ave score ROUNDED
rank projected winning team rank projected losing team TO NEAREST 3.5 POINTS
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90-100% chance of victory:
104 California Poly over 229 Idaho State 49.0 to 21.0
201 Davidson over 245 Campbell 38.5 to 10.5
127 North Dakota State over 242 Indiana State 42.0 to 3.5
111 Liberty over 244 Presbyterian 49.0 to 14.0
1 Southern California over 99 Washington 35.0 to 3.5
80-90% chance of victory:
18 Alabama over 91 Arkansas State 31.5 to 14.0
174 Bethune - Cookman over 234 North Carolina A&T 31.5 to 10.5
16 Brigham Young over 117 Colorado State 35.0 to 21.0
51 Harvard over 148 Dartmouth 28.0 to 14.0
153 Eastern Washington over 219 Sacramento State 35.0 to 17.5
98 Lehigh over 212 Georgetown 28.0 to 10.5
173 Hampton over 241 Winston-Salem 31.5 to 7.0
74 Holy Cross over 162 Bucknell 42.0 to 24.5
17 Louisiana State over 138 Tulane 38.5 to 14.0
134 Maine over 230 Iona 38.5 to 14.0
165 Grambling over 236 Mississippi Valley State 35.0 to 17.5
10 Texas Christian over 109 Nevada - Las Vegas 35.0 to 17.5
22 Boise State over 149 New Mexico State 35.0 to 17.5
8 Oklahoma State over 95 Iowa State 38.5 to 17.5
182 Southern over 232 Arkansas - Pine Bluff 28.0 to 10.5
122 Southern Illinois over 235 North Dakota 45.5 to 10.5
79 Yale over 154 Columbia 24.5 to 7.0
70-80% chance of victory:
44 Houston over 106 Marshall 31.5 to 24.5
67 Air Force over 142 Army 21.0 to 10.5
5 Missouri over 61 Baylor 35.0 to 21.0
181 Duquesne over 237 Bryant 31.5 to 14.0
193 Eastern Illinois over 226 Murray State 31.5 to 17.5
130 Fordham over 197 Marist 28.0 to 14.0
102 San Jose State over 204 Idaho 28.0 to 14.0
175 Jacksonville State over 220 Austin Peay 28.0 to 17.5
45 James Madison over 101 Delaware 24.5 to 14.0
125 Louisiana - Lafayette over 159 Florida International 31.5 to 21.0
76 Fresno State over 151 Louisiana Tech 31.5 to 21.0
113 Montana over 164 Northern Arizona 28.0 to 14.0
205 Morehead State over 228 Valparaiso 28.0 to 17.5
71 Navy over 141 Temple 28.0 to 14.0
92 New Hampshire over 163 Hofstra 35.0 to 17.5
2 Florida over 7 Georgia 31.5 to 21.0
195 Nicholls State over 225 Central Arkansas 31.5 to 17.5
87 Villanova over 167 Northeastern 28.0 to 17.5
4 Oklahoma over 23 Nebraska 35.0 to 21.0
12 Oregon State over 46 Arizona State 31.5 to 17.5
96 Massachusetts over 171 Rhode Island 31.5 to 21.0
185 Sacred Heart over 217 Wagner 24.5 to 14.0
192 Sam Houston State over 213 Stephen F. Austin 35.0 to 24.5
158 South Dakota State over 223 Missouri State 38.5 to 17.5
161 McNeese State over 218 Southeast Louisiana 35.0 to 28.0
78 Southern Mississippi over 124 Alabama - Birmingham 31.5 to 21.0
68 Stanford over 93 Washington State 24.5 to 17.5
35 Louisville over 118 Syracuse 31.5 to 21.0
200 Tennessee State over 224 Tennessee Tech 31.5 to 21.0
64 Texas A&M over 83 Colorado 28.0 to 21.0
105 William & Mary over 187 Towson 31.5 to 21.0
72 Hawaii over 156 Utah State 31.5 to 21.0
157 Weber State over 203 Portland State 35.0 to 21.0
126 Western Kentucky over 186 North Texas 28.0 to 14.0
97 Western Michigan over 145 Eastern Michigan 35.0 to 24.5
60-70% chance of victory:
116 Ohio over 121 Buffalo 28.0 to 24.5
77 Appalachian State over 90 Wofford 31.5 to 24.5
146 Albany over 155 Monmouth 21.0 to 17.5
209 Alabama State over 233 Alcorn State 21.0 to 17.5
112 Bowling Green over 135 Kent State 24.5 to 17.5
15 Iowa over 55 Illinois 21.0 to 17.5
180 Illinois State over 179 Youngstown State 21.0 to 17.5
89 Indiana over 86 Central Michigan 31.5 to 28.0
28 Kansas over 38 Kansas State 35.0 to 28.0
34 Michigan State over 30 Wisconsin 24.5 to 24.5
189 Montana State over 208 Northern Colorado 24.5 to 17.5
81 Troy State over 143 Northeast Louisiana 31.5 to 24.5
94 Pennsylvania over 85 Brown 17.5 to 17.5
172 Robert Morris over 170 Central Connecticut 24.5 to 21.0
137 Furman over 178 Samford 24.5 to 21.0
123 San Diego over 119 Dayton 28.0 to 24.5
31 South Carolina over 27 Tennessee 17.5 to 14.0
183 Eastern Kentucky over 216 Southeast Missouri State 24.5 to 21.0
152 Stony Brook over 169 Gardner - Webb 24.5 to 17.5
196 Texas State - San Marcos over 202 Northwestern State 28.0 to 24.5
3 Texas over 11 Texas Tech 31.5 to 28.0
37 Virginia over 33 Miami - Florida 21.0 to 17.5
54 Wake Forest over 59 Duke 17.5 to 14.0
115 Western Illinois over 108 Northern Iowa 24.5 to 21.0
150 Wyoming over 147 San Diego State 21.0 to 17.5
69 East Carolina over 133 Central Florida 28.0 to 21.0
50-60% chance of victory:
39 South Florida over 62 Cincinnati 21.0 to 21.0
25 Tulsa over 47 Arkansas 35.0 to 35.0
20 Clemson over 42 Boston College 21.0 to 21.0
191 Jacksonville over 210 Butler 24.5 to 24.5
24 California over 19 Oregon 35.0 to 31.5
188 Virginia Military over 207 Charleston Southern 31.5 to 31.5
73 Lafayette over 103 Colgate 21.0 to 21.0
26 Connecticut over 14 West Virginia 28.0 to 24.5
107 Princeton over 139 Cornell 21.0 to 21.0
184 Delaware State over 168 South Carolina State 17.5 to 17.5
199 Florida A&M over 190 Morgan State 28.0 to 24.5
21 Florida State over 41 Georgia Tech 21.0 to 21.0
227 Howard over 222 Norfolk State 28.0 to 24.5
66 Minnesota over 53 Northwestern 24.5 to 24.5
50 Mississippi over 32 Auburn 17.5 to 17.5
80 Kentucky over 110 Mississippi State 21.0 to 17.5
40 Utah over 63 New Mexico 21.0 to 21.0
56 Notre Dame over 52 Pittsburgh 21.0 to 21.0
70 Purdue over 57 Michigan 21.0 to 17.5
100 Texas - El Paso over 88 Rice 42.0 to 38.5
144 Georgia Southern over 176 The Citadel 35.0 to 35.0
214 Western Carolina over 211 Tennessee - Chattanooga 21.0 to 17.5
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