ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
17 Boise State over 140 Louisiana Tech 38.5 to 7.0
3 Brigham Young over 151 Utah State 45.5 to 10.5
136 Dayton over 245 Campbell 45.5 to 0.0
14 Virginia Tech over 137 Western Kentucky 35.0 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
90 Appalachian State over 156 The Citadel 38.5 to 24.5
83 Bowling Green over 161 Eastern Michigan 28.0 to 10.5
171 California - Davis over 219 Northern Colorado 28.0 to 14.0
135 California Poly over 238 South Dakota 45.5 to 7.0
118 Colgate over 196 Georgetown 31.5 to 10.5
2 Texas over 62 Colorado 31.5 to 14.0
80 Nevada - Reno over 206 Idaho 42.0 to 21.0
177 Illinois State over 243 Indiana State 35.0 to 10.5
147 Jacksonville State over 229 Southeast Missouri State 35.0 to 7.0
144 Western Illinois over 228 Missouri State 31.5 to 14.0
163 Monmouth over 231 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 7.0
146 New Mexico State over 230 Alcorn State 35.0 to 10.5
98 Northern Iowa over 194 Nicholls State 31.5 to 7.0
11 Oklahoma State over 99 Texas A&M 42.0 to 17.5
122 Pennsylvania over 170 Dartmouth 21.0 to 7.0
150 San Diego over 226 Valparaiso 42.0 to 17.5
31 Tennessee over 105 Northern Illinois 28.0 to 10.5
24 Texas Christian over 130 San Diego State 35.0 to 10.5
210 Texas State - San Marcos over 242 Texas Southern 49.0 to 28.0
89 Richmond over 197 Virginia Military 38.5 to 21.0
42 Yale over 104 Holy Cross 35.0 to 17.5
70-80% chance of victory:
82 Middle Tennessee State over 120 Florida Atlantic 24.5 to 17.5
39 Arizona over 74 Washington 28.0 to 17.5
5 Florida over 81 Arkansas 35.0 to 21.0
224 Austin Peay over 236 Murray State 28.0 to 17.5
1 Oklahoma over 50 Baylor 35.0 to 21.0
180 Drake over 233 Butler 24.5 to 10.5
65 Fresno State over 114 Hawaii 35.0 to 21.0
18 Georgia Tech over 41 Duke 28.0 to 17.5
79 James Madison over 126 Hofstra 24.5 to 14.0
139 Bucknell over 203 Marist 28.0 to 17.5
12 Florida State over 63 Miami - Florida 24.5 to 17.5
235 North Carolina A&T over 244 North Carolina Central 24.5 to 14.0
16 Boston College over 78 North Carolina State 21.0 to 10.5
160 Northern Arizona over 188 Sacramento State 31.5 to 21.0
46 Notre Dame over 76 Stanford 28.0 to 17.5
134 Eastern Washington over 212 Portland State 45.5 to 31.5
176 Grambling over 225 Prairie View 21.0 to 10.5
4 Penn State over 67 Purdue 31.5 to 21.0
84 Brown over 178 Rhode Island 31.5 to 17.5
59 Southern Mississippi over 75 Texas - El Paso 35.0 to 28.0
52 Ball State over 132 Toledo 38.5 to 31.5
119 Tulane over 169 Army 21.0 to 10.5
32 Maryland over 88 Virginia 21.0 to 14.0
93 Montana over 164 Weber State 35.0 to 24.5
175 Samford over 221 Western Carolina 24.5 to 17.5
22 West Virginia over 54 Rutgers 21.0 to 10.5
217 Howard over 241 Winston-Salem 28.0 to 14.0
60-70% chance of victory:
107 Alabama - Birmingham over 116 Memphis 28.0 to 24.5
49 South Florida over 58 Pittsburgh 21.0 to 17.5
38 Cincinnati over 97 Marshall 28.0 to 21.0
53 Air Force over 66 Navy 35.0 to 28.0
19 Alabama over 33 Kentucky 21.0 to 14.0
28 California over 45 Arizona State 28.0 to 21.0
77 California - Los Angeles over 71 Washington State 21.0 to 17.5
185 Central Connecticut over 190 Wagner 24.5 to 21.0
214 Charleston Southern over 209 Gardner - Webb 28.0 to 24.5
157 Coastal Carolina over 167 Liberty 28.0 to 21.0
117 Princeton over 172 Columbia 28.0 to 21.0
155 Hampton over 198 Delaware State 21.0 to 17.5
184 Florida A&M over 195 South Carolina State 24.5 to 21.0
25 Kansas over 70 Iowa State 28.0 to 24.5
7 Texas Tech over 48 Kansas State 35.0 to 31.5
111 Akron over 149 Kent State 21.0 to 21.0
57 Delaware over 121 Massachusetts 31.5 to 21.0
133 Miami - Ohio over 153 Temple 17.5 to 10.5
43 Michigan over 55 Illinois 28.0 to 21.0
87 Minnesota over 85 Indiana 28.0 to 24.5
174 Bethune - Cookman over 207 Morgan State 24.5 to 21.0
112 New Mexico over 125 Wyoming 21.0 to 14.0
26 Connecticut over 61 North Carolina 28.0 to 24.5
124 North Dakota State over 127 Southern Illinois 28.0 to 24.5
166 Florida International over 208 North Texas 21.0 to 14.0
13 Southern California over 9 Oregon 28.0 to 24.5
162 Youngstown State over 199 Southern Utah 21.0 to 17.5
143 Georgia Southern over 183 Tennessee - Chattanooga 31.5 to 24.5
181 Tennessee State over 211 Tennessee - Martin 35.0 to 31.5
152 Northeastern over 182 Towson 21.0 to 17.5
60 Tulsa over 72 Rice 49.0 to 45.5
101 Western Michigan over 96 Ohio 28.0 to 24.5
21 Wisconsin over 27 Ohio State 24.5 to 17.5
50-60% chance of victory:
47 Utah over 37 Oregon State 24.5 to 24.5
159 Central Florida over 148 Southern Methodist 28.0 to 28.0
95 Nevada - Las Vegas over 131 Colorado State 24.5 to 24.5
138 Albany over 165 Duquesne 24.5 to 24.5
110 Elon over 94 Furman 24.5 to 21.0
193 Montana State over 215 Idaho State 28.0 to 28.0
202 Jackson State over 189 Southern 21.0 to 17.5
69 Harvard over 109 Lafayette 21.0 to 21.0
102 Lehigh over 86 Cornell 14.0 to 14.0
35 Michigan State over 23 Iowa 21.0 to 21.0
56 Mississippi over 44 South Carolina 21.0 to 21.0
204 Morehead State over 187 Davidson 31.5 to 31.5
6 Missouri over 29 Nebraska 35.0 to 35.0
145 Northeast Louisiana over 129 Louisiana - Lafayette 28.0 to 28.0
191 Sacred Heart over 179 Robert Morris 21.0 to 21.0
142 South Dakota State over 123 McNeese State 31.5 to 31.5
186 Eastern Kentucky over 216 Tennessee Tech 21.0 to 21.0
10 Auburn over 40 Vanderbilt 14.0 to 10.5
103 William & Mary over 91 Villanova 35.0 to 35.0
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