ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
4 Brigham Young over 93 Wyoming 38.5 to 7.0
144 San Diego over 244 Campbell 66.5 to 7.0
20 South Florida over 192 Florida International 42.0 to 10.5
28 Kansas over 178 Sam Houston State 45.5 to 10.5
146 Northern Illinois over 240 Indiana State 45.5 to 7.0
10 Penn State over 103 Temple 35.0 to 7.0
22 South Carolina over 175 Wofford 38.5 to 7.0
13 Texas Christian over 168 Southern Methodist 42.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
183 Bethune - Cookman over 235 Savannah State 35.0 to 10.5
211 Central Connecticut over 243 North Carolina Central 42.0 to 14.0
54 Cincinnati over 119 Miami - Ohio 35.0 to 17.5
25 Clemson over 145 South Carolina State 31.5 to 7.0
161 Duquesne over 236 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 49.0 to 17.5
30 Georgia Tech over 118 Mississippi State 28.0 to 7.0
163 Hampton over 230 North Carolina A&T 35.0 to 10.5
147 Louisiana Tech over 224 Southeast Louisiana 38.5 to 14.0
50 Maryland over 151 Eastern Michigan 31.5 to 10.5
11 Missouri over 105 Buffalo 49.0 to 24.5
5 Oregon over 31 Boise State 35.0 to 21.0
35 Southern Mississippi over 123 Marshall 35.0 to 17.5
96 Syracuse over 167 Northeastern 28.0 to 14.0
2 Florida over 64 Tennessee 35.0 to 17.5
14 Texas over 99 Rice 45.5 to 21.0
26 Texas Tech over 92 Massachusetts 38.5 to 21.0
109 Washington State over 185 Portland State 35.0 to 17.5
120 Western Illinois over 221 Stephen F. Austin 38.5 to 14.0
150 Western Kentucky over 229 Murray State 38.5 to 10.5
138 Western Michigan over 204 Tennessee Tech 42.0 to 24.5
110 William & Mary over 210 Norfolk State 42.0 to 17.5
172 Morgan State over 241 Winston-Salem 35.0 to 10.5
91 North Dakota State over 206 Youngstown State 31.5 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
200 Arkansas - Pine Bluff over 232 Alcorn State 21.0 to 10.5
16 West Virginia over 65 Colorado 28.0 to 21.0
219 Idaho State over 238 North Dakota 38.5 to 17.5
19 Connecticut over 58 Baylor 28.0 to 17.5
162 Alabama - Birmingham over 222 Alabama State 28.0 to 10.5
97 Brown over 153 Stony Brook 38.5 to 24.5
186 Monmouth over 233 Bryant 31.5 to 14.0
18 Arizona over 111 California - Los Angeles 38.5 to 24.5
63 Houston over 135 Colorado State 38.5 to 28.0
116 Dayton over 166 Robert Morris 24.5 to 14.0
15 Florida State over 37 Wake Forest 28.0 to 14.0
134 Hofstra over 173 Rhode Island 28.0 to 17.5
115 Minnesota over 141 Florida Atlantic 31.5 to 24.5
225 Prairie View over 242 Mississippi Valley State 21.0 to 10.5
87 Montana over 140 California - Davis 28.0 to 17.5
32 East Carolina over 90 North Carolina State 28.0 to 21.0
94 Northern Iowa over 130 South Dakota State 31.5 to 21.0
57 Northwestern over 107 Ohio 31.5 to 17.5
126 California Poly over 216 Northwestern State 38.5 to 24.5
9 Iowa over 77 Pittsburgh 21.0 to 10.5
44 Purdue over 101 Central Michigan 38.5 to 21.0
95 Richmond over 149 Maine 21.0 to 10.5
215 Southeast Missouri State over 234 Missouri State 31.5 to 17.5
133 Northern Arizona over 212 Southern Utah 31.5 to 17.5
74 Stanford over 106 San Jose State 24.5 to 17.5
157 Tennessee State over 177 Eastern Kentucky 24.5 to 17.5
121 Texas - El Paso over 169 New Mexico State 24.5 to 14.0
137 Utah State over 194 Idaho 31.5 to 17.5
66 Yale over 180 Georgetown 24.5 to 3.5
60-70% chance of victory:
12 Kansas State over 45 Louisville 31.5 to 24.5
68 Harvard over 86 Holy Cross 31.5 to 24.5
176 Wagner over 213 Marist 24.5 to 21.0
8 Georgia over 34 Arizona State 24.5 to 21.0
24 Alabama over 73 Arkansas 28.0 to 21.0
55 Arkansas State over 69 Middle Tennessee State 28.0 to 21.0
114 Akron over 164 Army 17.5 to 14.0
43 Boston College over 41 Central Florida 14.0 to 10.5
139 Bucknell over 148 Cornell 28.0 to 24.5
182 Coastal Carolina over 187 Towson 24.5 to 17.5
71 Delaware over 129 Furman 21.0 to 14.0
198 Grambling over 199 Jackson State 24.5 to 21.0
207 Howard over 214 Florida A&M 35.0 to 28.0
142 Memphis over 160 Nicholls State 24.5 to 17.5
36 Vanderbilt over 75 Mississippi 24.5 to 21.0
81 Navy over 85 Rutgers 28.0 to 21.0
47 Iowa State over 83 Nevada - Las Vegas 28.0 to 24.5
113 New Hampshire over 131 Albany 28.0 to 21.0
27 Virginia Tech over 70 North Carolina 21.0 to 17.5
227 Western Carolina over 239 Presbyterian 31.5 to 21.0
174 Sacramento State over 190 Weber State 24.5 to 17.5
98 Princeton over 159 The Citadel 31.5 to 24.5
61 Fresno State over 82 Toledo 21.0 to 17.5
100 Tulane over 124 Northeast Louisiana 24.5 to 17.5
39 New Mexico over 102 Tulsa 31.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
51 Air Force over 40 Utah 21.0 to 17.5
7 Auburn over 6 Louisiana State 14.0 to 10.5
220 Austin Peay over 209 Tennessee - Martin 21.0 to 17.5
155 Colgate over 152 Dartmouth 28.0 to 28.0
122 Fordham over 158 Columbia 17.5 to 17.5
127 Georgia Southern over 108 Elon 31.5 to 31.5
189 Illinois State over 181 Eastern Illinois 24.5 to 21.0
60 Ball State over 78 Indiana 24.5 to 24.5
223 Iona over 218 Sacred Heart 35.0 to 31.5
79 James Madison over 76 Appalachian State 35.0 to 31.5
128 Kent State over 154 Louisiana - Lafayette 21.0 to 21.0
52 Michigan State over 38 Notre Dame 21.0 to 21.0
203 Northern Colorado over 197 Texas State - San Marcos 31.5 to 28.0
23 Ohio State over 21 Troy State 17.5 to 14.0
88 Pennsylvania over 80 Villanova 28.0 to 24.5
156 Jacksonville State over 179 Tennessee - Chattanooga 28.0 to 24.5
29 Miami - Florida over 56 Texas A&M 17.5 to 17.5
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