ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
--- ---------------------- --- ---------------------- ---------------------
90-100% chance of victory:
120 Furman over 224 Western Carolina 38.5 to 10.5
11 Georgia Tech over 210 Gardner - Webb 49.0 to 3.5
129 Southern Illinois over 240 Indiana State 42.0 to 7.0
80-90% chance of victory:
209 Florida A&M over 238 Winston-Salem 31.5 to 14.0
50 Houston over 124 Alabama - Birmingham 38.5 to 21.0
76 Arkansas State over 153 Northeast Louisiana 35.0 to 17.5
6 Brigham Young over 83 New Mexico 31.5 to 10.5
201 Butler over 245 Campbell 31.5 to 7.0
44 Yale over 157 Dartmouth 24.5 to 10.5
118 Dayton over 190 Drake 28.0 to 7.0
75 Fresno State over 185 Idaho 42.0 to 17.5
104 Pennsylvania over 195 Georgetown 21.0 to 7.0
103 McNeese State over 215 Texas State - San Marcos 52.5 to 28.0
65 Miami - Florida over 144 Central Florida 35.0 to 17.5
136 Northern Arizona over 187 Portland State 42.0 to 28.0
112 Northern Iowa over 188 Illinois State 31.5 to 14.0
74 Appalachian State over 182 Samford 31.5 to 17.5
184 Southern over 242 Texas Southern 45.5 to 21.0
1 Southern California over 40 Arizona State 31.5 to 7.0
38 Tulsa over 163 Southern Methodist 42.0 to 24.5
69 Texas - El Paso over 140 Tulane 38.5 to 21.0
24 West Virginia over 111 Syracuse 35.0 to 14.0
121 Wofford over 198 Tennessee - Chattanooga 31.5 to 14.0
39 Utah over 154 Wyoming 28.0 to 10.5
70-80% chance of victory:
61 Troy State over 133 Florida Atlantic 28.0 to 21.0
35 Louisville over 113 Memphis 31.5 to 21.0
22 Auburn over 73 Arkansas 24.5 to 10.5
165 Bethune - Cookman over 197 Delaware State 24.5 to 14.0
148 Bucknell over 179 Hofstra 24.5 to 14.0
169 California - Davis over 203 Southern Utah 24.5 to 14.0
171 Sam Houston State over 227 Central Arkansas 35.0 to 24.5
95 Central Michigan over 142 Temple 24.5 to 14.0
25 Texas Christian over 100 Colorado State 28.0 to 14.0
94 Lafayette over 178 Columbia 31.5 to 17.5
92 Delaware over 159 Maine 24.5 to 7.0
91 Middle Tennessee State over 170 Florida International 21.0 to 10.5
10 Georgia over 34 Tennessee 24.5 to 17.5
68 Harvard over 87 Cornell 28.0 to 17.5
86 Hawaii over 162 Louisiana Tech 35.0 to 17.5
88 Holy Cross over 116 Brown 31.5 to 24.5
56 Illinois over 80 Minnesota 35.0 to 24.5
26 Iowa over 89 Indiana 24.5 to 14.0
28 Kansas over 64 Colorado 31.5 to 21.0
102 Lehigh over 139 Fordham 21.0 to 14.0
207 Marist over 223 Bryant 24.5 to 14.0
53 Michigan over 117 Toledo 28.0 to 14.0
42 Vanderbilt over 109 Mississippi State 21.0 to 10.5
174 Youngstown State over 226 Missouri State 24.5 to 14.0
90 Nevada - Reno over 143 New Mexico State 35.0 to 24.5
192 Morgan State over 231 North Carolina A&T 24.5 to 17.5
211 Northern Colorado over 220 Idaho State 35.0 to 24.5
82 Northern Illinois over 137 Miami - Ohio 28.0 to 14.0
132 Louisiana - Lafayette over 206 North Texas 31.5 to 21.0
9 Ohio State over 52 Purdue 24.5 to 10.5
14 Oregon over 58 California - Los Angeles 38.5 to 24.5
32 Oregon State over 79 Washington State 28.0 to 14.0
181 Sacred Heart over 235 Saint Francis - Pennsylv 31.5 to 21.0
135 San Diego over 186 Morehead State 31.5 to 17.5
175 South Carolina State over 216 Norfolk State 24.5 to 14.0
15 Boise State over 72 Southern Mississippi 28.0 to 21.0
19 Arizona over 78 Stanford 31.5 to 24.5
8 Texas Tech over 29 Nebraska 35.0 to 24.5
105 Elon over 167 The Citadel 31.5 to 24.5
160 Monmouth over 214 Wagner 21.0 to 14.0
41 Ball State over 125 Western Kentucky 28.0 to 17.5
60-70% chance of victory:
173 Eastern Illinois over 212 Tennessee - Martin 28.0 to 24.5
150 Albany over 166 Central Connecticut 28.0 to 21.0
202 Jackson State over 233 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 21.0 to 14.0
66 Baylor over 71 Iowa State 28.0 to 24.5
46 Cincinnati over 47 Rutgers 17.5 to 14.0
119 Colgate over 122 Princeton 28.0 to 21.0
138 Jacksonville State over 180 Eastern Kentucky 21.0 to 17.5
7 Florida over 13 Louisiana State 24.5 to 21.0
230 Alcorn State over 244 Mississippi Valley State 21.0 to 17.5
4 Missouri over 12 Oklahoma State 38.5 to 31.5
149 Weber State over 189 Montana State 28.0 to 24.5
213 Tennessee Tech over 237 Murray State 31.5 to 24.5
98 New Hampshire over 110 William & Mary 35.0 to 31.5
36 North Carolina over 37 Notre Dame 24.5 to 17.5
126 North Dakota State over 146 Western Illinois 28.0 to 21.0
99 Massachusetts over 151 Northeastern 28.0 to 24.5
241 Presbyterian over 243 North Carolina Central 28.0 to 21.0
49 James Madison over 85 Richmond 21.0 to 21.0
70 Air Force over 131 San Diego State 28.0 to 21.0
114 San Jose State over 127 Utah State 21.0 to 14.0
218 Stephen F. Austin over 221 Southeast Louisiana 38.5 to 35.0
43 Kansas State over 96 Texas A&M 35.0 to 28.0
164 Rhode Island over 193 Towson 24.5 to 21.0
200 Davidson over 232 Valparaiso 31.5 to 24.5
57 Virginia over 62 East Carolina 21.0 to 17.5
5 Penn State over 27 Wisconsin 24.5 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
20 Clemson over 33 Wake Forest 14.0 to 14.0
115 Akron over 101 Bowling Green 24.5 to 21.0
176 Grambling over 205 Alabama A&M 24.5 to 21.0
145 Army over 130 Eastern Michigan 17.5 to 14.0
97 Buffalo over 84 Western Michigan 31.5 to 28.0
128 Montana over 155 Eastern Washington 31.5 to 31.5
123 Ohio over 147 Kent State 24.5 to 24.5
45 Kentucky over 31 South Carolina 17.5 to 14.0
161 Liberty over 158 Stony Brook 31.5 to 28.0
51 Northwestern over 30 Michigan State 24.5 to 21.0
204 Northwestern State over 194 Nicholls State 21.0 to 17.5
2 Oklahoma over 3 Texas 21.0 to 21.0
208 Alabama State over 222 Prairie View 17.5 to 17.5
177 Robert Morris over 168 Duquesne 24.5 to 24.5
217 Charleston Southern over 236 Savannah State 21.0 to 17.5
172 Coastal Carolina over 196 Virginia Military 28.0 to 28.0
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