ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
82 Appalachian State over 241 Presbyterian 56.0 to 10.5
18 Boston College over 173 Rhode Island 42.0 to 7.0
89 Eastern Washington over 220 Idaho State 52.5 to 24.5
2 Florida over 73 Mississippi 38.5 to 10.5
6 Louisiana State over 115 Mississippi State 35.0 to 3.5
38 Utah over 177 Weber State 42.0 to 10.5
80-90% chance of victory:
1 Southern California over 49 Oregon State 35.0 to 14.0
59 Ball State over 155 Kent State 35.0 to 14.0
32 California over 105 Colorado State 35.0 to 17.5
77 Delaware over 143 Albany 24.5 to 10.5
176 Eastern Kentucky over 229 Austin Peay 28.0 to 7.0
100 Elon over 191 Samford 31.5 to 10.5
106 Furman over 192 Tennessee - Chattanooga 31.5 to 14.0
24 Kansas State over 153 Louisiana - Lafayette 49.0 to 21.0
46 Kentucky over 120 Western Kentucky 28.0 to 10.5
48 Arkansas State over 147 Memphis 35.0 to 21.0
193 Morehead State over 232 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 24.5 to 7.0
9 Ohio State over 95 Minnesota 35.0 to 10.5
4 Oklahoma over 34 Texas Christian 28.0 to 10.5
5 Penn State over 70 Illinois 42.0 to 17.5
94 Rutgers over 185 Morgan State 28.0 to 10.5
149 San Diego State over 204 Idaho 38.5 to 21.0
35 South Carolina over 126 Alabama - Birmingham 31.5 to 10.5
129 South Dakota State over 224 Stephen F. Austin 42.0 to 21.0
8 Texas over 74 Arkansas 38.5 to 17.5
66 Texas A&M over 171 Army 21.0 to 3.5
128 The Citadel over 226 Western Carolina 42.0 to 17.5
91 Toledo over 178 Florida International 35.0 to 17.5
42 Tulsa over 214 Central Arkansas 56.0 to 14.0
174 Wagner over 236 Bryant 38.5 to 14.0
22 Wake Forest over 86 Navy 35.0 to 17.5
17 West Virginia over 96 Marshall 31.5 to 14.0
70-80% chance of victory:
221 Alabama State over 238 Mississippi Valley State 28.0 to 14.0
108 Tulane over 161 Southern Methodist 28.0 to 14.0
37 Cincinnati over 107 Akron 35.0 to 24.5
180 Southern over 230 Alcorn State 28.0 to 14.0
186 Alabama A&M over 231 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 24.5 to 14.0
13 Auburn over 47 Tennessee 21.0 to 10.5
187 Bethune - Cookman over 213 Norfolk State 31.5 to 21.0
93 Central Michigan over 118 Buffalo 35.0 to 28.0
11 Clemson over 41 Maryland 28.0 to 17.5
28 Yale over 119 Cornell 28.0 to 14.0
168 Davidson over 208 Jacksonville 31.5 to 21.0
101 Dayton over 194 Duquesne 35.0 to 21.0
156 Sam Houston State over 218 Gardner - Webb 31.5 to 17.5
98 Holy Cross over 190 Georgetown 35.0 to 21.0
7 Georgia over 20 Alabama 21.0 to 10.5
225 Southeast Missouri State over 242 Indiana State 24.5 to 14.0
25 Iowa over 61 Northwestern 21.0 to 10.5
76 James Madison over 163 Maine 35.0 to 21.0
36 Miami - Florida over 79 North Carolina 28.0 to 17.5
12 Wisconsin over 64 Michigan 28.0 to 17.5
202 Montana State over 222 South Dakota 28.0 to 17.5
165 Coastal Carolina over 237 North Carolina A&T 35.0 to 14.0
152 Northern Arizona over 215 Northern Colorado 28.0 to 14.0
212 Howard over 240 Savannah State 24.5 to 10.5
164 Tennessee State over 201 Florida A&M 35.0 to 28.0
102 Ohio over 184 Virginia Military 38.5 to 21.0
122 Rice over 162 North Texas 35.0 to 24.5
182 Sacramento State over 216 Portland State 38.5 to 24.5
14 Oregon over 88 Washington State 35.0 to 21.0
189 South Carolina State over 243 Winston-Salem 21.0 to 7.0
60-70% chance of victory:
116 New Hampshire over 172 Dartmouth 38.5 to 31.5
188 Delaware State over 207 Central Connecticut 28.0 to 21.0
151 San Diego over 199 Drake 24.5 to 17.5
55 Duke over 58 Virginia 14.0 to 10.5
56 East Carolina over 68 Houston 35.0 to 28.0
140 Jacksonville State over 175 Eastern Illinois 21.0 to 21.0
111 Fordham over 125 Colgate 24.5 to 17.5
135 Georgia Southern over 132 Wofford 31.5 to 28.0
114 Hawaii over 117 San Jose State 24.5 to 21.0
39 Michigan State over 87 Indiana 24.5 to 17.5
109 Lafayette over 131 Pennsylvania 14.0 to 7.0
210 Tennessee - Martin over 234 Murray State 31.5 to 24.5
23 Nebraska over 26 Virginia Tech 21.0 to 17.5
80 Nevada - Las Vegas over 85 Nevada - Reno 31.5 to 28.0
97 New Mexico over 158 New Mexico State 28.0 to 24.5
19 Florida State over 33 Colorado 21.0 to 17.5
53 Notre Dame over 54 Purdue 21.0 to 17.5
44 Oklahoma State over 45 Troy State 28.0 to 24.5
170 Robert Morris over 181 Monmouth 17.5 to 10.5
217 Southeast Louisiana over 223 North Dakota 35.0 to 28.0
75 Northern Iowa over 136 Southern Illinois 28.0 to 21.0
141 Stony Brook over 144 Hofstra 21.0 to 17.5
52 Pittsburgh over 113 Syracuse 24.5 to 21.0
195 Texas State - San Marcos over 206 Southern Utah 35.0 to 31.5
150 Columbia over 196 Towson 24.5 to 17.5
63 Washington over 78 Stanford 28.0 to 21.0
84 Bowling Green over 127 Wyoming 17.5 to 14.0
167 Youngstown State over 166 Liberty 21.0 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
31 Louisville over 27 Connecticut 24.5 to 24.5
81 Brown over 67 Harvard 14.0 to 14.0
71 California - Los Angeles over 60 Fresno State 24.5 to 24.5
148 Eastern Michigan over 133 Northern Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
203 Marist over 198 Sacred Heart 24.5 to 21.0
43 South Florida over 69 North Carolina State 24.5 to 21.0
169 Northeastern over 160 California - Davis 24.5 to 21.0
103 Lehigh over 124 Princeton 17.5 to 17.5
121 Temple over 112 Western Michigan 21.0 to 21.0
99 Central Florida over 130 Texas - El Paso 24.5 to 21.0
90 Villanova over 83 Richmond 28.0 to 28.0
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