ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
19 Missouri over 231 Southeast Missouri State 66.5 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
78 Appalachian State over 234 Jacksonville 52.5 to 7.0
5 Arizona over 107 Toledo 49.0 to 14.0
77 Arkansas State over 230 Texas Southern 42.0 to 3.5
95 Baylor over 208 Northwestern State 38.5 to 10.5
29 Clemson over 148 The Citadel 38.5 to 10.5
28 Colorado over 143 Eastern Washington 42.0 to 17.5
1 Florida over 53 Miami - Florida 45.5 to 14.0
44 Florida State over 195 Western Carolina 49.0 to 14.0
108 Georgia Southern over 224 Austin Peay 42.0 to 14.0
52 Illinois over 177 Eastern Illinois 42.0 to 14.0
71 Indiana over 235 Murray State 59.5 to 14.0
25 Iowa over 153 Florida International 38.5 to 7.0
131 James Madison over 241 North Carolina Central 42.0 to 7.0
41 Kansas State over 174 Montana State 38.5 to 7.0
8 Kentucky over 209 Norfolk State 49.0 to 0.0
7 Louisiana State over 90 Troy State 38.5 to 7.0
26 Nebraska over 136 San Jose State 38.5 to 14.0
86 North Dakota State over 205 Central Connecticut 45.5 to 17.5
103 Northern Iowa over 237 South Dakota 49.0 to 7.0
3 Ohio State over 110 Ohio 42.0 to 3.5
4 Oregon over 141 Utah State 49.0 to 7.0
46 Purdue over 227 Northern Colorado 49.0 to 3.5
17 Texas Christian over 215 Stephen F. Austin 42.0 to 0.0
9 Texas over 159 Texas - El Paso 49.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
20 Alabama over 122 Tulane 31.5 to 7.0
11 Auburn over 63 Southern Mississippi 28.0 to 7.0
151 Wofford over 225 Charleston Southern 35.0 to 21.0
113 Colorado State over 193 Sacramento State 31.5 to 10.5
14 Georgia over 100 Central Michigan 42.0 to 17.5
97 Hawaii over 186 Weber State 38.5 to 17.5
47 Iowa State over 155 Kent State 28.0 to 3.5
21 Kansas over 102 Louisiana Tech 38.5 to 17.5
106 Lehigh over 182 Drake 31.5 to 10.5
85 Louisville over 178 Tennessee Tech 28.0 to 7.0
87 Lafayette over 210 Marist 35.0 to 10.5
33 Michigan over 98 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 14.0
116 Mississippi State over 206 Southeast Louisiana 35.0 to 10.5
56 Arkansas over 142 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 17.5
74 Tulsa over 192 North Texas 38.5 to 17.5
65 Notre Dame over 123 San Diego State 28.0 to 14.0
2 Oklahoma over 31 Cincinnati 35.0 to 14.0
12 Penn State over 50 Oregon State 38.5 to 21.0
23 Connecticut over 128 Temple 24.5 to 7.0
16 Utah over 92 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 14.0
34 Virginia Tech over 130 Furman 35.0 to 10.5
60-70% chance of victory:
6 South Carolina over 68 Vanderbilt 24.5 to 7.0
49 Ball State over 66 Navy 42.0 to 35.0
91 New Hampshire over 154 Army 28.0 to 17.5
203 Bethune - Cookman over 217 Alabama State 24.5 to 14.0
22 Boston College over 61 Georgia Tech 21.0 to 10.5
73 Bowling Green over 112 Minnesota 35.0 to 24.5
152 Bucknell over 176 Duquesne 24.5 to 17.5
99 California Poly over 125 Montana 28.0 to 17.5
15 South Florida over 57 Central Florida 21.0 to 14.0
184 Delaware State over 200 Florida A&M 24.5 to 17.5
10 West Virginia over 45 East Carolina 38.5 to 28.0
138 Fordham over 163 Rhode Island 31.5 to 24.5
187 Grambling over 216 Alcorn State 28.0 to 17.5
173 Jacksonville State over 204 Alabama A&M 24.5 to 17.5
69 Rice over 139 Memphis 45.5 to 38.5
48 Michigan State over 72 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 21.0
54 Maryland over 120 Middle Tennessee State 17.5 to 10.5
169 Monmouth over 183 Maine 21.0 to 17.5
229 North Carolina A&T over 238 Winston-Salem 24.5 to 14.0
126 North Carolina State over 144 William & Mary 24.5 to 17.5
157 South Dakota State over 162 Youngstown State 24.5 to 21.0
109 Southern Illinois over 164 Hampton 28.0 to 10.5
170 Southern Methodist over 185 Texas State - San Marcos 38.5 to 31.5
118 Stony Brook over 132 Elon 28.0 to 21.0
191 Tennessee State over 218 Southern 24.5 to 10.5
171 Towson over 202 Morgan State 21.0 to 10.5
40 Virginia over 93 Richmond 21.0 to 7.0
219 Virginia Military over 226 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 24.5
55 Wake Forest over 64 Mississippi 24.5 to 17.5
18 Brigham Young over 82 Washington 31.5 to 21.0
24 California over 60 Washington State 24.5 to 21.0
117 Western Michigan over 135 Northern Illinois 31.5 to 24.5
39 Wisconsin over 75 Marshall 28.0 to 17.5
51 Air Force over 104 Wyoming 24.5 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
147 Nicholls State over 166 New Mexico State 24.5 to 24.5
38 Arizona State over 36 Stanford 24.5 to 21.0
165 Colgate over 197 Coastal Carolina 31.5 to 28.0
59 Duke over 58 Northwestern 21.0 to 17.5
158 Eastern Kentucky over 140 Western Kentucky 17.5 to 17.5
115 Alabama - Birmingham over 156 Florida Atlantic 24.5 to 21.0
89 Holy Cross over 84 Massachusetts 24.5 to 24.5
196 Georgetown over 211 Howard 21.0 to 21.0
201 Idaho State over 223 Idaho 24.5 to 21.0
32 Texas Tech over 62 Nevada - Reno 38.5 to 38.5
80 New Mexico over 81 Texas A&M 10.5 to 7.0
37 Oklahoma State over 43 Houston 24.5 to 21.0
88 Pittsburgh over 79 Buffalo 21.0 to 17.5
189 Robert Morris over 190 Morehead State 17.5 to 14.0
124 Syracuse over 129 Akron 21.0 to 17.5
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