 to 10.5
3 Oklahoma over 196 Tennessee - Chattanooga 42.0 to 14.0
32 Wisconsin over 180 Akron 31.5 to 14.0
76 Wofford over 237 Presbyterian 38.5 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
14 Cincinnati over 114 Eastern Kentucky 31.5 to 17.5
186 Eastern Michigan over 243 Indiana State 31.5 to 21.0
56 Georgia Tech over 155 Jacksonville State 31.5 to 17.5
129 Miami - Florida over 225 Charleston Southern 31.5 to 17.5
48 South Carolina over 107 North Carolina State 28.0 to 17.5
33 San Diego over 202 Marist 38.5 to 21.0
130 Alabama A&M over 197 Tennessee State 31.5 to 21.0
74 Tulsa over 203 Alabama - Birmingham 31.5 to 24.5
22 Arizona State over 163 Northern Arizona 35.0 to 21.0
40 Arkansas over 134 Western Illinois 31.5 to 17.5
30 Auburn over 160 Northeast Louisiana 31.5 to 14.0
34 Boise State over 213 Idaho State 38.5 to 17.5
141 Central Connecticut over 232 Bryant 35.0 to 17.5
25 James Madison over 172 Duke 31.5 to 21.0
16 Georgia over 105 Georgia Southern 31.5 to 17.5
73 Kansas State over 223 North Texas 38.5 to 21.0
97 Mississippi State over 209 Louisiana Tech 28.0 to 17.5
1 Missouri over 59 Illinois 31.5 to 21.0
169 Nevada - Las Vegas over 217 Utah State 28.0 to 21.0
26 Boston College over 178 Kent State 31.5 to 14.0
11 Virginia Tech over 108 East Carolina 28.0 to 17.5
4 Ohio State over 79 Youngstown State 28.0 to 14.0
10 Oregon over 67 Washington 31.5 to 24.5
28 Penn State over 136 Coastal Carolina 31.5 to 17.5
77 Pittsburgh over 170 Bowling Green 31.5 to 21.0
204 Jacksonville over 244 Savannah State 31.5 to 17.5
106 Southern Mississippi over 215 Louisiana - Lafayette 31.5 to 17.5
20 South Florida over 158 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 17.5
12 Texas over 148 Florida Atlantic 35.0 to 17.5
53 Texas A&M over 181 Arkansas State 31.5 to 17.5
157 Prairie View over 240 Texas Southern 28.0 to 17.5
15 Texas Tech over 98 Eastern Washington 31.5 to 21.0
2 West Virginia over 51 Villanova 31.5 to 21.0
60-70% chance of victory:
104 Ball State over 112 Northeastern 24.5 to 21.0
61 Wake Forest over 159 Baylor 28.0 to 21.0
128 Central Michigan over 147 Eastern Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
64 Connecticut over 63 Hofstra 24.5 to 21.0
88 Vanderbilt over 183 Miami - Ohio 24.5 to 21.0
84 Troy State over 161 Middle Tennessee State 28.0 to 24.5
45 Oregon State over 115 Stanford 24.5 to 21.0
200 Army over 219 Temple 24.5 to 17.5
195 Rice over 192 Southern Methodist 31.5 to 28.0
185 Alcorn State over 221 Southeast Louisiana 24.5 to 17.5
17 Brigham Young over 24 Northern Iowa 24.5 to 21.0
44 California over 50 Michigan State 28.0 to 24.5
78 Central Florida over 82 South Carolina State 28.0 to 24.5
27 Richmond over 133 Elon 28.0 to 24.5
6 Florida over 41 Hawaii 38.5 to 28.0
127 Houston over 120 Southern 28.0 to 24.5
101 Indiana over 117 Western Kentucky 28.0 to 24.5
91 Iowa over 110 Maine 21.0 to 14.0
5 Louisiana State over 19 Appalachian State 31.5 to 24.5
13 Massachusetts over 57 Albany 24.5 to 17.5
18 Michigan over 58 Utah 24.5 to 17.5
154 Minnesota over 190 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
139 Mississippi over 175 Memphis 28.0 to 21.0
99 Navy over 124 Towson 28.0 to 24.5
9 Clemson over 62 Alabama 28.0 to 21.0
68 Nebraska over 122 Western Michigan 31.5 to 24.5
103 North Carolina over 113 McNeese State 24.5 to 21.0
138 Northwestern over 174 Syracuse 24.5 to 21.0
37 Oklahoma State over 95 Washington State 31.5 to 24.5
7 Southern California over 66 Virginia 24.5 to 17.5
142 Wyoming over 184 Ohio 28.0 to 21.0
43 Louisville over 54 Kentucky 31.5 to 28.0
87 Colorado over 132 Colorado State 24.5 to 21.0
70 Hampton over 121 Jackson State 28.0 to 24.5
39 Rutgers over 89 Fresno State 31.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
191 Buffalo over 176 Texas - El Paso 28.0 to 28.0
85 South Dakota State over 145 Iowa State 24.5 to 24.5
212 Tennessee Tech over 199 Gardner - Webb 24.5 to 24.5
193 Florida A&M over 168 Alabama State 21.0 to 21.0
92 Illinois State over 152 Marshall 28.0 to 24.5
69 Maryland over 36 Delaware 24.5 to 24.5
96 Grambling over 140 Nevada - Reno 24.5 to 24.5
46 Texas Christian over 102 New Mexico 21.0 to 21.0
111 Monmouth over 150 Rhode Island 24.5 to 21.0
100 California Poly over 164 San Diego State 28.0 to 28.0
144 California - Davis over 182 San Jose State 24.5 to 24.5
81 Colgate over 118 Stony Brook 24.5 to 24.5
55 California - Los Angeles over 35 Tennessee 24.5 to 24.5
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